338Canada.com - All 338 federal electoral districts



Last update: January 17, 2021

Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Projection average
97 36 22 16 171 170.4
54 22 17 14 107 103.9
13 8 3 2 26 30.9
9 11 4 7 31 29.8
1 0 1 1 3 2.5
0 0 0 0 0 0.5
0 0 0 0 0 0.0


Last update: January 17, 2021


Electoral district Current party Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Bonavista–Burin–Trinity LPC safe
10003 Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame LPC safe
10004 Labrador LPC likely
10005 Long Range Mountains LPC safe
10006 St. John's East NDP likely
10007 St. John's South–Mount Pearl LPC safe
11001 Cardigan LPC safe
11002 Charlottetown LPC safe
11003 Egmont LPC safe
11004 Malpeque LPC safe
12001 Cape Breton–Canso LPC likely
12002 Central Nova LPC likely
12003 Cumberland–Colchester LPC likely
12004 Dartmouth–Cole Harbour LPC likely
12005 Halifax LPC likely
12006 Halifax West LPC safe
12007 Kings–Hants LPC safe
12008 Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook LPC likely
12009 South Shore–St. Margarets LPC safe
12010 Sydney–Victoria LPC likely
12011 West Nova LPC leaning
13001 Acadie–Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton Toss up
13004 Fundy Royal CPC leaning
13005 Madawaska–Restigouche LPC safe
13006 Miramichi–Grand Lake LPC likely
13007 Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe LPC safe
13008 New Brunswick Southwest CPC likely
13009 Saint John–Rothesay LPC safe
13010 Tobique–Mactaquac CPC likely
24001 Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ leaning
24002 Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ likely
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC safe
24005 Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
24006 Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ likely
24007 Beauce CPC likely
24008 Beauport–Limoilou Toss up
24009 Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis CPC safe
24011 Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
24012 Berthier–Maskinongé BQ likely
24013 Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up
24014 Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely
24015 Bourassa LPC safe
24016 Brome–Missisquoi LPC leaning
24017 Brossard–Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ likely
24019 Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely
24020 Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix BQ leaning
24021 Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
24022 Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Toss up
24023 Compton–Stanstead LPC leaning
24024 Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle LPC safe
24025 Drummond BQ safe
24026 Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning
24027 Gatineau LPC safe
24028 Hochelaga LPC leaning
24029 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24030 Hull–Aylmer LPC safe
24031 Joliette BQ safe
24032 Jonquière BQ likely
24033 La Pointe-de-l'Île BQ likely
24034 La Prairie Toss up
24035 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
24036 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24037 LaSalle–Émard–Verdun LPC safe
24038 Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning
24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie LPC likely
24040 Laval–Les Îles LPC safe
24041 Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning
24042 Lévis–Lotbinière CPC safe
24043 Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up
24044 Louis-Hébert LPC likely
24045 Louis-Saint-Laurent CPC safe
24046 Manicouagan BQ safe
24047 Mégantic–L'Érable CPC safe
24048 Mirabel BQ safe
24049 Montarville Toss up
24050 Montcalm BQ safe
24051 Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely
24052 Mount Royal LPC safe
24053 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount LPC safe
24054 Outremont LPC safe
24055 Papineau LPC safe
24056 Pierrefonds–Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac LPC safe
24058 Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier CPC safe
24059 Québec LPC leaning
24060 Repentigny BQ safe
24061 Richmond–Arthabaska CPC safe
24062 Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up
24063 Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie NDP safe
24065 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely
24067 Saint-Jean BQ leaning
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely
24071 Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely
24072 Shefford Toss up
24073 Sherbrooke LPC leaning
24074 Vaudreuil–Soulanges LPC safe
24075 Terrebonne BQ likely
24076 Trois-Rivières Toss up
24077 Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC safe
35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe
35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill LPC leaning
35004 Barrie–Innisfil CPC likely
35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Toss up
35006 Bay of Quinte LPC leaning
35007 Beaches–East York LPC safe
35008 Brampton Centre LPC safe
35009 Brampton East LPC likely
35010 Brampton North LPC safe
35011 Brampton South LPC safe
35012 Brampton West LPC safe
35013 Brantford–Brant CPC leaning
35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound CPC likely
35015 Burlington LPC safe
35016 Cambridge LPC likely
35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington CPC likely
35018 Davenport Toss up
35019 Don Valley East LPC safe
35020 Don Valley North LPC safe
35021 Don Valley West LPC safe
35022 Dufferin–Caledon Toss up
35023 Durham CPC leaning
35024 Eglinton–Lawrence LPC safe
35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London CPC safe
35026 Essex Toss up
35027 Etobicoke Centre LPC safe
35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore LPC safe
35029 Etobicoke North LPC safe
35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook Toss up
35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell LPC likely
35032 Guelph LPC safe
35033 Haldimand–Norfolk CPC safe
35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock CPC safe
35035 Hamilton Centre NDP safe
35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek LPC leaning
35037 Hamilton Mountain NDP likely
35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas LPC safe
35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington Toss up
35040 Huron–Bruce CPC likely
35041 Kanata–Carleton LPC likely
35042 Kenora Toss up
35043 King–Vaughan LPC leaning
35044 Kingston and the Islands LPC safe
35045 Kitchener Centre LPC likely
35046 Kitchener–Conestoga LPC leaning
35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler LPC likely
35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex CPC safe
35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston CPC safe
35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes CPC likely
35051 London–Fanshawe NDP safe
35052 London North Centre LPC likely
35053 London West LPC safe
35054 Markham–Stouffville LPC leaning
35055 Markham–Thornhill LPC safe
35056 Markham–Unionville Toss up
35057 Milton LPC safe
35058 Mississauga Centre LPC safe
35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville LPC safe
35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills LPC safe
35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore LPC likely
35062 Mississauga–Malton LPC safe
35063 Mississauga–Streetsville LPC safe
35064 Nepean LPC safe
35065 Newmarket–Aurora LPC likely
35066 Niagara Centre LPC leaning
35067 Niagara Falls Toss up
35068 Niagara West CPC leaning
35069 Nickel Belt Toss up
35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming LPC safe
35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South Toss up
35072 Oakville LPC likely
35073 Oakville North–Burlington LPC likely
35074 Oshawa Toss up
35075 Ottawa Centre LPC likely
35076 Orléans LPC safe
35077 Ottawa South LPC safe
35078 Ottawa–Vanier LPC safe
35079 Ottawa West–Nepean LPC safe
35080 Oxford CPC safe
35081 Parkdale–High Park LPC likely
35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka CPC leaning
35083 Perth–Wellington CPC likely
35084 Peterborough–Kawartha LPC likely
35085 Pickering–Uxbridge LPC safe
35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke CPC safe
35087 Richmond Hill LPC leaning
35088 Carleton CPC leaning
35089 St. Catharines LPC likely
35090 Toronto–St. Paul's LPC safe
35091 Sarnia–Lambton CPC safe
35092 Sault Ste. Marie LPC likely
35093 Scarborough–Agincourt LPC safe
35094 Scarborough Centre LPC safe
35095 Scarborough–Guildwood LPC safe
35096 Scarborough North LPC safe
35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park LPC safe
35098 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35099 Simcoe–Grey CPC leaning
35100 Simcoe North CPC leaning
35101 Spadina–Fort York LPC safe
35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry CPC safe
35103 Sudbury LPC leaning
35104 Thornhill CPC likely
35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up
35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North LPC safe
35107 Timmins–James Bay NDP safe
35108 Toronto Centre LPC likely
35109 Toronto–Danforth LPC leaning
35110 University–Rosedale LPC safe
35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge LPC safe
35112 Waterloo LPC safe
35113 Wellington–Halton Hills CPC likely
35114 Whitby LPC likely
35115 Willowdale LPC likely
35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up
35117 Windsor West NDP leaning
35118 York Centre LPC likely
35119 York–Simcoe CPC likely
35120 York South–Weston LPC safe
35121 Humber River–Black Creek LPC safe
46001 Brandon–Souris CPC safe
46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Toss up
46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski NDP likely
46004 Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa CPC safe
46005 Elmwood–Transcona NDP safe
46006 Kildonan–St. Paul Toss up
46007 Portage–Lisgar CPC safe
46008 Provencher CPC safe
46009 Saint Boniface–Saint Vital LPC safe
46010 Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman CPC safe
46011 Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
46012 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
47001 Battlefords–Lloydminster CPC safe
47002 Cypress Hills–Grasslands CPC safe
47003 Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River Toss up
47004 Carlton Trail–Eagle Creek CPC safe
47005 Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan CPC safe
47006 Prince Albert CPC safe
47007 Regina–Lewvan CPC leaning
47008 Regina–Qu'Appelle CPC safe
47009 Regina–Wascana Toss up
47010 Saskatoon–Grasswood CPC likely
47011 Saskatoon–University Toss up
47012 Saskatoon West Toss up
47013 Souris–Moose Mountain CPC safe
47014 Yorkton–Melville CPC safe
48001 Banff–Airdrie CPC safe
48002 Battle River–Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre CPC likely
48005 Calgary Confederation CPC leaning
48006 Calgary Forest Lawn CPC likely
48007 Calgary Heritage CPC safe
48008 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48009 Calgary Nose Hill CPC safe
48010 Calgary Rocky Ridge CPC safe
48011 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48012 Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe
48013 Calgary Skyview CPC leaning
48014 Edmonton Centre CPC leaning
48015 Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning
48016 Edmonton Manning CPC likely
48017 Edmonton Mill Woods CPC leaning
48018 Edmonton Riverbend CPC leaning
48019 Edmonton Strathcona NDP likely
48020 Edmonton West CPC likely
48021 Edmonton–Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48022 Foothills CPC safe
48023 Fort McMurray–Cold Lake CPC safe
48024 Grande Prairie–Mackenzie CPC safe
48025 Lakeland CPC safe
48026 Lethbridge CPC safe
48027 Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner CPC safe
48028 Peace River–Westlock CPC safe
48029 Red Deer–Mountain View CPC safe
48030 Red Deer–Lacombe CPC safe
48031 St. Albert–Edmonton CPC likely
48032 Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48033 Sturgeon River–Parkland CPC safe
48034 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford CPC safe
59002 Burnaby North–Seymour LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby South NDP likely
59004 Cariboo–Prince George CPC safe
59005 Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola CPC likely
59006 Chilliwack–Hope CPC safe
59007 Cloverdale–Langley City LPC likely
59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam LPC likely
59009 Courtenay–Alberni NDP safe
59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NDP safe
59011 Delta LPC safe
59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells LPC safe
59013 Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo Toss up
59014 Kelowna–Lake Country Toss up
59015 Kootenay–Columbia Toss up
59016 Langley–Aldergrove CPC leaning
59017 Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon Toss up
59018 Nanaimo–Ladysmith GPC leaning
59019 New Westminster–Burnaby NDP safe
59020 North Okanagan–Shuswap CPC likely
59021 North Vancouver LPC safe
59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Toss up
59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam Toss up
59024 Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies CPC safe
59025 Richmond Centre CPC leaning
59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke NDP likely
59027 Saanich–Gulf Islands GPC safe
59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley NDP safe
59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay NDP likely
59030 South Surrey–White Rock Toss up
59031 Steveston–Richmond East Toss up
59032 Surrey Centre LPC likely
59033 Surrey–Newton LPC safe
59034 Vancouver Centre LPC safe
59035 Vancouver East NDP safe
59036 Vancouver Granville Toss up
59037 North Island–Powell River NDP safe
59038 Vancouver Kingsway NDP safe
59039 Vancouver Quadra LPC safe
59040 Vancouver South LPC safe
59041 Victoria NDP likely
59042 West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country LPC safe
60001 Yukon Toss up
61001 Northwest Territories LPC leaning
62001 Nunavut NDP leaning








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