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Canada

The Road to 172 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe LSLOU 2. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 3. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 4. Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe STLSM 5. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 6. Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe DACHO 7. Beaches—East York LPC safe BEAEY 8. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe NDGWE 9. Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe VMLIS 10. Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe OTVAG 11. Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe BRSTL 12. Halifax West LPC safe HALIW 13. Hull—Aylmer LPC safe HUAYL 14. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 15. Ottawa South LPC safe OTSOU 16. Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe PIDOL 17. Nepean LPC safe NEPEA 18. Gatineau LPC safe GATIN 19. Toronto—Danforth LPC safe TODAN 20. Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe SCGRP 21. Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe MONDI 22. Vancouver Quadra LPC safe VAQUA 23. Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe AHUCA 24. Honoré-Mercier LPC safe HONME 25. Scarborough North LPC safe SCNOR 26. Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe SABEP 27. Kingston and the Islands LPC safe KAISA 28. Don Valley West LPC safe DVWES 29. Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe OTWNE 30. Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe DOLAL 31. Saint-Laurent LPC safe STLAU 32. Vancouver Granville LPC safe VAGRA 33. University—Rosedale LPC safe UNROS 34. Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe FREOR 35. Toronto Centre LPC safe TOCEN 36. Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe TOSTP 37. Beauséjour LPC safe BEAUS 38. St. John’s East LPC safe SJSE 39. Kings—Hants LPC safe KINHA 40. Bourassa LPC safe BOURA 41. Vaudreuil LPC safe VAUDR 42. St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe STBSV 43. Halifax LPC safe HALIF 44. Winnipeg South LPC safe WISOU 45. Scarborough Southwest LPC safe SCSOU 46. Kanata LPC safe KANAT 47. North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe NOVAC 48. West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe WVSSC 49. Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe BUNSE 50. Ottawa Centre LPC safe OTCEN 51. Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe SPHAR 52. Louis-Hébert LPC safe LOUHE 53. Waterloo LPC safe WATER 54. Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe POKIT 55. Alfred-Pellan LPC safe ALPEL 56. Vimy LPC safe VIMY 57. Outremont LPC safe OUTRE 58. London Centre LPC safe LOCEN 59. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe MAFOR 60. Vancouver Centre LPC safe VANCE 61. Davenport LPC safe DAVEH 62. Papineau LPC safe PAPIN 63. Sherbrooke LPC safe SHERB 64. Laval—Les Îles LPC safe LALIL 65. Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe SMCHA 66. Victoria LPC safe VICTR 67. Guelph LPC safe GUELP 68. Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe LASMA 69. LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe LAEVE 70. Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe LOCHL 71. Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe TAPHP 72. Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe BRMIS 73. Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe ARLPN 74. Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe ESSAS 75. Compton—Stanstead LPC safe COMST 76. Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC safe HOROE 77. Charlottetown LPC safe CHARL 78. Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe SCWOB 79. Winnipeg North LPC safe WINOR 80. Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC safe CHLJN 81. Trois-Rivières LPC safe TRRIV 82. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe DEMIC 83. Avalon LPC safe AVALO 84. Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe SJKEN 85. Thérèse-De Blainville LPC safe TDBLA 86. Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC safe RDMI 87. London West LPC safe LOWES 88. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe HWAAD 89. Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC safe MSBLA 90. Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC safe TBSUNO 91. Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC safe ETLAK 92. Québec Centre LPC safe QUCEN 93. Malpeque LPC safe MALPE 94. Humber River—Black Creek LPC safe HUBCR 95. Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC safe SCDVE 96. Sydney—Glace Bay LPC safe SYGLA 97. Mount Royal LPC safe MOROY 98. Winnipeg West LPC safe WIWES 99. Ajax LPC likely AJAX 100. Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely VAFSB 101. Cardigan LPC likely CARDI 102. Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely MARES 103. Burlington LPC likely BURLI 104. Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely MIERM 105. La Prairie—Atateken LPC likely LPATA 106. Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely PRRUC 107. South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely SSSTM 108. York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely YOSWET 109. Peterborough LPC likely PETER 110. Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely PIBRO 111. Northwest Territories LPC likely NWTER 112. Sudbury LPC likely SUDBU 113. Beauport—Limoilou LPC likely BELIM 114. St. Catharines LPC likely STCATH 115. Edmonton Centre LPC likely EDCEN 116. Markham—Thornhill LPC likely MATHI 117. Mississauga Centre LPC likely MICEN 118. Central Nova LPC likely CENNO 119. Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely SCAGI 120. Etobicoke North LPC likely ETNOR 121. Mississauga—Malton LPC likely MIMAL 122. Les Pays-d’en-Haut LPC likely LPDEH 123. Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou LPC likely ABBAJ 124. Yukon LPC likely YUKON 125. Don Valley North LPC likely DVNOR 126. Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely CBCA 127. Etobicoke Centre LPC likely ETCEN 128. Whitby LPC likely WHITB 129. Delta LPC likely DELTA 130. Willowdale LPC likely WILLO 131. Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely BNMW 132. Oakville West LPC likely OKWES 133. Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely MILAK 134. Egmont LPC likely EGMON 135. Mississauga—Streetsville LPC likely MISTR 136. Oakville East LPC likely OKEAS 137. Labrador LPC likely LABRA 138. Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC likely CHKEK 139. Markham—Stouffville LPC likely MASTO 140. Bay of Quinte LPC likely BAQUIN 141. Longueuil—Saint-Hubert LPC likely LOSTH 142. Carleton LPC likely CARLE 143. Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning MIECO 144. South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning SOSWR 145. Surrey Newton LPC leaning SUNEW 146. Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning TBRARI 147. Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning COPC 148. Surrey Centre LPC leaning SUCEN 149. Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning CUCOL 150. Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning HAMMO 151. Terrebonne LPC leaning TERRB 152. Burnaby Central LPC leaning BUCEN 153. Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning BRCHP 154. Calgary Confederation LPC leaning CACON 155. Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning FLPKL 156. Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning PMCOQ 157. Brampton East LPC leaning BREAS 158. Shefford LPC leaning SHEFF 159. Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma LPC leaning SSMAL 160. Nipissing—Timiskaming LPC leaning NITIM 161. Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning RESTE 162. Kelowna LPC leaning KELWN 163. Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning TNTP 164. Kildonan—St. Paul LPC leaning KISTP 165. Eglinton—Lawrence LPC leaning EGLLA 166. Brampton South LPC leaning BRSOU 167. Richmond—Arthabaska LPC leaning RIART 168. Brampton North—Caledon LPC leaning BRNCA 169. Brampton Centre LPC leaning BRACE 170. Chicoutimi—Le Fjord LPC leaning CHILE 171. Acadie—Annapolis LPC leaning ACANN 172. Miramichi—Grand Lake LPC leaning MIGLA 173. Kitchener—Conestoga LPC leaning KICON 174. Repentigny LPC leaning REPEN 175. Milton East—Halton Hills South LPC leaning MEHHS 176. Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore LPC leaning WITELA 177. New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/NDP NWBBM 178. Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Toss up LPC/CPC CHHSC 179. Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC CLLAC 180. Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC PMMAP 181. Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC KSHES 182. Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC CAMBR 183. Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC BRWES 184. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC HAESCO 185. Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC CAMCK 186. Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC EDRIV 187. La Pointe-de-l’Île Toss up LPC/BQ LPILI 188. Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC REWAS 189. Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP HACEN 190. Northumberland—Clarke Toss up LPC/CPC NOCLA 191. Calgary Centre Toss up LPC/CPC CACE 192. Newmarket—Aurora Toss up LPC/CPC NEAUR 193. Markham—Unionville Toss up LPC/CPC MAUNI 194. Regina—Lewvan Toss up LPC/CPC RELEW 195. Simcoe North Toss up LPC/CPC SINOR 196. Niagara South Toss up LPC/CPC NISOUT 197. Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères Toss up LPC/BQ PBLPV 198. Bowmanville—Oshawa North Toss up LPC/CPC BOOSH 199. Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake Toss up LPC/CPC NIFANO 200. Mirabel Toss up LPC/BQ MIRAB 201. Saskatoon—University Toss up LPC/CPC SASKU 202. Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC RCMAR 203. Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj Toss up LPC/BQ GASIL 204. Saskatoon South Toss up LPC/CPC SASKS 205. Lanark—Frontenac Toss up LPC/CPC LAFRO 206. Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP VAKIN 207. Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ MOCHX 208. Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC LORAM 209. Oshawa Toss up LPC/CPC OSHAW 210. Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes Toss up LPC/CPC LEGRI 211. Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk Toss up LPC/CPC LOSLA 212. Wellington—Halton Hills North Toss up LPC/CPC WEHHN 213. Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC OKLSK 214. Edmonton West Toss up LPC/CPC EDWES 215. Elgin—St. Thomas—London South Toss up LPC/CPC ESTLS 216. Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt Toss up LPC/CPC SEEMN 217. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Toss up LPC/CPC BSWOM 218. Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee Toss up LPC/CPC VELCM 219. Laurentides—Labelle BQ leaning LALAB 220. Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning SISOW 221. Richmond Hill South CPC leaning RIHISO 222. Central Newfoundland CPC leaning CENNE 223. Nunavut Toss up LPC/NDP NUNVT 224. Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning LTFH 225. Saint-Jean BQ leaning STJEA 226. Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ leaning RIMLA 227. Niagara West CPC leaning NIWES 228. Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ leaning SHYBA 229. Edmonton Gateway CPC leaning EDGAT 230. Simcoe—Grey CPC leaning SIGRE 231. Edmonton Southeast CPC leaning EDSE 232. Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning SJSCX 233. Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC leaning FGGBN 234. Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC leaning PSMUS 235. Middlesex—London CPC leaning MILON 236. Edmonton Northwest CPC leaning EDNOW 237. Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC leaning KATIM 238. Abbotsford—South Langley CPC leaning ABSOL 239. Fundy Royal CPC leaning FUNRO 240. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC leaning NALAD 241. Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC leaning CDRLK 242. Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ leaning BESHS 243. Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC leaning KLTNI 244. York Centre CPC leaning YOCEN 245. Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC leaning BBSNS 246. Rivière-du-Nord BQ leaning RINOR 247. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC leaning AORRH 248. Huron—Bruce CPC leaning HUBRU 249. Calgary Skyview CPC leaning CASKY 250. Perth—Wellington CPC leaning PEWEL 251. Vancouver East NDP likely VAEAST 252. Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely KEKII 253. Beloeil—Chambly BQ likely BECHA 254. Edmonton Manning CPC likely EDMAN 255. Berthier—Maskinongé BQ leaning BERMA 256. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely BGOOS 257. Windsor West Toss up CPC/NDP WIWES 258. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely SAGUL 259. Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely KLSCR 260. Winnipeg Centre NDP likely WICEN 261. Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely HELAT 262. Lévis—Lotbinière CPC likely LELOT 263. Drummond BQ likely DRUMO 264. London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP LOFAN 265. Jonquière BQ likely JONQU 266. Kitchener Centre GPC leaning KICEN 267. Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP COMAL 268. Oxford CPC likely OXFOR 269. Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely CACRO 270. Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ likely CNKNI 271. Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely SALBK 272. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely ROLPD 273. Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely STDUC 274. York—Durham CPC likely YODUR 275. Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC likely POJACA 276. Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC likely BELET 277. Joliette—Manawan BQ likely JOLMA 278. Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely CANOH 279. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC likely HAKALA 280. Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC likely ALRPE 281. Calgary Signal Hill CPC likely CASIH 282. Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely TOBMA 283. Barrie South—Innisfil CPC likely BRSIN 284. Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC likely MIMAB 285. Chilliwack—Hope CPC likely CHHOP 286. Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ likely BENSA 287. North Island—Powell River Toss up CPC/NDP NIPR 288. Montcalm BQ likely MONTC 289. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely LSJEA 290. Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC likely VAWOO 291. Haldimand—Norfolk CPC likely HADNO 292. Essex CPC likely ESSEX 293. Calgary Heritage CPC likely CAHER 294. New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC likely NTGWI 295. Saskatoon West CPC likely SASKW 296. Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC likely CKLEA 297. Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ likely ABTEM 298. Lethbridge CPC likely LETHB 299. Calgary East CPC likely CAEA 300. Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe DUCAL 301. King—Vaughan CPC safe KIVAU 302. Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe COKSR 303. Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe SEINE 304. St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe STASR 305. Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe REQUP 306. Calgary Midnapore CPC safe CAMID 307. Thornhill CPC safe THORN 308. Calgary Shepard CPC safe CASHE 309. Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe CAPRG 310. Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe SHFFS 311. Yellowhead CPC safe YELLO 312. Provencher CPC safe PROVE 313. Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe AICOC 314. Portage—Lisgar CPC safe POLIS 315. Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe MELOL 316. Brandon—Souris CPC safe BRSOU 317. Red Deer CPC safe REDDE 318. Riding Mountain CPC safe RIDMO 319. Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely COALB 320. Beauce CPC safe BEAUC 321. Elmwood—Transcona NDP leaning ELTRA 322. Foothills CPC safe FOOTH 323. Prince Albert CPC safe PRALB 324. Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe BLLML 325. Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe PGPRN 326. Parkland CPC safe PARKL 327. Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe MECAW 328. Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe LEWET 329. Bow River CPC safe BORIV 330. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP EDGRI 331. Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe CTECR 332. Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe MOJALA 333. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe EDSTR 334. Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe FOMCC 335. Yorkton—Melville CPC safe YOMEL 336. Lakeland CPC safe LAKEL 337. Grande Prairie CPC safe GRPRA 338. Peace River—Westlock CPC safe PRWES 339. Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe SCGRK 340. Skeena—Bulkley Valley Toss up CPC/NDP SKBUV 341. Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe SOMOMO 342. Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe BRCRO 343. Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe PODID LSLOU CAPSP ACABA STLSM ORLEA DACHO BEAEY NDGWE VMLIS OTVAG BRSTL HALIW HUAYL WISOC OTSOU PIDOL NEPEA GATIN TODAN SCGRP MONDI VAQUA AHUCA HONME SCNOR SABEP KAISA DVWES OTWNE DOLAL STLAU VAGRA UNROS FREOR TOCEN TOSTP BEAUS SJSE KINHA BOURA VAUDR STBSV HALIF WISOU SCSOU KANAT NOVAC WVSSC BUNSE OTCEN SPHAR LOUHE WATER POKIT ALPEL VIMY OUTRE LOCEN MAFOR VANCE DAVEH PAPIN SHERB LALIL SMCHA VICTR GUELP LASMA LAEVE LOCHL TAPHP BRMIS ARLPN ESSAS COMST HOROE CHARL SCWOB WINOR CHLJN TRRIV DEMIC AVALO SJKEN TDBLA RDMI LOWES HWAAD MSBLA TBSUNO ETLAK QUCEN MALPE HUBCR SCDVE SYGLA MOROY WIWES AJAX VAFSB CARDI MARES BURLI MIERM LPATA PRRUC SSSTM YOSWET PETER PIBRO NWTER SUDBU BELIM STCATH EDCEN MATHI MICEN CENNO SCAGI ETNOR MIMAL LPDEH ABBAJ YUKON DVNOR CBCA ETCEN WHITB DELTA WILLO BNMW OKWES MILAK EGMON MISTR OKEAS LABRA CHKEK MASTO BAQUIN LOSTH CARLE MIECO SOSWR SUNEW TBRARI COPC SUCEN CUCOL HAMMO TERRB BUCEN BRCHP CACON FLPKL PMCOQ BREAS SHEFF SSMAL NITIM RESTE KELWN TNTP KISTP EGLLA BRSOU RIART BRNCA BRACE CHILE ACANN MIGLA KICON REPEN MEHHS WITELA NWBBM CHHSC CLLAC PMMAP KSHES CAMBR BRWES HAESCO CAMCK EDRIV LPILI REWAS HACEN NOCLA CACE NEAUR MAUNI RELEW SINOR NISOUT PBLPV BOOSH NIFANO MIRAB SASKU RCMAR GASIL SASKS LAFRO VAKIN MOCHX LORAM OSHAW LEGRI LOSLA WEHHN OKLSK EDWES ESTLS SEEMN BSWOM VELCM LALAB SISOW RIHISO CENNE NUNVT LTFH STJEA RIMLA NIWES SHYBA EDGAT SIGRE EDSE SJSCX FGGBN PSMUS MILON EDNOW KATIM ABSOL FUNRO NALAD CDRLK BESHS KLTNI YOCEN BBSNS RINOR AORRH HUBRU CASKY PEWEL VAEAST KEKII BECHA EDMAN BERMA BGOOS WIWES SAGUL KLSCR WICEN HELAT LELOT DRUMO LOFAN JONQU KICEN COMAL OXFOR CACRO CNKNI SALBK ROLPD STDUC YODUR POJACA BELET JOLMA CANOH HAKALA ALRPE CASIH TOBMA BRSIN MIMAB CHHOP BENSA NIPR MONTC LSJEA VAWOO HADNO ESSEX CAHER NTGWI SASKW CKLEA ABTEM LETHB CAEA DUCAL KIVAU COKSR SEINE STASR REQUP CAMID THORN CASHE CAPRG SHFFS YELLO PROVE AICOC POLIS MELOL BRSOU REDDE RIDMO COALB BEAUC ELTRA FOOTH PRALB BLLML PGPRN PARKL MECAW LEWET BORIV EDGRI CTECR MOJALA EDSTR FOMCC YOMEL LAKEL GRPRA PRWES SCGRK SKBUV SOMOMO BRCRO PODID 338Canada Federal Projection Latest update: August 3, 2025 ▼119 CPC [75-160] LPC 195▲ [153-240]


172 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2025)
98 44 34 19 195
[153-240]		 169
39 30 25 25 119
[75-160]		 144
0 9 7 3 19
[9-26]		 22
1 4 1 2 8
[4-16]		 7
0 1 1 0 2
[1-3]		 1

Latest update: August 3, 2025

Electoral district Current party Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland CPC leaning
10004 Labrador LPC likely
10005 Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning
11001 Cardigan LPC likely
11002 Charlottetown LPC safe
11003 Egmont LPC likely
11004 Malpeque LPC safe
12001 Acadie—Annapolis LPC leaning
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely
12003 Central Nova LPC likely
12004 Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC safe
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC safe
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay LPC safe
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe
13004 Fundy Royal CPC leaning
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake LPC leaning
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou LPC likely
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ likely
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC safe
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ leaning
24008 Beauport—Limoilou LPC likely
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ likely
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC likely
24011 Beloeil—Chambly BQ likely
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ leaning
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles Toss up LPC/CPC
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC safe
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord LPC leaning
24019 Compton—Stanstead LPC safe
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC leaning
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ likely
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ likely
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj Toss up LPC/BQ
24025 Gatineau LPC safe
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC safe
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ likely
24030 Jonquière BQ likely
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île Toss up LPC/BQ
24032 La Prairie—Atateken LPC likely
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe
24036 Laurentides—Labelle BQ leaning
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe
24038 Laval—Les Îles LPC safe
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut LPC likely
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC likely
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert LPC likely
24043 Louis-Hébert LPC safe
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk Toss up LPC/CPC
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel Toss up LPC/BQ
24048 Mount Royal LPC safe
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC safe
24050 Montcalm BQ likely
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC safe
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères Toss up LPC/BQ
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC likely
24059 Québec Centre LPC safe
24060 Repentigny LPC leaning
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska LPC leaning
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ leaning
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC safe
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ leaning
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ leaning
24067 Saint-Jean BQ leaning
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe
24071 Shefford LPC leaning
24072 Sherbrooke LPC safe
24073 Terrebonne LPC leaning
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville LPC safe
24075 Trois-Rivières LPC safe
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC likely
35002 Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC likely
35003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC leaning
35004 Barrie South—Innisfil CPC likely
35005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte Toss up LPC/CPC
35006 Bay of Quinte LPC likely
35007 Beaches—East York LPC safe
35008 Bowmanville—Oshawa North Toss up LPC/CPC
35009 Brampton Centre LPC leaning
35010 Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning
35011 Brampton East LPC leaning
35012 Brampton North—Caledon LPC leaning
35013 Brampton South LPC leaning
35014 Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC
35015 Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC leaning
35016 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely
35017 Burlington LPC likely
35018 Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely
35019 Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35020 Carleton LPC likely
35021 Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC likely
35022 Davenport LPC safe
35023 Don Valley North LPC likely
35024 Don Valley West LPC safe
35025 Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe
35026 Eglinton—Lawrence LPC leaning
35027 Elgin—St. Thomas—London South Toss up LPC/CPC
35028 Essex CPC likely
35029 Etobicoke Centre LPC likely
35030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC safe
35031 Etobicoke North LPC likely
35032 Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC leaning
35033 Guelph LPC safe
35034 Haldimand—Norfolk CPC likely
35035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC likely
35036 Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP
35037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC
35038 Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning
35039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe
35040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely
35041 Humber River—Black Creek LPC safe
35042 Huron—Bruce CPC leaning
35043 Kanata LPC safe
35044 Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC leaning
35045 Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely
35046 Kingston and the Islands LPC safe
35047 King—Vaughan CPC safe
35048 Kitchener Centre GPC leaning
35049 Kitchener—Conestoga LPC leaning
35050 Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC
35051 Lanark—Frontenac Toss up LPC/CPC
35052 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes Toss up LPC/CPC
35053 London Centre LPC safe
35054 London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP
35055 London West LPC safe
35056 Markham—Stouffville LPC likely
35057 Markham—Thornhill LPC likely
35058 Markham—Unionville Toss up LPC/CPC
35059 Middlesex—London CPC leaning
35060 Milton East—Halton Hills South LPC leaning
35061 Mississauga Centre LPC likely
35062 Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning
35063 Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely
35064 Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely
35065 Mississauga—Malton LPC likely
35066 Mississauga—Streetsville LPC likely
35067 Nepean LPC safe
35068 Newmarket—Aurora Toss up LPC/CPC
35069 New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC likely
35070 Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake Toss up LPC/CPC
35071 Niagara South Toss up LPC/CPC
35072 Niagara West CPC leaning
35073 Nipissing—Timiskaming LPC leaning
35074 Northumberland—Clarke Toss up LPC/CPC
35075 Oakville East LPC likely
35076 Oakville West LPC likely
35077 Orléans LPC safe
35078 Oshawa Toss up LPC/CPC
35079 Ottawa Centre LPC safe
35080 Ottawa South LPC safe
35081 Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe
35082 Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe
35083 Oxford CPC likely
35084 Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC leaning
35085 Perth—Wellington CPC leaning
35086 Peterborough LPC likely
35087 Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely
35088 Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely
35089 Richmond Hill South CPC leaning
35090 Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely
35091 Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma LPC leaning
35092 Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely
35093 Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC safe
35094 Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe
35095 Scarborough North LPC safe
35096 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35097 Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe
35098 Simcoe—Grey CPC leaning
35099 Simcoe North Toss up LPC/CPC
35100 Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe
35101 St. Catharines LPC likely
35102 Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely
35103 Sudbury LPC likely
35104 Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt Toss up LPC/CPC
35105 Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe
35106 Thornhill CPC safe
35107 Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning
35108 Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC safe
35109 Toronto Centre LPC safe
35110 Toronto—Danforth LPC safe
35111 Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe
35112 University—Rosedale LPC safe
35113 Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC likely
35114 Waterloo LPC safe
35115 Wellington—Halton Hills North Toss up LPC/CPC
35116 Whitby LPC likely
35117 Willowdale LPC likely
35118 Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore LPC leaning
35119 Windsor West Toss up CPC/NDP
35120 York Centre CPC leaning
35121 York—Durham CPC likely
35122 York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC likely
46003 Elmwood—Transcona NDP leaning
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul LPC leaning
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC safe
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP likely
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West LPC safe
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan Toss up LPC/CPC
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC
47009 Saskatoon South Toss up LPC/CPC
47010 Saskatoon—University Toss up LPC/CPC
47011 Saskatoon West CPC likely
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe
48001 Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe
48002 Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
48005 Calgary Confederation LPC leaning
48006 Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely
48007 Calgary East CPC likely
48008 Calgary Heritage CPC likely
48009 Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC
48010 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48011 Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely
48012 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48013 Calgary Signal Hill CPC likely
48014 Calgary Skyview CPC leaning
48015 Edmonton Centre LPC likely
48016 Edmonton Gateway CPC leaning
48017 Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP
48018 Edmonton Manning CPC likely
48019 Edmonton Northwest CPC leaning
48020 Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC
48021 Edmonton Southeast CPC leaning
48022 Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
48023 Edmonton West Toss up LPC/CPC
48024 Foothills CPC safe
48025 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe
48026 Grande Prairie CPC safe
48027 Lakeland CPC safe
48028 Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48029 Lethbridge CPC likely
48030 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe
48031 Parkland CPC safe
48032 Peace River—Westlock CPC safe
48033 Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe
48034 Red Deer CPC safe
48035 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48036 St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe
48037 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley CPC leaning
59002 Burnaby Central LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe
59004 Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe
59005 Chilliwack—Hope CPC likely
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning
59009 Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP
59011 Delta LPC likely
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC leaning
59016 Kelowna LPC leaning
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC likely
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC leaning
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/NDP
59021 North Island—Powell River Toss up CPC/NDP
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC
59028 Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley Toss up CPC/NDP
59032 South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning
59033 Surrey Centre LPC leaning
59034 Surrey Newton LPC leaning
59035 Vancouver Centre LPC safe
59036 Vancouver East NDP likely
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely
59038 Vancouver Granville LPC safe
59039 Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP
59040 Vancouver Quadra LPC safe
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee Toss up LPC/CPC
59042 Victoria LPC safe
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe
60001 Yukon LPC likely
61001 Northwest Territories LPC likely
62001 Nunavut Toss up LPC/NDP