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Canada


172 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2021)
99 62 12 18 192
[163-225]		 160
61 37 17 11 125
[97-153]		 119
1 2 9 4 16
[5-26]		 32
0 2 1 6 9
[1-14]		 25
0 0 0 1 1
[0-2]		 2

Latest update: April 7, 2025

Electoral district Transposed
2021 winner		 Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland LPC leaning
10004 Labrador LPC likely
10005 Long Range Mountains LPC likely
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC likely
11001 Cardigan LPC safe
11002 Charlottetown LPC likely
11003 Egmont LPC likely
11004 Malpeque LPC likely
12001 Acadie—Annapolis Toss up LPC/CPC
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely
12003 Central Nova LPC likely
12004 Cumberland—Colchester Toss up LPC/CPC
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC safe
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC safe
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets Toss up LPC/CPC
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay LPC likely
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto LPC likely
13004 Fundy Royal CPC leaning
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC safe
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake Toss up LPC/CPC
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC likely
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Toss up LPC/BQ
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ likely
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC safe
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon Toss up LPC/BQ
24008 Beauport—Limoilou CPC leaning
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe
24011 Beloeil—Chambly Toss up LPC/BQ
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ leaning
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC safe
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC safe
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord CPC leaning
24019 Compton—Stanstead LPC safe
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC safe
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ leaning
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ leaning
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj LPC likely
24025 Gatineau LPC safe
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC safe
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ leaning
24030 Jonquière BQ leaning
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île Toss up LPC/BQ
24032 La Prairie—Atateken LPC leaning
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ leaning
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe
24036 Laurentides—Labelle Toss up LPC/BQ
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe
24038 Laval—Les Îles LPC safe
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut LPC leaning
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert LPC likely
24043 Louis-Hébert LPC likely
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC safe
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel BQ leaning
24048 Mount Royal LPC safe
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely
24050 Montcalm BQ likely
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix CPC likely
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC safe
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères Toss up LPC/BQ
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe
24059 Québec Centre LPC safe
24060 Repentigny LPC leaning
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska CPC safe
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ leaning
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ leaning
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton Toss up LPC/BQ
24067 Saint-Jean Toss up LPC/BQ
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe
24071 Shefford LPC likely
24072 Sherbrooke LPC safe
24073 Terrebonne Toss up LPC/BQ
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville LPC likely
24075 Trois-Rivières Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC safe
35002 Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC safe
35003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Toss up LPC/CPC
35004 Barrie South—Innisfil CPC likely
35005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC likely
35006 Bay of Quinte CPC leaning
35007 Beaches—East York LPC safe
35008 Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC likely
35009 Brampton Centre LPC likely
35010 Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC safe
35011 Brampton East LPC safe
35012 Brampton North—Caledon LPC safe
35013 Brampton South LPC safe
35014 Brampton West LPC safe
35015 Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely
35016 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC safe
35017 Burlington LPC likely
35018 Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely
35019 Cambridge LPC likely
35020 Carleton CPC likely
35021 Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC likely
35022 Davenport LPC safe
35023 Don Valley North LPC safe
35024 Don Valley West LPC safe
35025 Dufferin—Caledon CPC likely
35026 Eglinton—Lawrence LPC likely
35027 Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC safe
35028 Essex CPC safe
35029 Etobicoke Centre LPC likely
35030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC likely
35031 Etobicoke North LPC safe
35032 Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely
35033 Guelph LPC safe
35034 Haldimand—Norfolk CPC likely
35035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe
35036 Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP
35037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek LPC likely
35038 Hamilton Mountain LPC safe
35039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe
35040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC leaning
35041 Humber River—Black Creek LPC safe
35042 Huron—Bruce CPC safe
35043 Kanata LPC likely
35044 Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk LPC leaning
35045 Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely
35046 Kingston and the Islands LPC safe
35047 King—Vaughan CPC leaning
35048 Kitchener Centre Toss up LPC/GPC
35049 Kitchener—Conestoga LPC likely
35050 Kitchener South—Hespeler LPC leaning
35051 Lanark—Frontenac CPC safe
35052 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC safe
35053 London Centre LPC safe
35054 London—Fanshawe Toss up LPC/NDP
35055 London West LPC likely
35056 Markham—Stouffville LPC likely
35057 Markham—Thornhill LPC safe
35058 Markham—Unionville LPC leaning
35059 Middlesex—London CPC likely
35060 Milton East—Halton Hills South LPC leaning
35061 Mississauga Centre LPC safe
35062 Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC safe
35063 Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely
35064 Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely
35065 Mississauga—Malton LPC safe
35066 Mississauga—Streetsville LPC likely
35067 Nepean LPC safe
35068 Newmarket—Aurora LPC likely
35069 New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC likely
35070 Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake Toss up LPC/CPC
35071 Niagara South Toss up LPC/CPC
35072 Niagara West CPC likely
35073 Nipissing—Timiskaming LPC likely
35074 Northumberland—Clarke CPC leaning
35075 Oakville East LPC leaning
35076 Oakville West LPC likely
35077 Orléans LPC safe
35078 Oshawa CPC safe
35079 Ottawa Centre LPC safe
35080 Ottawa South LPC safe
35081 Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe
35082 Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe
35083 Oxford CPC safe
35084 Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC safe
35085 Perth—Wellington CPC safe
35086 Peterborough Toss up LPC/CPC
35087 Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely
35088 Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC safe
35089 Richmond Hill South LPC likely
35090 Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC safe
35091 Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma CPC likely
35092 Scarborough—Agincourt LPC safe
35093 Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC safe
35094 Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe
35095 Scarborough North LPC safe
35096 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35097 Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe
35098 Simcoe—Grey CPC likely
35099 Simcoe North CPC likely
35100 Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe
35101 St. Catharines LPC likely
35102 Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC safe
35103 Sudbury LPC likely
35104 Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt LPC likely
35105 Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe
35106 Thornhill CPC likely
35107 Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC likely
35108 Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC safe
35109 Toronto Centre LPC safe
35110 Toronto—Danforth LPC safe
35111 Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe
35112 University—Rosedale LPC safe
35113 Vaughan—Woodbridge LPC leaning
35114 Waterloo LPC safe
35115 Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC likely
35116 Whitby LPC likely
35117 Willowdale LPC likely
35118 Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore LPC likely
35119 Windsor West Toss up LPC/NDP
35120 York Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
35121 York—Durham CPC safe
35122 York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC safe
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski Toss up LPC/NDP
46003 Elmwood—Transcona Toss up CPC/NDP
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC likely
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West LPC likely
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC likely
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan CPC likely
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC
47009 Saskatoon South CPC likely
47010 Saskatoon—University CPC likely
47011 Saskatoon West CPC likely
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe
48001 Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe
48002 Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
48005 Calgary Confederation CPC leaning
48006 Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely
48007 Calgary East CPC likely
48008 Calgary Heritage CPC safe
48009 Calgary McKnight LPC likely
48010 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48011 Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely
48012 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48013 Calgary Signal Hill CPC likely
48014 Calgary Skyview Toss up LPC/CPC
48015 Edmonton Centre LPC likely
48016 Edmonton Gateway Toss up LPC/CPC
48017 Edmonton Griesbach CPC leaning
48018 Edmonton Manning CPC leaning
48019 Edmonton Northwest CPC leaning
48020 Edmonton Riverbend CPC leaning
48021 Edmonton Southeast Toss up LPC/CPC
48022 Edmonton Strathcona NDP likely
48023 Edmonton West CPC leaning
48024 Foothills CPC safe
48025 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe
48026 Grande Prairie CPC safe
48027 Lakeland CPC safe
48028 Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48029 Lethbridge CPC safe
48030 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe
48031 Parkland CPC safe
48032 Peace River—Westlock CPC safe
48033 Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe
48034 Red Deer CPC safe
48035 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48036 St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe
48037 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley Toss up LPC/CPC
59002 Burnaby Central LPC likely
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour LPC likely
59004 Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe
59005 Chilliwack—Hope CPC likely
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC likely
59009 Courtenay—Alberni CPC likely
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford CPC leaning
59011 Delta LPC likely
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC safe
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely
59016 Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights Toss up LPC/CPC
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC leaning
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville LPC likely
59021 North Island—Powell River CPC safe
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC likely
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge CPC leaning
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole LPC likely
59028 Richmond East—Steveston LPC likely
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands Toss up LPC/CPC/GPC
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC safe
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC likely
59032 South Surrey—White Rock Toss up LPC/CPC
59033 Surrey Centre LPC likely
59034 Surrey Newton LPC safe
59035 Vancouver Centre LPC safe
59036 Vancouver East Toss up LPC/NDP
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely
59038 Vancouver Granville LPC safe
59039 Vancouver Kingsway LPC likely
59040 Vancouver Quadra LPC safe
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC likely
59042 Victoria LPC leaning
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC likely
60001 Yukon LPC likely
61001 Northwest Territories LPC likely
62001 Nunavut Toss up LPC/NDP