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Canada

The Road to 172 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 2. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 3. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 4. Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe DACHO 5. Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe LSLOU 6. Beaches—East York LPC safe BEAEY 7. Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe OTVAG 8. Halifax West LPC safe HALIW 9. Charlottetown LPC safe CHARL 10. Nepean LPC safe NEPEA 11. Ottawa South LPC safe OTSOU 12. Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe SCGRP 13. Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe STLSM 14. Vancouver Quadra LPC safe VAQUA 15. Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe MONDI 16. Toronto—Danforth LPC safe TODAN 17. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 18. Scarborough North LPC safe SCNOR 19. Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe SABEP 20. Don Valley West LPC safe DVWES 21. Kingston and the Islands LPC safe KAISA 22. Vancouver Granville LPC safe VAGRA 23. Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe OTWNE 24. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe NDGWE 25. Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe FREOR 26. Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe VMLIS 27. Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe BRSTL 28. Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe TOSTP 29. University—Rosedale LPC safe UNROS 30. Beauséjour LPC safe BEAUS 31. Toronto Centre LPC safe TOCEN 32. St. John’s East LPC safe SJSE 33. Kings—Hants LPC safe KINHA 34. Hull—Aylmer LPC safe HUAYL 35. Halifax LPC safe HALIF 36. Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe PIDOL 37. Scarborough Southwest LPC safe SCSOU 38. Gatineau LPC safe GATIN 39. North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe NOVAC 40. Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe AHUCA 41. Honoré-Mercier LPC safe HONME 42. West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe WVSSC 43. St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe STBSV 44. Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe BUNSE 45. Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe DOLAL 46. Saint-Laurent LPC safe STLAU 47. Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe SPHAR 48. Waterloo LPC safe WATER 49. Bourassa LPC safe BOURA 50. Vaudreuil LPC safe VAUDR 51. Ottawa Centre LPC safe OTCEN 52. Louis-Hébert LPC safe LOUHE 53. Vancouver Centre LPC safe VANCE 54. Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe POKIT 55. Alfred-Pellan LPC safe ALPEL 56. Davenport LPC safe DAVEH 57. Vimy LPC safe VIMY 58. Victoria LPC safe VICTR 59. Outremont LPC safe OUTRE 60. Guelph LPC safe GUELP 61. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe MAFOR 62. Papineau LPC safe PAPIN 63. Sherbrooke LPC safe SHERB 64. Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe SMCHA 65. Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe LASMA 66. LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe LAEVE 67. Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe LOCHL 68. Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe ARLPN 69. Kanata LPC safe KANAT 70. Winnipeg South LPC safe WISOU 71. London Centre LPC safe LOCEN 72. Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe ESSAS 73. Avalon LPC safe AVALO 74. Compton—Stanstead LPC safe COMST 75. Winnipeg North LPC safe WINOR 76. Laval—Les Îles LPC safe LALIL 77. Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe BRMIS 78. Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe SCWOB 79. Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe TAPHP 80. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe DEMIC 81. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe HWAAD 82. Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe SJKEN 83. Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC safe HOROE 84. London West LPC safe LOWES 85. Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC safe ETLAK 86. Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC safe TBSUNO 87. Malpeque LPC likely MALPE 88. Humber River—Black Creek LPC likely HUBCR 89. Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC likely CHLJN 90. Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC likely SCDVE 91. Sydney—Glace Bay LPC likely SYGLA 92. Ajax LPC likely AJAX 93. Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely VAFSB 94. Cardigan LPC likely CARDI 95. Burlington LPC likely BURLI 96. Winnipeg West LPC likely WIWES 97. Trois-Rivières LPC likely TRRIV 98. Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely MARES 99. Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely MIERM 100. Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely PRRUC 101. Thérèse-De Blainville LPC likely TDBLA 102. South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely SSSTM 103. Peterborough LPC likely PETER 104. York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely YOSWET 105. Mount Royal LPC likely MOROY 106. Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely RDMI 107. Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely PIBRO 108. Sudbury LPC likely SUDBU 109. Québec Centre LPC likely QUCEN 110. Northwest Territories LPC likely NWTER 111. Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely MSBLA 112. St. Catharines LPC likely STCATH 113. Markham—Thornhill LPC likely MATHI 114. Mississauga Centre LPC likely MICEN 115. Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely SCAGI 116. Etobicoke North LPC likely ETNOR 117. Mississauga—Malton LPC likely MIMAL 118. Central Nova LPC likely CENNO 119. Don Valley North LPC likely DVNOR 120. Etobicoke Centre LPC likely ETCEN 121. Yukon LPC likely YUKON 122. Edmonton Centre LPC likely EDCEN 123. La Prairie—Atateken LPC likely LPATA 124. Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely CBCA 125. Whitby LPC likely WHITB 126. Willowdale LPC likely WILLO 127. Delta LPC likely DELTA 128. Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely BNMW 129. Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely MILAK 130. Oakville West LPC likely OKWES 131. Egmont LPC likely EGMON 132. Beauport—Limoilou LPC likely BELIM 133. Mississauga—Streetsville LPC likely MISTR 134. Oakville East LPC leaning OKEAS 135. Labrador LPC leaning LABRA 136. Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning MASTO 137. Bay of Quinte LPC leaning BAQUIN 138. Carleton LPC leaning CARLE 139. Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning MIECO 140. Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou LPC leaning ABBAJ 141. Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning TBRARI 142. Surrey Newton LPC leaning SUNEW 143. South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning SOSWR 144. Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning COPC 145. Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning HAMMO 146. Surrey Centre LPC leaning SUCEN 147. Les Pays-d’en-Haut LPC leaning LPDEH 148. Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning BRCHP 149. Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning CUCOL 150. Burnaby Central LPC leaning BUCEN 151. Brampton East LPC leaning BREAS 152. Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning FLPKL 153. Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning PMCOQ 154. Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma LPC leaning SSMAL 155. Nipissing—Timiskaming LPC leaning NITIM 156. Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC leaning CHKEK 157. Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning RESTE 158. Kelowna LPC leaning KELWN 159. Brampton South LPC leaning BRSOU 160. Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning TNTP 161. Eglinton—Lawrence LPC leaning EGLLA 162. Brampton North—Caledon LPC leaning BRNCA 163. Brampton Centre LPC leaning BRACE 164. Calgary Confederation Toss up LPC/CPC CACON 165. Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC KICON 166. Acadie—Annapolis Toss up LPC/CPC ACANN 167. Miramichi—Grand Lake Toss up LPC/CPC MIGLA 168. Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC WITELA 169. Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC MEHHS 170. Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ LOSTH 171. Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC KISTP 172. New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/NDP NWBBM 173. Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC CLLAC 174. Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC KSHES 175. Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC PMMAP 176. Terrebonne Toss up LPC/BQ TERRB 177. Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC BRWES 178. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC HAESCO 179. Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC CAMBR 180. Richmond—Arthabaska Toss up LPC/CPC RIART 181. Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ SHEFF 182. Northumberland—Clarke Toss up LPC/CPC NOCLA 183. Markham—Unionville Toss up LPC/CPC MAUNI 184. Newmarket—Aurora Toss up LPC/CPC NEAUR 185. Simcoe North Toss up LPC/CPC SINOR 186. Niagara South Toss up LPC/CPC NISOUT 187. Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake Toss up LPC/CPC NIFANO 188. Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ CHILE 189. Bowmanville—Oshawa North Toss up LPC/CPC BOOSH 190. Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC REWAS 191. Lanark—Frontenac Toss up LPC/CPC LAFRO 192. Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC RCMAR 193. Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC CAMCK 194. Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC EDRIV 195. Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP VAKIN 196. Oshawa Toss up LPC/CPC OSHAW 197. Regina—Lewvan Toss up LPC/CPC RELEW 198. Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Toss up LPC/CPC CHHSC 199. Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP HACEN 200. Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes Toss up LPC/CPC LEGRI 201. Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC LORAM 202. Repentigny Toss up LPC/BQ REPEN 203. Wellington—Halton Hills North Toss up LPC/CPC WEHHN 204. Saskatoon—University Toss up LPC/CPC SASKU 205. Calgary Centre CPC leaning CACE 206. Saskatoon South CPC leaning SASKS 207. Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC leaning OKLSK 208. Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC leaning SEEMN 209. Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC leaning ESTLS 210. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC leaning BSWOM 211. Richmond Hill South CPC leaning RIHISO 212. Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning SISOW 213. Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC leaning VELCM 214. Central Newfoundland CPC leaning CENNE 215. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning LPILI 216. Niagara West CPC leaning NIWES 217. Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning LTFH 218. Simcoe—Grey CPC leaning SIGRE 219. Nunavut NDP leaning NUNVT 220. Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC leaning FGGBN 221. Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC leaning PSMUS 222. Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning SJSCX 223. Edmonton West CPC leaning EDWES 224. Middlesex—London CPC leaning MILON 225. Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC leaning KATIM 226. Mirabel BQ leaning MIRAB 227. Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC leaning LOSLA 228. Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ leaning PBLPV 229. Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ leaning GASIL 230. Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ MOCHX 231. Abbotsford—South Langley CPC leaning ABSOL 232. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC leaning NALAD 233. Fundy Royal CPC leaning FUNRO 234. Windsor West Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP WIWES 235. Edmonton Gateway CPC leaning EDGAT 236. York Centre CPC leaning YOCEN 237. Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC leaning BBSNS 238. Edmonton Southeast CPC likely EDSE 239. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely AORRH 240. Huron—Bruce CPC likely HUBRU 241. Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely KLTNI 242. Perth—Wellington CPC likely PEWEL 243. Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely KEKII 244. Edmonton Northwest CPC likely EDNOW 245. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely BGOOS 246. Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely LALAB 247. Vancouver East NDP likely VAEAST 248. Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely KLSCR 249. Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely HELAT 250. Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely RIMLA 251. Saint-Jean BQ likely STJEA 252. Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely SHYBA 253. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely SAGUL 254. Winnipeg Centre NDP likely WICEN 255. Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC likely CDRLK 256. Calgary Skyview CPC likely CASKY 257. Edmonton Manning CPC likely EDMAN 258. Oxford CPC likely OXFOR 259. Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP COMAL 260. Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely SALBK 261. London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP LOFAN 262. York—Durham CPC likely YODUR 263. Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely STDUC 264. Kitchener Centre GPC leaning KICEN 265. Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely BESHS 266. Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely RINOR 267. Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely BERMA 268. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC likely HAKALA 269. Lévis—Lotbinière CPC likely LELOT 270. Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC likely ALRPE 271. Beloeil—Chambly BQ likely BECHA 272. Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely CACRO 273. Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely TOBMA 274. Drummond BQ likely DRUMO 275. Barrie South—Innisfil CPC likely BRSIN 276. Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC likely MIMAB 277. Jonquière BQ likely JONQU 278. Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC likely POJACA 279. Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC likely BELET 280. Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ likely CNKNI 281. Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely CANOH 282. Chilliwack—Hope CPC likely CHHOP 283. North Island—Powell River Toss up CPC/NDP NIPR 284. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely ROLPD 285. Calgary Signal Hill CPC likely CASIH 286. Essex CPC likely ESSEX 287. Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC likely VAWOO 288. Haldimand—Norfolk CPC likely HADNO 289. Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC likely CKLEA 290. Joliette—Manawan BQ likely JOLMA 291. New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC likely NTGWI 292. Saskatoon West CPC likely SASKW 293. Calgary Heritage CPC safe CAHER 294. King—Vaughan CPC safe KIVAU 295. Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe BENSA 296. Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe DUCAL 297. Calgary East CPC safe CAEA 298. Montcalm BQ safe MONTC 299. Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe COKSR 300. Lethbridge CPC safe LETHB 301. Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe ABTEM 302. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe LSJEA 303. Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe SEINE 304. Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe CAPRG 305. Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely COALB 306. Thornhill CPC safe THORN 307. Calgary Midnapore CPC safe CAMID 308. St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe STASR 309. Calgary Shepard CPC safe CASHE 310. Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe SHFFS 311. Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe REQUP 312. Provencher CPC safe PROVE 313. Yellowhead CPC safe YELLO 314. Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe AICOC 315. Portage—Lisgar CPC safe POLIS 316. Brandon—Souris CPC safe BRSOU 317. Red Deer CPC safe REDDE 318. Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe MELOL 319. Riding Mountain CPC safe RIDMO 320. Beauce CPC safe BEAUC 321. Foothills CPC safe FOOTH 322. Elmwood—Transcona NDP leaning ELTRA 323. Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe PGPRN 324. Prince Albert CPC safe PRALB 325. Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe BLLML 326. Parkland CPC safe PARKL 327. Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe MECAW 328. Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe LEWET 329. Bow River CPC safe BORIV 330. Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe CTECR 331. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP EDGRI 332. Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe MOJALA 333. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe EDSTR 334. Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe FOMCC 335. Yorkton—Melville CPC safe YOMEL 336. Lakeland CPC safe LAKEL 337. Grande Prairie CPC safe GRPRA 338. Peace River—Westlock CPC safe PRWES 339. Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe SCGRK 340. Skeena—Bulkley Valley Toss up CPC/NDP SKBUV 341. Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe SOMOMO 342. Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe BRCRO 343. Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe PODID CAPSP ACABA ORLEA DACHO LSLOU BEAEY OTVAG HALIW CHARL NEPEA OTSOU SCGRP STLSM VAQUA MONDI TODAN WISOC SCNOR SABEP DVWES KAISA VAGRA OTWNE NDGWE FREOR VMLIS BRSTL TOSTP UNROS BEAUS TOCEN SJSE KINHA HUAYL HALIF PIDOL SCSOU GATIN NOVAC AHUCA HONME WVSSC STBSV BUNSE DOLAL STLAU SPHAR WATER BOURA VAUDR OTCEN LOUHE VANCE POKIT ALPEL DAVEH VIMY VICTR OUTRE GUELP MAFOR PAPIN SHERB SMCHA LASMA LAEVE LOCHL ARLPN KANAT WISOU LOCEN ESSAS AVALO COMST WINOR LALIL BRMIS SCWOB TAPHP DEMIC HWAAD SJKEN HOROE LOWES ETLAK TBSUNO MALPE HUBCR CHLJN SCDVE SYGLA AJAX VAFSB CARDI BURLI WIWES TRRIV MARES MIERM PRRUC TDBLA SSSTM PETER YOSWET MOROY RDMI PIBRO SUDBU QUCEN NWTER MSBLA STCATH MATHI MICEN SCAGI ETNOR MIMAL CENNO DVNOR ETCEN YUKON EDCEN LPATA CBCA WHITB WILLO DELTA BNMW MILAK OKWES EGMON BELIM MISTR OKEAS LABRA MASTO BAQUIN CARLE MIECO ABBAJ TBRARI SUNEW SOSWR COPC HAMMO SUCEN LPDEH BRCHP CUCOL BUCEN BREAS FLPKL PMCOQ SSMAL NITIM CHKEK RESTE KELWN BRSOU TNTP EGLLA BRNCA BRACE CACON KICON ACANN MIGLA WITELA MEHHS LOSTH KISTP NWBBM CLLAC KSHES PMMAP TERRB BRWES HAESCO CAMBR RIART SHEFF NOCLA MAUNI NEAUR SINOR NISOUT NIFANO CHILE BOOSH REWAS LAFRO RCMAR CAMCK EDRIV VAKIN OSHAW RELEW CHHSC HACEN LEGRI LORAM REPEN WEHHN SASKU CACE SASKS OKLSK SEEMN ESTLS BSWOM RIHISO SISOW VELCM CENNE LPILI NIWES LTFH SIGRE NUNVT FGGBN PSMUS SJSCX EDWES MILON KATIM MIRAB LOSLA PBLPV GASIL MOCHX ABSOL NALAD FUNRO WIWES EDGAT YOCEN BBSNS EDSE AORRH HUBRU KLTNI PEWEL KEKII EDNOW BGOOS LALAB VAEAST KLSCR HELAT RIMLA STJEA SHYBA SAGUL WICEN CDRLK CASKY EDMAN OXFOR COMAL SALBK LOFAN YODUR STDUC KICEN BESHS RINOR BERMA HAKALA LELOT ALRPE BECHA CACRO TOBMA DRUMO BRSIN MIMAB JONQU POJACA BELET CNKNI CANOH CHHOP NIPR ROLPD CASIH ESSEX VAWOO HADNO CKLEA JOLMA NTGWI SASKW CAHER KIVAU BENSA DUCAL CAEA MONTC COKSR LETHB ABTEM LSJEA SEINE CAPRG COALB THORN CAMID STASR CASHE SHFFS REQUP PROVE YELLO AICOC POLIS BRSOU REDDE MELOL RIDMO BEAUC FOOTH ELTRA PGPRN PRALB BLLML PARKL MECAW LEWET BORIV CTECR EDGRI MOJALA EDSTR FOMCC YOMEL LAKEL GRPRA PRWES SCGRK SKBUV SOMOMO BRCRO PODID 338Canada Federal Projection Latest update: August 31, 2025 127 CPC [84-165] LPC 180▼ [143-223]


172 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2025)
86 47 30 17 180
[143-223]		 169
42 35 26 24 127
[84-165]		 144
4 12 4 3 23
[16-29]		 22
1 4 2 4 11
[5-17]		 7
0 1 1 0 2
[1-3]		 1

Latest update: August 31, 2025

Electoral district Current party Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland CPC leaning
10004 Labrador LPC leaning
10005 Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning
11001 Cardigan LPC likely
11002 Charlottetown LPC safe
11003 Egmont LPC likely
11004 Malpeque LPC likely
12001 Acadie—Annapolis Toss up LPC/CPC
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely
12003 Central Nova LPC likely
12004 Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC safe
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC safe
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay LPC likely
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe
13004 Fundy Royal CPC leaning
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake Toss up LPC/CPC
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou LPC leaning
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC safe
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely
24008 Beauport—Limoilou LPC likely
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC likely
24011 Beloeil—Chambly BQ likely
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Toss up LPC/CPC
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC likely
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24019 Compton—Stanstead LPC safe
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC likely
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ likely
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ likely
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ leaning
24025 Gatineau LPC safe
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC safe
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ likely
24030 Jonquière BQ likely
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning
24032 La Prairie—Atateken LPC likely
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe
24036 Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe
24038 Laval—Les Îles LPC safe
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut LPC leaning
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC likely
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ
24043 Louis-Hébert LPC safe
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC leaning
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel BQ leaning
24048 Mount Royal LPC likely
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely
24050 Montcalm BQ safe
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC safe
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ leaning
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC likely
24059 Québec Centre LPC likely
24060 Repentigny Toss up LPC/BQ
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska Toss up LPC/CPC
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely
24067 Saint-Jean BQ likely
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe
24071 Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ
24072 Sherbrooke LPC safe
24073 Terrebonne Toss up LPC/BQ
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville LPC likely
24075 Trois-Rivières LPC likely
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC likely
35002 Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC likely
35003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely
35004 Barrie South—Innisfil CPC likely
35005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC leaning
35006 Bay of Quinte LPC leaning
35007 Beaches—East York LPC safe
35008 Bowmanville—Oshawa North Toss up LPC/CPC
35009 Brampton Centre LPC leaning
35010 Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning
35011 Brampton East LPC leaning
35012 Brampton North—Caledon LPC leaning
35013 Brampton South LPC leaning
35014 Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC
35015 Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC leaning
35016 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely
35017 Burlington LPC likely
35018 Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely
35019 Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35020 Carleton LPC leaning
35021 Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC likely
35022 Davenport LPC safe
35023 Don Valley North LPC likely
35024 Don Valley West LPC safe
35025 Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe
35026 Eglinton—Lawrence LPC leaning
35027 Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC leaning
35028 Essex CPC likely
35029 Etobicoke Centre LPC likely
35030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC safe
35031 Etobicoke North LPC likely
35032 Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC leaning
35033 Guelph LPC safe
35034 Haldimand—Norfolk CPC likely
35035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC likely
35036 Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP
35037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC
35038 Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning
35039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe
35040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely
35041 Humber River—Black Creek LPC likely
35042 Huron—Bruce CPC likely
35043 Kanata LPC safe
35044 Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC leaning
35045 Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely
35046 Kingston and the Islands LPC safe
35047 King—Vaughan CPC safe
35048 Kitchener Centre GPC leaning
35049 Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC
35050 Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC
35051 Lanark—Frontenac Toss up LPC/CPC
35052 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes Toss up LPC/CPC
35053 London Centre LPC safe
35054 London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP
35055 London West LPC safe
35056 Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning
35057 Markham—Thornhill LPC likely
35058 Markham—Unionville Toss up LPC/CPC
35059 Middlesex—London CPC leaning
35060 Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC
35061 Mississauga Centre LPC likely
35062 Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning
35063 Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely
35064 Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely
35065 Mississauga—Malton LPC likely
35066 Mississauga—Streetsville LPC likely
35067 Nepean LPC safe
35068 Newmarket—Aurora Toss up LPC/CPC
35069 New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC likely
35070 Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake Toss up LPC/CPC
35071 Niagara South Toss up LPC/CPC
35072 Niagara West CPC leaning
35073 Nipissing—Timiskaming LPC leaning
35074 Northumberland—Clarke Toss up LPC/CPC
35075 Oakville East LPC leaning
35076 Oakville West LPC likely
35077 Orléans LPC safe
35078 Oshawa Toss up LPC/CPC
35079 Ottawa Centre LPC safe
35080 Ottawa South LPC safe
35081 Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe
35082 Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe
35083 Oxford CPC likely
35084 Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC leaning
35085 Perth—Wellington CPC likely
35086 Peterborough LPC likely
35087 Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely
35088 Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely
35089 Richmond Hill South CPC leaning
35090 Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely
35091 Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma LPC leaning
35092 Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely
35093 Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC likely
35094 Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe
35095 Scarborough North LPC safe
35096 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35097 Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe
35098 Simcoe—Grey CPC leaning
35099 Simcoe North Toss up LPC/CPC
35100 Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe
35101 St. Catharines LPC likely
35102 Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely
35103 Sudbury LPC likely
35104 Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC leaning
35105 Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe
35106 Thornhill CPC safe
35107 Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning
35108 Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC safe
35109 Toronto Centre LPC safe
35110 Toronto—Danforth LPC safe
35111 Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe
35112 University—Rosedale LPC safe
35113 Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC likely
35114 Waterloo LPC safe
35115 Wellington—Halton Hills North Toss up LPC/CPC
35116 Whitby LPC likely
35117 Willowdale LPC likely
35118 Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC
35119 Windsor West Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35120 York Centre CPC leaning
35121 York—Durham CPC likely
35122 York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC leaning
46003 Elmwood—Transcona NDP leaning
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC safe
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP likely
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West LPC likely
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan Toss up LPC/CPC
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC
47009 Saskatoon South CPC leaning
47010 Saskatoon—University Toss up LPC/CPC
47011 Saskatoon West CPC likely
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe
48001 Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe
48002 Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre CPC leaning
48005 Calgary Confederation Toss up LPC/CPC
48006 Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely
48007 Calgary East CPC safe
48008 Calgary Heritage CPC safe
48009 Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC
48010 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48011 Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely
48012 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48013 Calgary Signal Hill CPC likely
48014 Calgary Skyview CPC likely
48015 Edmonton Centre LPC likely
48016 Edmonton Gateway CPC leaning
48017 Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP
48018 Edmonton Manning CPC likely
48019 Edmonton Northwest CPC likely
48020 Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC
48021 Edmonton Southeast CPC likely
48022 Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
48023 Edmonton West CPC leaning
48024 Foothills CPC safe
48025 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe
48026 Grande Prairie CPC safe
48027 Lakeland CPC safe
48028 Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48029 Lethbridge CPC safe
48030 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe
48031 Parkland CPC safe
48032 Peace River—Westlock CPC safe
48033 Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe
48034 Red Deer CPC safe
48035 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48036 St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe
48037 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley CPC leaning
59002 Burnaby Central LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe
59004 Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe
59005 Chilliwack—Hope CPC likely
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning
59009 Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP
59011 Delta LPC likely
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely
59016 Kelowna LPC leaning
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC likely
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC leaning
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/NDP
59021 North Island—Powell River Toss up CPC/NDP
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC leaning
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC
59028 Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley Toss up CPC/NDP
59032 South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning
59033 Surrey Centre LPC leaning
59034 Surrey Newton LPC leaning
59035 Vancouver Centre LPC safe
59036 Vancouver East NDP likely
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely
59038 Vancouver Granville LPC safe
59039 Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP
59040 Vancouver Quadra LPC safe
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC leaning
59042 Victoria LPC safe
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe
60001 Yukon LPC likely
61001 Northwest Territories LPC likely
62001 Nunavut NDP leaning