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Canada

The Road to 172 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 2. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 3. Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe DACHO 4. Halifax West LPC safe HALIW 5. Charlottetown LPC safe CHARL 6. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 7. Vancouver Quadra LPC safe VAQUA 8. Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe MONDI 9. Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe LSLOU 10. Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe SABEP 11. Beaches—East York LPC safe BEAEY 12. Vancouver Granville LPC safe VAGRA 13. Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe FREOR 14. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 15. Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe OTVAG 16. Beauséjour LPC safe BEAUS 17. Kings—Hants LPC safe KINHA 18. Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe SCGRP 19. Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe STLSM 20. Ottawa South LPC safe OTSOU 21. St. John’s East LPC safe SJSE 22. North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe NOVAC 23. West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe WVSSC 24. Scarborough North LPC safe SCNOR 25. Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe BUNSE 26. Toronto—Danforth LPC safe TODAN 27. Halifax LPC safe HALIF 28. Kingston and the Islands LPC safe KAISA 29. Avalon LPC safe AVALO 30. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe NDGWE 31. Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe OTWNE 32. Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe VMLIS 33. Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe TOSTP 34. St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe STBSV 35. Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe BRSTL 36. University—Rosedale LPC safe UNROS 37. Hull—Aylmer LPC safe HUAYL 38. Toronto Centre LPC safe TOCEN 39. Scarborough Southwest LPC safe SCSOU 40. Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe PIDOL 41. Gatineau LPC safe GATIN 42. Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe AHUCA 43. Honoré-Mercier LPC safe HONME 44. Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe DOLAL 45. Saint-Laurent LPC safe STLAU 46. Waterloo LPC safe WATER 47. Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe SPHAR 48. Vancouver Centre LPC safe VANCE 49. Bourassa LPC safe BOURA 50. Vaudreuil LPC safe VAUDR 51. Ottawa Centre LPC safe OTCEN 52. Victoria LPC safe VICTR 53. Louis-Hébert LPC safe LOUHE 54. London Centre LPC safe LOCEN 55. Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe POKIT 56. Alfred-Pellan LPC safe ALPEL 57. Vimy LPC safe VIMY 58. Outremont LPC safe OUTRE 59. Guelph LPC safe GUELP 60. Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe ESSAS 61. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe MAFOR 62. Papineau LPC safe PAPIN 63. Sherbrooke LPC safe SHERB 64. Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe LASMA 65. Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe SMCHA 66. LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe LAEVE 67. Nepean LPC safe NEPEA 68. Don Valley West LPC safe DVWES 69. Winnipeg South LPC safe WISOU 70. Kanata LPC safe KANAT 71. Davenport LPC safe DAVEH 72. Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe ARLPN 73. Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe SJKEN 74. Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe SCWOB 75. Winnipeg North LPC safe WINOR 76. Malpeque LPC safe MALPE 77. Sydney—Glace Bay LPC safe SYGLA 78. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe DEMIC 79. Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe LOCHL 80. Madawaska—Restigouche LPC safe MARES 81. Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC safe VAFSB 82. Cardigan LPC likely CARDI 83. Brome—Missisquoi LPC likely BRMIS 84. London West LPC likely LOWES 85. Compton—Stanstead LPC likely COMST 86. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC likely HWAAD 87. Laval—Les Îles LPC likely LALIL 88. South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely SSSTM 89. Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC likely ETLAK 90. Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC likely TBSUNO 91. Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC likely HOROE 92. Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC likely SCDVE 93. Humber River—Black Creek LPC likely HUBCR 94. Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC likely TAPHP 95. Ajax LPC likely AJAX 96. Winnipeg West LPC likely WIWES 97. Burlington LPC likely BURLI 98. Central Nova LPC likely CENNO 99. Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely MIERM 100. Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC likely CHLJN 101. Northwest Territories LPC likely NWTER 102. Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely PRRUC 103. Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely CBCA 104. York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely YOSWET 105. Peterborough LPC likely PETER 106. Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely PIBRO 107. Sudbury LPC likely SUDBU 108. Trois-Rivières LPC likely TRRIV 109. Yukon LPC likely YUKON 110. St. Catharines LPC likely STCATH 111. Delta LPC likely DELTA 112. Edmonton Centre LPC likely EDCEN 113. Markham—Thornhill LPC likely MATHI 114. Egmont LPC likely EGMON 115. Mississauga Centre LPC likely MICEN 116. Thérèse-De Blainville LPC likely TDBLA 117. Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely SCAGI 118. Etobicoke North LPC likely ETNOR 119. Mount Royal LPC likely MOROY 120. Mississauga—Malton LPC likely MIMAL 121. Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely RDMI 122. Labrador LPC likely LABRA 123. Don Valley North LPC likely DVNOR 124. Québec Centre LPC likely QUCEN 125. Etobicoke Centre LPC likely ETCEN 126. Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely MSBLA 127. Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning CUCOL 128. Whitby LPC leaning WHITB 129. Willowdale LPC leaning WILLO 130. Burlington North—Milton West LPC leaning BNMW 131. Oakville West LPC leaning OKWES 132. South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning SOSWR 133. Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC leaning MILAK 134. Surrey Newton LPC leaning SUNEW 135. Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning COPC 136. Surrey Centre LPC leaning SUCEN 137. Burnaby Central LPC leaning BUCEN 138. Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning PMCOQ 139. Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning FLPKL 140. Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning MISTR 141. Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning TNTP 142. La Prairie—Atateken LPC leaning LPATA 143. Oakville East LPC leaning OKEAS 144. Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning MASTO 145. Acadie—Annapolis LPC leaning ACANN 146. Bay of Quinte LPC leaning BAQUIN 147. Miramichi—Grand Lake LPC leaning MIGLA 148. Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning MIECO 149. Carleton LPC leaning CARLE 150. Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning RESTE 151. Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning TBRARI 152. Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC leaning CHKEK 153. Kelowna LPC leaning KELWN 154. Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning HAMMO 155. Beauport—Limoilou Toss up LPC/BQ BELIM 156. Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Toss up LPC/CPC BRCHP 157. Calgary Confederation Toss up LPC/CPC CACON 158. Brampton East Toss up LPC/CPC BREAS 159. Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Toss up LPC/BQ ABBAJ 160. New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/NDP NWBBM 161. Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Toss up LPC/CPC SSMAL 162. Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC NITIM 163. Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP HACEN 164. Brampton South Toss up LPC/CPC BRSOU 165. Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC PMMAP 166. Les Pays-d’en-Haut Toss up LPC/BQ LPDEH 167. Brampton North—Caledon Toss up LPC/CPC BRNCA 168. Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC CLLAC 169. Brampton Centre Toss up LPC/CPC BRACE 170. Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC EGLLA 171. Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC KICON 172. Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC KISTP 173. Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC WITELA 174. Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC MEHHS 175. Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP VAKIN 176. Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC LORAM 177. Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC RCMAR 178. Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC KSHES 179. Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC BRWES 180. Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC CAMCK 181. Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC EDRIV 182. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC HAESCO 183. Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC CAMBR 184. Longueuil—Saint-Hubert BQ leaning LOSTH 185. Central Newfoundland CPC leaning CENNE 186. Calgary Centre CPC leaning CACE 187. Northumberland—Clarke CPC leaning NOCLA 188. Regina—Wascana CPC leaning REWAS 189. Markham—Unionville CPC leaning MAUNI 190. Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC leaning OKLSK 191. Newmarket—Aurora CPC leaning NEAUR 192. Simcoe North CPC leaning SINOR 193. Terrebonne BQ leaning TERRB 194. Niagara South CPC leaning NISOUT 195. Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC leaning NIFANO 196. Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning SJSCX 197. Regina—Lewvan CPC leaning RELEW 198. Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning SISOW 199. Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC leaning BOOSH 200. Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC leaning VELCM 201. Lanark—Frontenac CPC leaning LAFRO 202. Shefford BQ leaning SHEFF 203. Saskatoon—University CPC leaning SASKU 204. Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning LTFH 205. Oshawa CPC leaning OSHAW 206. Saskatoon South CPC leaning SASKS 207. Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC leaning LEGRI 208. Fundy Royal CPC leaning FUNRO 209. Richmond—Arthabaska CPC leaning RIART 210. Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC leaning WEHHN 211. Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ CHILE 212. Edmonton West CPC leaning EDWES 213. Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC leaning SEEMN 214. Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC leaning ESTLS 215. Abbotsford—South Langley CPC likely ABSOL 216. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely SAGUL 217. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC likely BSWOM 218. Nunavut NDP likely NUNVT 219. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely NALAD 220. Richmond Hill South CPC likely RIHISO 221. Vancouver East NDP likely VAEAST 222. Repentigny BQ likely REPEN 223. Edmonton Gateway CPC likely EDGAT 224. Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely KLTNI 225. Edmonton Southeast CPC likely EDSE 226. Niagara West CPC likely NIWES 227. Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely CHHSC 228. Simcoe—Grey CPC likely SIGRE 229. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely LPILI 230. Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC likely PSMUS 231. Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC likely KATIM 232. Edmonton Northwest CPC likely EDNOW 233. Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely FGGBN 234. Middlesex—London CPC likely MILON 235. Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely KLSCR 236. Winnipeg Centre NDP likely WICEN 237. Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely KEKII 238. Mirabel BQ likely MIRAB 239. York Centre CPC likely YOCEN 240. Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP COMAL 241. Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely GASIL 242. Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ likely PBLPV 243. Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely BBSNS 244. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely AORRH 245. Calgary Skyview CPC likely CASKY 246. Windsor West Toss up CPC/NDP WIWES 247. Huron—Bruce CPC likely HUBRU 248. Perth—Wellington CPC likely PEWEL 249. Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ MOCHX 250. Edmonton Manning CPC likely EDMAN 251. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely BGOOS 252. Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely LALAB 253. Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC likely LOSLA 254. Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely HELAT 255. Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely BERMA 256. Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely TOBMA 257. Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely RIMLA 258. Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely SHYBA 259. Saint-Jean BQ likely STJEA 260. Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC KICEN 261. Oxford CPC likely OXFOR 262. Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely CACRO 263. York—Durham CPC likely YODUR 264. Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely SALBK 265. London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP LOFAN 266. Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely STDUC 267. North Island—Powell River CPC leaning NIPR 268. Chilliwack—Hope CPC likely CHHOP 269. Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely RINOR 270. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely ROLPD 271. Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC likely MIMAB 272. Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely BESHS 273. Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely CANOH 274. Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC likely CDRLK 275. Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC safe ALRPE 276. Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe CASIH 277. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe HAKALA 278. Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe CNKNI 279. Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe BECHA 280. Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe BRSIN 281. Jonquière BQ likely JONQU 282. Drummond BQ safe DRUMO 283. Saskatoon West CPC safe SASKW 284. Calgary Heritage CPC safe CAHER 285. Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe CKLEA 286. Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe LELOT 287. Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe HADNO 288. Joliette—Manawan BQ safe JOLMA 289. Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe BELET 290. Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC safe VAWOO 291. Essex CPC safe ESSEX 292. Lethbridge CPC safe LETHB 293. Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe COKSR 294. Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe POJACA 295. New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe NTGWI 296. Calgary East CPC safe CAEA 297. Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe ABTEM 298. Montcalm BQ safe MONTC 299. King—Vaughan CPC safe KIVAU 300. Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe DUCAL 301. Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe CAPRG 302. Calgary Midnapore CPC safe CAMID 303. St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe STASR 304. Thornhill CPC safe THORN 305. Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe SEINE 306. Calgary Shepard CPC safe CASHE 307. Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe SHFFS 308. Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe REQUP 309. Yellowhead CPC safe YELLO 310. Provencher CPC safe PROVE 311. Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe BENSA 312. Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe AICOC 313. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe LSJEA 314. Portage—Lisgar CPC safe POLIS 315. Red Deer CPC safe REDDE 316. Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely COALB 317. Brandon—Souris CPC safe BRSOU 318. Riding Mountain CPC safe RIDMO 319. Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe PGPRN 320. Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe MELOL 321. Foothills CPC safe FOOTH 322. Elmwood—Transcona Toss up CPC/NDP ELTRA 323. Prince Albert CPC safe PRALB 324. Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe BLLML 325. Beauce CPC safe BEAUC 326. Parkland CPC safe PARKL 327. Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe MECAW 328. Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe LEWET 329. Bow River CPC safe BORIV 330. Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe CTECR 331. Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe MOJALA 332. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP EDGRI 333. Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe FOMCC 334. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe EDSTR 335. Yorkton—Melville CPC safe YOMEL 336. Lakeland CPC safe LAKEL 337. Grande Prairie CPC safe GRPRA 338. Peace River—Westlock CPC safe PRWES 339. Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe SCGRK 340. Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC leaning SKBUV 341. Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe SOMOMO 342. Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe BRCRO 343. Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe PODID CAPSP ACABA DACHO HALIW CHARL ORLEA VAQUA MONDI LSLOU SABEP BEAEY VAGRA FREOR WISOC OTVAG BEAUS KINHA SCGRP STLSM OTSOU SJSE NOVAC WVSSC SCNOR BUNSE TODAN HALIF KAISA AVALO NDGWE OTWNE VMLIS TOSTP STBSV BRSTL UNROS HUAYL TOCEN SCSOU PIDOL GATIN AHUCA HONME DOLAL STLAU WATER SPHAR VANCE BOURA VAUDR OTCEN VICTR LOUHE LOCEN POKIT ALPEL VIMY OUTRE GUELP ESSAS MAFOR PAPIN SHERB LASMA SMCHA LAEVE NEPEA DVWES WISOU KANAT DAVEH ARLPN SJKEN SCWOB WINOR MALPE SYGLA DEMIC LOCHL MARES VAFSB CARDI BRMIS LOWES COMST HWAAD LALIL SSSTM ETLAK TBSUNO HOROE SCDVE HUBCR TAPHP AJAX WIWES BURLI CENNO MIERM CHLJN NWTER PRRUC CBCA YOSWET PETER PIBRO SUDBU TRRIV YUKON STCATH DELTA EDCEN MATHI EGMON MICEN TDBLA SCAGI ETNOR MOROY MIMAL RDMI LABRA DVNOR QUCEN ETCEN MSBLA CUCOL WHITB WILLO BNMW OKWES SOSWR MILAK SUNEW COPC SUCEN BUCEN PMCOQ FLPKL MISTR TNTP LPATA OKEAS MASTO ACANN BAQUIN MIGLA MIECO CARLE RESTE TBRARI CHKEK KELWN HAMMO BELIM BRCHP CACON BREAS ABBAJ NWBBM SSMAL NITIM HACEN BRSOU PMMAP LPDEH BRNCA CLLAC BRACE EGLLA KICON KISTP WITELA MEHHS VAKIN LORAM RCMAR KSHES BRWES CAMCK EDRIV HAESCO CAMBR LOSTH CENNE CACE NOCLA REWAS MAUNI OKLSK NEAUR SINOR TERRB NISOUT NIFANO SJSCX RELEW SISOW BOOSH VELCM LAFRO SHEFF SASKU LTFH OSHAW SASKS LEGRI FUNRO RIART WEHHN CHILE EDWES SEEMN ESTLS ABSOL SAGUL BSWOM NUNVT NALAD RIHISO VAEAST REPEN EDGAT KLTNI EDSE NIWES CHHSC SIGRE LPILI PSMUS KATIM EDNOW FGGBN MILON KLSCR WICEN KEKII MIRAB YOCEN COMAL GASIL PBLPV BBSNS AORRH CASKY WIWES HUBRU PEWEL MOCHX EDMAN BGOOS LALAB LOSLA HELAT BERMA TOBMA RIMLA SHYBA STJEA KICEN OXFOR CACRO YODUR SALBK LOFAN STDUC NIPR CHHOP RINOR ROLPD MIMAB BESHS CANOH CDRLK ALRPE CASIH HAKALA CNKNI BECHA BRSIN JONQU DRUMO SASKW CAHER CKLEA LELOT HADNO JOLMA BELET VAWOO ESSEX LETHB COKSR POJACA NTGWI CAEA ABTEM MONTC KIVAU DUCAL CAPRG CAMID STASR THORN SEINE CASHE SHFFS REQUP YELLO PROVE BENSA AICOC LSJEA POLIS REDDE COALB BRSOU RIDMO PGPRN MELOL FOOTH ELTRA PRALB BLLML BEAUC PARKL MECAW LEWET BORIV CTECR MOJALA EDGRI FOMCC EDSTR YOMEL LAKEL GRPRA PRWES SCGRK SKBUV SOMOMO BRCRO PODID 338Canada Federal Projection Latest update: November 2, 2025 ▼137 CPC [102-170] LPC 170▲ [137-203]


172 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2025)
81 45 28 16 170
[137-203]		 169
55 37 29 16 137
[102-170]		 144
8 13 3 2 26
[20-32]		 22
1 5 0 2 8
[4-15]		 7
0 1 0 1 2
[1-3]		 1

Latest update: November 2, 2025

Electoral district Current party Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland CPC leaning
10004 Labrador LPC likely
10005 Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning
11001 Cardigan LPC likely
11002 Charlottetown LPC safe
11003 Egmont LPC likely
11004 Malpeque LPC safe
12001 Acadie—Annapolis LPC leaning
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely
12003 Central Nova LPC likely
12004 Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC safe
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC safe
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay LPC safe
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe
13004 Fundy Royal CPC leaning
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC safe
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake LPC leaning
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Toss up LPC/BQ
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC safe
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely
24008 Beauport—Limoilou Toss up LPC/BQ
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe
24011 Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi LPC likely
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC likely
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24019 Compton—Stanstead LPC likely
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC likely
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ safe
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely
24025 Gatineau LPC safe
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC likely
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ safe
24030 Jonquière BQ likely
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely
24032 La Prairie—Atateken LPC leaning
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe
24036 Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe
24038 Laval—Les Îles LPC likely
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut Toss up LPC/BQ
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert BQ leaning
24043 Louis-Hébert LPC safe
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC likely
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel BQ likely
24048 Mount Royal LPC likely
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely
24050 Montcalm BQ safe
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC safe
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ likely
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe
24059 Québec Centre LPC likely
24060 Repentigny BQ likely
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska CPC leaning
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely
24067 Saint-Jean BQ likely
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe
24071 Shefford BQ leaning
24072 Sherbrooke LPC safe
24073 Terrebonne BQ leaning
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville LPC likely
24075 Trois-Rivières LPC likely
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC likely
35002 Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC safe
35003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely
35004 Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe
35005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC likely
35006 Bay of Quinte LPC leaning
35007 Beaches—East York LPC safe
35008 Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC leaning
35009 Brampton Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
35010 Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Toss up LPC/CPC
35011 Brampton East Toss up LPC/CPC
35012 Brampton North—Caledon Toss up LPC/CPC
35013 Brampton South Toss up LPC/CPC
35014 Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC
35015 Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely
35016 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely
35017 Burlington LPC likely
35018 Burlington North—Milton West LPC leaning
35019 Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35020 Carleton LPC leaning
35021 Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe
35022 Davenport LPC safe
35023 Don Valley North LPC likely
35024 Don Valley West LPC safe
35025 Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe
35026 Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC
35027 Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC leaning
35028 Essex CPC safe
35029 Etobicoke Centre LPC likely
35030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC likely
35031 Etobicoke North LPC likely
35032 Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely
35033 Guelph LPC safe
35034 Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe
35035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe
35036 Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP
35037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC
35038 Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning
35039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC likely
35040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely
35041 Humber River—Black Creek LPC likely
35042 Huron—Bruce CPC likely
35043 Kanata LPC safe
35044 Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC likely
35045 Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely
35046 Kingston and the Islands LPC safe
35047 King—Vaughan CPC safe
35048 Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC
35049 Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC
35050 Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC
35051 Lanark—Frontenac CPC leaning
35052 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC leaning
35053 London Centre LPC safe
35054 London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP
35055 London West LPC likely
35056 Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning
35057 Markham—Thornhill LPC likely
35058 Markham—Unionville CPC leaning
35059 Middlesex—London CPC likely
35060 Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC
35061 Mississauga Centre LPC likely
35062 Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning
35063 Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely
35064 Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC leaning
35065 Mississauga—Malton LPC likely
35066 Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning
35067 Nepean LPC safe
35068 Newmarket—Aurora CPC leaning
35069 New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe
35070 Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC leaning
35071 Niagara South CPC leaning
35072 Niagara West CPC likely
35073 Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC
35074 Northumberland—Clarke CPC leaning
35075 Oakville East LPC leaning
35076 Oakville West LPC leaning
35077 Orléans LPC safe
35078 Oshawa CPC leaning
35079 Ottawa Centre LPC safe
35080 Ottawa South LPC safe
35081 Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe
35082 Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe
35083 Oxford CPC likely
35084 Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC likely
35085 Perth—Wellington CPC likely
35086 Peterborough LPC likely
35087 Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely
35088 Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely
35089 Richmond Hill South CPC likely
35090 Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely
35091 Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Toss up LPC/CPC
35092 Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely
35093 Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC likely
35094 Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe
35095 Scarborough North LPC safe
35096 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35097 Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe
35098 Simcoe—Grey CPC likely
35099 Simcoe North CPC leaning
35100 Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe
35101 St. Catharines LPC likely
35102 Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely
35103 Sudbury LPC likely
35104 Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC leaning
35105 Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC likely
35106 Thornhill CPC safe
35107 Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning
35108 Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC likely
35109 Toronto Centre LPC safe
35110 Toronto—Danforth LPC safe
35111 Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe
35112 University—Rosedale LPC safe
35113 Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC safe
35114 Waterloo LPC safe
35115 Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC leaning
35116 Whitby LPC leaning
35117 Willowdale LPC leaning
35118 Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC
35119 Windsor West Toss up CPC/NDP
35120 York Centre CPC likely
35121 York—Durham CPC likely
35122 York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC leaning
46003 Elmwood—Transcona Toss up CPC/NDP
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC safe
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP likely
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West LPC likely
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan CPC leaning
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana CPC leaning
47009 Saskatoon South CPC leaning
47010 Saskatoon—University CPC leaning
47011 Saskatoon West CPC safe
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe
48001 Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe
48002 Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre CPC leaning
48005 Calgary Confederation Toss up LPC/CPC
48006 Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely
48007 Calgary East CPC safe
48008 Calgary Heritage CPC safe
48009 Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC
48010 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48011 Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely
48012 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48013 Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe
48014 Calgary Skyview CPC likely
48015 Edmonton Centre LPC likely
48016 Edmonton Gateway CPC likely
48017 Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP
48018 Edmonton Manning CPC likely
48019 Edmonton Northwest CPC likely
48020 Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC
48021 Edmonton Southeast CPC likely
48022 Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
48023 Edmonton West CPC leaning
48024 Foothills CPC safe
48025 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe
48026 Grande Prairie CPC safe
48027 Lakeland CPC safe
48028 Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48029 Lethbridge CPC safe
48030 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe
48031 Parkland CPC safe
48032 Peace River—Westlock CPC safe
48033 Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe
48034 Red Deer CPC safe
48035 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48036 St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe
48037 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley CPC likely
59002 Burnaby Central LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe
59004 Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe
59005 Chilliwack—Hope CPC likely
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning
59009 Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP
59011 Delta LPC likely
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely
59016 Kelowna LPC leaning
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC likely
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/NDP
59021 North Island—Powell River CPC leaning
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC leaning
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC
59028 Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC leaning
59032 South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning
59033 Surrey Centre LPC leaning
59034 Surrey Newton LPC leaning
59035 Vancouver Centre LPC safe
59036 Vancouver East NDP likely
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC safe
59038 Vancouver Granville LPC safe
59039 Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP
59040 Vancouver Quadra LPC safe
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC leaning
59042 Victoria LPC safe
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe
60001 Yukon LPC likely
61001 Northwest Territories LPC likely
62001 Nunavut NDP likely