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Canada

The Road to 172 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 2. Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe DACHO 3. Beaches—East York LPC safe BEAEY 4. Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe OTVAG 5. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 6. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 7. Toronto—Danforth LPC safe TODAN 8. Ottawa South LPC safe OTSOU 9. Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe STLSM 10. Charlottetown LPC safe CHARL 11. Halifax West LPC safe HALIW 12. Toronto Centre LPC safe TOCEN 13. Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe SCGRP 14. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe NDGWE 15. Nepean LPC safe NEPEA 16. Kingston and the Islands LPC safe KAISA 17. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 18. University—Rosedale LPC safe UNROS 19. Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe OTWNE 20. Vancouver Quadra LPC safe VAQUA 21. Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe VMLIS 22. Halifax LPC safe HALIF 23. Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe MONDI 24. Scarborough North LPC safe SCNOR 25. Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe BRSTL 26. Don Valley West LPC safe DVWES 27. Ottawa Centre LPC safe OTCEN 28. St. John’s East LPC safe SJSE 29. Hull—Aylmer LPC safe HUAYL 30. Vancouver Granville LPC safe VAGRA 31. Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe SABEP 32. Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe TOSTP 33. Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe FREOR 34. Scarborough Southwest LPC safe SCSOU 35. Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe AHUCA 36. Kanata LPC safe KANAT 37. Kings—Hants LPC safe KINHA 38. Honoré-Mercier LPC safe HONME 39. Gatineau LPC safe GATIN 40. Beauséjour LPC safe BEAUS 41. St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe STBSV 42. West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe WVSSC 43. Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe PIDOL 44. North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe NOVAC 45. Waterloo LPC safe WATER 46. Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe SPHAR 47. Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe DOLAL 48. Saint-Laurent LPC safe STLAU 49. Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe BUNSE 50. Avalon LPC safe AVALO 51. Bourassa LPC safe BOURA 52. Vaudreuil LPC safe VAUDR 53. Davenport LPC safe DAVEH 54. London Centre LPC safe LOCEN 55. London West LPC safe LOWES 56. Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe LSLOU 57. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe HWAAD 58. Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe TAPHP 59. Louis-Hébert LPC safe LOUHE 60. Vancouver Centre LPC safe VANCE 61. Outremont LPC safe OUTRE 62. Guelph LPC safe GUELP 63. Alfred-Pellan LPC safe ALPEL 64. Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe POKIT 65. Victoria LPC safe VICTR 66. Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe SCWOB 67. Vimy LPC safe VIMY 68. Papineau LPC safe PAPIN 69. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe MAFOR 70. Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe LASMA 71. Sherbrooke LPC safe SHERB 72. LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe LAEVE 73. Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe SMCHA 74. Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe ESSAS 75. Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe LOCHL 76. Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe BRMIS 77. Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe ARLPN 78. Compton—Stanstead LPC safe COMST 79. Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC safe CHLJN 80. Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC safe HOROE 81. Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe SJKEN 82. Winnipeg North LPC safe WINOR 83. Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC safe ETLAK 84. Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC safe SCDVE 85. Ajax LPC safe AJAX 86. Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC safe TBSUNO 87. Laval—Les Îles LPC safe LALIL 88. Winnipeg South LPC safe WISOU 89. Thérèse-De Blainville LPC safe TDBLA 90. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe DEMIC 91. Humber River—Black Creek LPC safe HUBCR 92. Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC safe VAFSB 93. Trois-Rivières LPC safe TRRIV 94. Burlington LPC safe BURLI 95. Malpeque LPC likely MALPE 96. Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely MIERM 97. Sydney—Glace Bay LPC likely SYGLA 98. Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely PRRUC 99. Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely MARES 100. Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely MSBLA 101. Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely RDMI 102. Québec Centre LPC likely QUCEN 103. Peterborough LPC likely PETER 104. York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely YOSWET 105. Cardigan LPC likely CARDI 106. Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely PIBRO 107. Winnipeg West LPC likely WIWES 108. Sudbury LPC likely SUDBU 109. South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely SSSTM 110. St. Catharines LPC likely STCATH 111. Northwest Territories LPC likely NWTER 112. Markham—Thornhill LPC likely MATHI 113. Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC likely CHKEK 114. Mississauga Centre LPC likely MICEN 115. Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely SCAGI 116. La Prairie—Atateken LPC likely LPATA 117. Mississauga—Malton LPC likely MIMAL 118. Yukon LPC likely YUKON 119. Etobicoke North LPC likely ETNOR 120. Etobicoke Centre LPC likely ETCEN 121. Mount Royal LPC likely MOROY 122. Don Valley North LPC likely DVNOR 123. Whitby LPC likely WHITB 124. Willowdale LPC likely WILLO 125. Central Nova LPC likely CENNO 126. Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely BNMW 127. Delta LPC likely DELTA 128. Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely MILAK 129. Hamilton Centre LPC likely HACEN 130. Oakville West LPC likely OKWES 131. Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely CBCA 132. Beauport—Limoilou LPC leaning BELIM 133. Edmonton Centre LPC leaning EDCEN 134. Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning MISTR 135. Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning MASTO 136. Egmont LPC leaning EGMON 137. Bay of Quinte LPC leaning BAQUIN 138. Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou LPC leaning ABBAJ 139. Les Pays-d’en-Haut LPC leaning LPDEH 140. Oakville East LPC leaning OKEAS 141. Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning MIECO 142. Carleton LPC leaning CARLE 143. South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning SOSWR 144. Labrador LPC leaning LABRA 145. Surrey Newton LPC leaning SUNEW 146. Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning COPC 147. Surrey Centre LPC leaning SUCEN 148. Burnaby Central LPC leaning BUCEN 149. Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning HAMMO 150. Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning BRCHP 151. Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning FLPKL 152. Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning PMCOQ 153. Brampton East LPC leaning BREAS 154. Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning TBRARI 155. New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville LPC leaning NWBBM 156. Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Toss up LPC/CPC SSMAL 157. Cumberland—Colchester Toss up LPC/CPC CUCOL 158. Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC NITIM 159. Richmond East—Steveston Toss up LPC/CPC RESTE 160. Calgary Confederation Toss up LPC/CPC CACON 161. Brampton South Toss up LPC/CPC BRSOU 162. Brampton North—Caledon Toss up LPC/CPC BRNCA 163. Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC EGLLA 164. Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ LOSTH 165. Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC KICON 166. Brampton Centre Toss up LPC/CPC BRACE 167. Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC KELWN 168. Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC MEHHS 169. Terra Nova—The Peninsulas Toss up LPC/CPC TNTP 170. Terrebonne Toss up LPC/BQ TERRB 171. Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC WITELA 172. Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP VAKIN 173. Nunavut Toss up LPC/NDP NUNVT 174. Miramichi—Grand Lake Toss up LPC/CPC MIGLA 175. Acadie—Annapolis Toss up LPC/CPC ACANN 176. Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ SHEFF 177. Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC CLLAC 178. Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC KSHES 179. Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC BRWES 180. Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC PMMAP 181. Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC CAMBR 182. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC HAESCO 183. Calgary McKnight CPC leaning CAMCK 184. Kildonan—St. Paul CPC leaning KISTP 185. Richmond—Arthabaska CPC leaning RIART 186. Simcoe North CPC leaning SINOR 187. Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning WICEN 188. Repentigny BQ leaning REPEN 189. Markham—Unionville CPC leaning MAUNI 190. Newmarket—Aurora CPC leaning NEAUR 191. Niagara South CPC leaning NISOUT 192. Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ CHILE 193. Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC leaning NIFANO 194. Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC leaning BOOSH 195. Northumberland—Clarke CPC leaning NOCLA 196. Lanark—Frontenac CPC leaning LAFRO 197. Calgary Centre CPC leaning CACE 198. Richmond Centre—Marpole CPC leaning RCMAR 199. Edmonton Riverbend CPC leaning EDRIV 200. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning LPILI 201. Regina—Wascana CPC leaning REWAS 202. Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC leaning LEGRI 203. Oshawa CPC leaning OSHAW 204. Regina—Lewvan CPC likely RELEW 205. Long Range Mountains CPC likely LORAM 206. Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC likely OKLSK 207. Saskatoon—University CPC likely SASKU 208. Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC likely ESTLS 209. Mirabel BQ likely MIRAB 210. Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC likely WEHHN 211. Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC likely VELCM 212. Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC likely SISOW 213. Richmond Hill South CPC likely RIHISO 214. Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely GASIL 215. Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ likely PBLPV 216. Simcoe—Grey CPC likely SIGRE 217. Saskatoon South CPC likely SASKS 218. Vancouver East NDP likely VAEAST 219. Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC KICEN 220. Central Newfoundland CPC likely CENNE 221. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC likely BSWOM 222. Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC likely SEEMN 223. Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely CHHSC 224. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely SAGUL 225. Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC likely LTFH 226. Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ MOCHX 227. Windsor West CPC likely WIWES 228. Niagara West CPC likely NIWES 229. Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC likely KATIM 230. Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC likely PSMUS 231. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely AORRH 232. Abbotsford—South Langley CPC likely ABSOL 233. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely NALAD 234. Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely FGGBN 235. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely ROLPD 236. Middlesex—London CPC likely MILON 237. Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely LALAB 238. Saint John—St. Croix CPC likely SJSCX 239. York Centre CPC likely YOCEN 240. Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely RIMLA 241. Saint-Jean BQ likely STJEA 242. Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely KLTNI 243. Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely SHYBA 244. Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely KEKII 245. Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely BBSNS 246. London—Fanshawe CPC likely LOFAN 247. Huron—Bruce CPC likely HUBRU 248. Fundy Royal CPC likely FUNRO 249. Perth—Wellington CPC likely PEWEL 250. Edmonton Gateway CPC likely EDGAT 251. Edmonton Southeast CPC likely EDSE 252. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely BGOOS 253. Cowichan—Malahat—Langford CPC leaning COMAL 254. Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely RINOR 255. Edmonton West CPC likely EDWES 256. Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC likely LOSLA 257. Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely BESHS 258. Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely KLSCR 259. Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely HELAT 260. Edmonton Northwest CPC likely EDNOW 261. Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely BERMA 262. York—Durham CPC safe YODUR 263. Oxford CPC safe OXFOR 264. Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC safe ALRPE 265. Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe BECHA 266. Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe CNKNI 267. Edmonton Manning CPC safe EDMAN 268. Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC safe CDRLK 269. Drummond BQ safe DRUMO 270. Jonquière BQ likely JONQU 271. Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC safe STDUC 272. Calgary Skyview CPC safe CASKY 273. Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC safe SALBK 274. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe HAKALA 275. Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC safe MIMAB 276. North Island—Powell River CPC likely NIPR 277. Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC safe VAWOO 278. Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe BRSIN 279. Calgary Crowfoot CPC safe CACRO 280. New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe NTGWI 281. Essex CPC safe ESSEX 282. Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe HADNO 283. Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe CASIH 284. Calgary Nose Hill CPC safe CANOH 285. Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe CKLEA 286. Tobique—Mactaquac CPC safe TOBMA 287. King—Vaughan CPC safe KIVAU 288. Chilliwack—Hope CPC safe CHHOP 289. Calgary Heritage CPC safe CAHER 290. Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe DUCAL 291. Lethbridge CPC safe LETHB 292. Calgary East CPC safe CAEA 293. Joliette—Manawan BQ safe JOLMA 294. Thornhill CPC safe THORN 295. Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe SEINE 296. Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe CAPRG 297. Calgary Midnapore CPC safe CAMID 298. St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe STASR 299. Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe POJACA 300. Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe LELOT 301. Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe BELET 302. Calgary Shepard CPC safe CASHE 303. Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe COKSR 304. Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe BENSA 305. Saskatoon West CPC safe SASKW 306. Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe ABTEM 307. Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe SHFFS 308. Montcalm BQ safe MONTC 309. Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe REQUP 310. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe LSJEA 311. Provencher CPC safe PROVE 312. Yellowhead CPC safe YELLO 313. Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe AICOC 314. Brandon—Souris CPC safe BRSOU 315. Portage—Lisgar CPC safe POLIS 316. Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely COALB 317. Riding Mountain CPC safe RIDMO 318. Elmwood—Transcona CPC likely ELTRA 319. Red Deer CPC safe REDDE 320. Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe MELOL 321. Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe PGPRN 322. Beauce CPC safe BEAUC 323. Foothills CPC safe FOOTH 324. Prince Albert CPC safe PRALB 325. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe EDSTR 326. Edmonton Griesbach CPC likely EDGRI 327. Parkland CPC safe PARKL 328. Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe MECAW 329. Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe BLLML 330. Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe LEWET 331. Bow River CPC safe BORIV 332. Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe CTECR 333. Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe MOJALA 334. Yorkton—Melville CPC safe YOMEL 335. Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe FOMCC 336. Peace River—Westlock CPC safe PRWES 337. Grande Prairie CPC safe GRPRA 338. Lakeland CPC safe LAKEL 339. Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe BRCRO 340. Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe SCGRK 341. Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC likely SKBUV 342. Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe SOMOMO 343. Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe PODID CAPSP DACHO BEAEY OTVAG ACABA ORLEA TODAN OTSOU STLSM CHARL HALIW TOCEN SCGRP NDGWE NEPEA KAISA WISOC UNROS OTWNE VAQUA VMLIS HALIF MONDI SCNOR BRSTL DVWES OTCEN SJSE HUAYL VAGRA SABEP TOSTP FREOR SCSOU AHUCA KANAT KINHA HONME GATIN BEAUS STBSV WVSSC PIDOL NOVAC WATER SPHAR DOLAL STLAU BUNSE AVALO BOURA VAUDR DAVEH LOCEN LOWES LSLOU HWAAD TAPHP LOUHE VANCE OUTRE GUELP ALPEL POKIT VICTR SCWOB VIMY PAPIN MAFOR LASMA SHERB LAEVE SMCHA ESSAS LOCHL BRMIS ARLPN COMST CHLJN HOROE SJKEN WINOR ETLAK SCDVE AJAX TBSUNO LALIL WISOU TDBLA DEMIC HUBCR VAFSB TRRIV BURLI MALPE MIERM SYGLA PRRUC MARES MSBLA RDMI QUCEN PETER YOSWET CARDI PIBRO WIWES SUDBU SSSTM STCATH NWTER MATHI CHKEK MICEN SCAGI LPATA MIMAL YUKON ETNOR ETCEN MOROY DVNOR WHITB WILLO CENNO BNMW DELTA MILAK HACEN OKWES CBCA BELIM EDCEN MISTR MASTO EGMON BAQUIN ABBAJ LPDEH OKEAS MIECO CARLE SOSWR LABRA SUNEW COPC SUCEN BUCEN HAMMO BRCHP FLPKL PMCOQ BREAS TBRARI NWBBM SSMAL CUCOL NITIM RESTE CACON BRSOU BRNCA EGLLA LOSTH KICON BRACE KELWN MEHHS TNTP TERRB WITELA VAKIN NUNVT MIGLA ACANN SHEFF CLLAC KSHES BRWES PMMAP CAMBR HAESCO CAMCK KISTP RIART SINOR WICEN REPEN MAUNI NEAUR NISOUT CHILE NIFANO BOOSH NOCLA LAFRO CACE RCMAR EDRIV LPILI REWAS LEGRI OSHAW RELEW LORAM OKLSK SASKU ESTLS MIRAB WEHHN VELCM SISOW RIHISO GASIL PBLPV SIGRE SASKS VAEAST KICEN CENNE BSWOM SEEMN CHHSC SAGUL LTFH MOCHX WIWES NIWES KATIM PSMUS AORRH ABSOL NALAD FGGBN ROLPD MILON LALAB SJSCX YOCEN RIMLA STJEA KLTNI SHYBA KEKII BBSNS LOFAN HUBRU FUNRO PEWEL EDGAT EDSE BGOOS COMAL RINOR EDWES LOSLA BESHS KLSCR HELAT EDNOW BERMA YODUR OXFOR ALRPE BECHA CNKNI EDMAN CDRLK DRUMO JONQU STDUC CASKY SALBK HAKALA MIMAB NIPR VAWOO BRSIN CACRO NTGWI ESSEX HADNO CASIH CANOH CKLEA TOBMA KIVAU CHHOP CAHER DUCAL LETHB CAEA JOLMA THORN SEINE CAPRG CAMID STASR POJACA LELOT BELET CASHE COKSR BENSA SASKW ABTEM SHFFS MONTC REQUP LSJEA PROVE YELLO AICOC BRSOU POLIS COALB RIDMO ELTRA REDDE MELOL PGPRN BEAUC FOOTH PRALB EDSTR EDGRI PARKL MECAW BLLML LEWET BORIV CTECR MOJALA YOMEL FOMCC PRWES GRPRA LAKEL BRCRO SCGRK SKBUV SOMOMO PODID 338Canada Federal Projection Latest update: May 18, 2025 143 CPC [124-163] LPC 170 [149-188]


172 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2025)
94 37 24 13 170
[149-188]		 169
67 46 18 13 143
[124-163]		 144
8 11 2 2 22
[19-26]		 22
1 3 1 2 7
[4-8]		 7
0 1 0 0 1
[1-2]		 1

Latest update: May 18, 2025

Electoral district Transposed
2021 winner		 Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland CPC likely
10004 Labrador LPC leaning
10005 Long Range Mountains CPC likely
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas Toss up LPC/CPC
11001 Cardigan LPC likely
11002 Charlottetown LPC safe
11003 Egmont LPC leaning
11004 Malpeque LPC likely
12001 Acadie—Annapolis Toss up LPC/CPC
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely
12003 Central Nova LPC likely
12004 Cumberland—Colchester Toss up LPC/CPC
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC safe
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC safe
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay LPC likely
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe
13004 Fundy Royal CPC likely
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake Toss up LPC/CPC
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC likely
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC safe
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou LPC leaning
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC safe
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely
24008 Beauport—Limoilou LPC leaning
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe
24011 Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC safe
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24019 Compton—Stanstead LPC safe
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC safe
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ safe
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely
24025 Gatineau LPC safe
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC safe
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ safe
24030 Jonquière BQ likely
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ leaning
24032 La Prairie—Atateken LPC likely
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe
24036 Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe
24038 Laval—Les Îles LPC safe
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut LPC leaning
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ
24043 Louis-Hébert LPC safe
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC likely
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel BQ likely
24048 Mount Royal LPC likely
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely
24050 Montcalm BQ safe
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC safe
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ likely
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe
24059 Québec Centre LPC likely
24060 Repentigny BQ leaning
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska CPC leaning
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely
24067 Saint-Jean BQ likely
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe
24071 Shefford Toss up LPC/BQ
24072 Sherbrooke LPC safe
24073 Terrebonne Toss up LPC/BQ
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville LPC safe
24075 Trois-Rivières LPC safe
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC safe
35002 Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC safe
35003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely
35004 Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe
35005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC likely
35006 Bay of Quinte LPC leaning
35007 Beaches—East York LPC safe
35008 Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC leaning
35009 Brampton Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
35010 Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning
35011 Brampton East LPC leaning
35012 Brampton North—Caledon Toss up LPC/CPC
35013 Brampton South Toss up LPC/CPC
35014 Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC
35015 Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely
35016 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely
35017 Burlington LPC safe
35018 Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely
35019 Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35020 Carleton LPC leaning
35021 Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe
35022 Davenport LPC safe
35023 Don Valley North LPC likely
35024 Don Valley West LPC safe
35025 Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe
35026 Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC
35027 Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC likely
35028 Essex CPC safe
35029 Etobicoke Centre LPC likely
35030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC safe
35031 Etobicoke North LPC likely
35032 Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely
35033 Guelph LPC safe
35034 Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe
35035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe
35036 Hamilton Centre LPC likely
35037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC
35038 Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning
35039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe
35040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely
35041 Humber River—Black Creek LPC safe
35042 Huron—Bruce CPC likely
35043 Kanata LPC safe
35044 Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC likely
35045 Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely
35046 Kingston and the Islands LPC safe
35047 King—Vaughan CPC safe
35048 Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC
35049 Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC
35050 Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC
35051 Lanark—Frontenac CPC leaning
35052 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC leaning
35053 London Centre LPC safe
35054 London—Fanshawe CPC likely
35055 London West LPC safe
35056 Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning
35057 Markham—Thornhill LPC likely
35058 Markham—Unionville CPC leaning
35059 Middlesex—London CPC likely
35060 Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC
35061 Mississauga Centre LPC likely
35062 Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning
35063 Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely
35064 Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely
35065 Mississauga—Malton LPC likely
35066 Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning
35067 Nepean LPC safe
35068 Newmarket—Aurora CPC leaning
35069 New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe
35070 Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC leaning
35071 Niagara South CPC leaning
35072 Niagara West CPC likely
35073 Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC
35074 Northumberland—Clarke CPC leaning
35075 Oakville East LPC leaning
35076 Oakville West LPC likely
35077 Orléans LPC safe
35078 Oshawa CPC leaning
35079 Ottawa Centre LPC safe
35080 Ottawa South LPC safe
35081 Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe
35082 Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe
35083 Oxford CPC safe
35084 Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC likely
35085 Perth—Wellington CPC likely
35086 Peterborough LPC likely
35087 Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely
35088 Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely
35089 Richmond Hill South CPC likely
35090 Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC safe
35091 Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Toss up LPC/CPC
35092 Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely
35093 Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC safe
35094 Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe
35095 Scarborough North LPC safe
35096 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35097 Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe
35098 Simcoe—Grey CPC likely
35099 Simcoe North CPC leaning
35100 Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe
35101 St. Catharines LPC likely
35102 Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC safe
35103 Sudbury LPC likely
35104 Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC likely
35105 Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe
35106 Thornhill CPC safe
35107 Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning
35108 Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC safe
35109 Toronto Centre LPC safe
35110 Toronto—Danforth LPC safe
35111 Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe
35112 University—Rosedale LPC safe
35113 Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC safe
35114 Waterloo LPC safe
35115 Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC likely
35116 Whitby LPC likely
35117 Willowdale LPC likely
35118 Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC
35119 Windsor West CPC likely
35120 York Centre CPC likely
35121 York—Durham CPC safe
35122 York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC likely
46003 Elmwood—Transcona CPC likely
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul CPC leaning
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC safe
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West LPC likely
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan CPC likely
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana CPC leaning
47009 Saskatoon South CPC likely
47010 Saskatoon—University CPC likely
47011 Saskatoon West CPC safe
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe
48001 Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe
48002 Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre CPC leaning
48005 Calgary Confederation Toss up LPC/CPC
48006 Calgary Crowfoot CPC safe
48007 Calgary East CPC safe
48008 Calgary Heritage CPC safe
48009 Calgary McKnight CPC leaning
48010 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48011 Calgary Nose Hill CPC safe
48012 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48013 Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe
48014 Calgary Skyview CPC safe
48015 Edmonton Centre LPC leaning
48016 Edmonton Gateway CPC likely
48017 Edmonton Griesbach CPC likely
48018 Edmonton Manning CPC safe
48019 Edmonton Northwest CPC likely
48020 Edmonton Riverbend CPC leaning
48021 Edmonton Southeast CPC likely
48022 Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
48023 Edmonton West CPC likely
48024 Foothills CPC safe
48025 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe
48026 Grande Prairie CPC safe
48027 Lakeland CPC safe
48028 Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48029 Lethbridge CPC safe
48030 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe
48031 Parkland CPC safe
48032 Peace River—Westlock CPC safe
48033 Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe
48034 Red Deer CPC safe
48035 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48036 St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe
48037 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley CPC likely
59002 Burnaby Central LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe
59004 Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe
59005 Chilliwack—Hope CPC safe
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning
59009 Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford CPC leaning
59011 Delta LPC likely
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely
59016 Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC likely
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC safe
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville LPC leaning
59021 North Island—Powell River CPC likely
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC likely
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole CPC leaning
59028 Richmond East—Steveston Toss up LPC/CPC
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC likely
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC likely
59032 South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning
59033 Surrey Centre LPC leaning
59034 Surrey Newton LPC leaning
59035 Vancouver Centre LPC safe
59036 Vancouver East NDP likely
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC safe
59038 Vancouver Granville LPC safe
59039 Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP
59040 Vancouver Quadra LPC safe
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC likely
59042 Victoria LPC safe
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe
60001 Yukon LPC likely
61001 Northwest Territories LPC likely
62001 Nunavut Toss up LPC/NDP