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338Canada federal district projections

Latest update: January 18, 2026

The Road to 172 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 2. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 3. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 4. Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe LSLOU 5. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 6. Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe DACHO 7. St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe STBSV 8. Halifax West LPC safe HALIW 9. Winnipeg South LPC safe WISOU 10. Vancouver Quadra LPC safe VAQUA 11. Beaches—East York LPC safe BEAEY 12. Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe STLSM 13. Nepean LPC safe NEPEA 14. Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe MONDI 15. Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe OTVAG 16. Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe SCGRP 17. Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe SABEP 18. Vancouver Granville LPC safe VAGRA 19. Ottawa South LPC safe OTSOU 20. Don Valley West LPC safe DVWES 21. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe NDGWE 22. Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe VMLIS 23. Kingston and the Islands LPC safe KAISA 24. Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe BRSTL 25. Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe PIDOL 26. Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe TOSTP 27. St. John’s East LPC safe SJSE 28. Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe OTWNE 29. Hull—Aylmer LPC safe HUAYL 30. Toronto—Danforth LPC safe TODAN 31. Gatineau LPC safe GATIN 32. Halifax LPC safe HALIF 33. Scarborough Southwest LPC safe SCSOU 34. Honoré-Mercier LPC safe HONME 35. Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe AHUCA 36. University—Rosedale LPC safe UNROS 37. Saint-Laurent LPC safe STLAU 38. Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe DOLAL 39. Toronto Centre LPC safe TOCEN 40. Waterloo LPC safe WATER 41. Vaudreuil LPC safe VAUDR 42. Bourassa LPC safe BOURA 43. Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe SPHAR 44. Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe POKIT 45. Louis-Hébert LPC safe LOUHE 46. Alfred-Pellan LPC safe ALPEL 47. Vimy LPC safe VIMY 48. Outremont LPC safe OUTRE 49. Papineau LPC safe PAPIN 50. Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe LASMA 51. Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe FREOR 52. Scarborough North LPC safe SCNOR 53. Beauséjour LPC safe BEAUS 54. West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe WVSSC 55. Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe SMCHA 56. LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe LAEVE 57. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe DEMIC 58. Charlottetown LPC safe CHARL 59. Kings—Hants LPC safe KINHA 60. Kanata LPC safe KANAT 61. London Centre LPC safe LOCEN 62. Guelph LPC safe GUELP 63. Winnipeg North LPC safe WINOR 64. North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe NOVAC 65. Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe BUNSE 66. Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe SCWOB 67. Vancouver Centre LPC safe VANCE 68. Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe ESSAS 69. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe MAFOR 70. Laval—Les Îles LPC safe LALIL 71. Victoria LPC safe VICTR 72. Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC likely ARLPN 73. Davenport LPC likely DAVEH 74. Avalon LPC likely AVALO 75. Winnipeg West LPC likely WIWES 76. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC likely HWAAD 77. Ottawa Centre LPC likely OTCEN 78. London West LPC likely LOWES 79. Sherbrooke LPC likely SHERB 80. Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC likely ETLAK 81. Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC likely TBSUNO 82. Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC likely SJKEN 83. Humber River—Black Creek LPC likely HUBCR 84. Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC likely SCDVE 85. Ajax LPC likely AJAX 86. Malpeque LPC likely MALPE 87. Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely LOCHL 88. Burlington LPC likely BURLI 89. Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely MIERM 90. Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely VAFSB 91. Cardigan LPC likely CARDI 92. Sydney—Glace Bay LPC likely SYGLA 93. Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely PRRUC 94. Mount Royal LPC likely MOROY 95. York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely YOSWET 96. Brome—Missisquoi LPC likely BRMIS 97. Compton—Stanstead LPC likely COMST 98. Peterborough LPC likely PETER 99. Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely MARES 100. Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC likely HOROE 101. Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely PIBRO 102. Sudbury LPC likely SUDBU 103. Edmonton Centre LPC likely EDCEN 104. Northwest Territories LPC likely NWTER 105. Markham—Thornhill LPC likely MATHI 106. St. Catharines LPC likely STCATH 107. South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely SSSTM 108. Mississauga Centre LPC likely MICEN 109. Yukon LPC likely YUKON 110. Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely SCAGI 111. Etobicoke North LPC likely ETNOR 112. Mississauga—Malton LPC likely MIMAL 113. Don Valley North LPC leaning DVNOR 114. Etobicoke Centre LPC leaning ETCEN 115. Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC leaning CHLJN 116. Whitby LPC leaning WHITB 117. Willowdale LPC leaning WILLO 118. Burlington North—Milton West LPC leaning BNMW 119. Oakville West LPC leaning OKWES 120. Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC leaning MILAK 121. Central Nova LPC leaning CENNO 122. Delta LPC leaning DELTA 123. Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC leaning CHKEK 124. Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC leaning TAPHP 125. Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC leaning CBCA 126. Trois-Rivières LPC leaning TRRIV 127. Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning MISTR 128. Egmont LPC leaning EGMON 129. Oakville East LPC leaning OKEAS 130. Labrador LPC leaning LABRA 131. Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning MASTO 132. Bay of Quinte LPC leaning BAQUIN 133. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ TDBLA 134. Mississauga East—Cooksville Toss up LPC/CPC MIECO 135. Thunder Bay—Rainy River Toss up LPC/CPC TBRARI 136. Carleton Toss up LPC/CPC CARLE 137. Rivière-des-Milles-Îles Toss up LPC/BQ RDMI 138. Surrey Newton Toss up LPC/CPC SUNEW 139. Québec Centre Toss up LPC/BQ QUCEN 140. Hamilton Mountain Toss up LPC/CPC HAMMO 141. Brampton—Chinguacousy Park Toss up LPC/CPC BRCHP 142. Calgary Confederation Toss up LPC/CPC CACON 143. Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC KISTP 144. Burnaby Central Toss up LPC/CPC BUCEN 145. Brampton East Toss up LPC/CPC BREAS 146. Surrey Centre Toss up LPC/CPC SUCEN 147. South Surrey—White Rock Toss up LPC/CPC SOSWR 148. Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie Toss up LPC/BQ MSBLA 149. Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Toss up LPC/CPC COPC 150. Acadie—Annapolis Toss up LPC/CPC ACANN 151. Fleetwood—Port Kells Toss up LPC/CPC FLPKL 152. Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Toss up LPC/CPC SSMAL 153. Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC NITIM 154. Brampton South Toss up LPC/CPC BRSOU 155. Brampton North—Caledon Toss up LPC/CPC BRNCA 156. Brampton Centre Toss up LPC/CPC BRACE 157. Cumberland—Colchester Toss up LPC/CPC CUCOL 158. Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC EGLLA 159. Port Moody—Coquitlam Toss up LPC/CPC PMCOQ 160. Richmond East—Steveston Toss up LPC/CPC RESTE 161. Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC KICON 162. Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC KELWN 163. La Prairie—Atateken Toss up LPC/BQ LPATA 164. Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Toss up LPC/BQ ABBAJ 165. Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC MEHHS 166. Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC WITELA 167. Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC REWAS 168. Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC CAMCK 169. Beauport—Limoilou Toss up LPC/BQ BELIM 170. Terra Nova—The Peninsulas Toss up LPC/CPC TNTP 171. Regina—Lewvan Toss up LPC/CPC RELEW 172. Miramichi—Grand Lake CPC leaning MIGLA 173. Kitchener South—Hespeler CPC leaning KSHES 174. Brampton West CPC leaning BRWES 175. Saskatoon—University CPC leaning SASKU 176. Edmonton Riverbend CPC leaning EDRIV 177. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek CPC leaning HAESCO 178. Saskatoon South CPC leaning SASKS 179. Cambridge CPC leaning CAMBR 180. Hamilton Centre NDP leaning HACEN 181. Cloverdale—Langley City CPC leaning CLLAC 182. Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge CPC leaning PMMAP 183. Northumberland—Clarke CPC leaning NOCLA 184. Calgary Centre CPC leaning CACE 185. Markham—Unionville CPC leaning MAUNI 186. Newmarket—Aurora CPC leaning NEAUR 187. Simcoe North CPC leaning SINOR 188. Les Pays-d’en-Haut BQ leaning LPDEH 189. Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC leaning NIFANO 190. Niagara South CPC leaning NISOUT 191. Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC leaning CHHSC 192. Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC leaning BOOSH 193. Lanark—Frontenac CPC leaning LAFRO 194. Oshawa CPC leaning OSHAW 195. Richmond Centre—Marpole CPC leaning RCMAR 196. Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC leaning LEGRI 197. Richmond—Arthabaska Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ RIART 198. Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC likely WEHHN 199. Nunavut NDP leaning NUNVT 200. Edmonton West CPC likely EDWES 201. Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC likely SEEMN 202. Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC likely ESTLS 203. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC likely BSWOM 204. Winnipeg Centre NDP likely WICEN 205. Longueuil—Saint-Hubert BQ likely LOSTH 206. Richmond Hill South CPC likely RIHISO 207. Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC likely OKLSK 208. Long Range Mountains CPC likely LORAM 209. Edmonton Gateway CPC likely EDGAT 210. Edmonton Southeast CPC likely EDSE 211. Niagara West CPC likely NIWES 212. Simcoe—Grey CPC likely SIGRE 213. Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC likely SISOW 214. Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC likely LOSLA 215. Terrebonne BQ likely TERRB 216. Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC likely VELCM 217. New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville NDP likely NWBBM 218. Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC likely KATIM 219. Chicoutimi—Le Fjord BQ likely CHILE 220. Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely FGGBN 221. Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC likely PSMUS 222. Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC likely LTFH 223. Middlesex—London CPC likely MILON 224. Edmonton Northwest CPC likely EDNOW 225. Central Newfoundland CPC likely CENNE 226. Shefford BQ likely SHEFF 227. Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely KEKII 228. York Centre CPC likely YOCEN 229. Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely BBSNS 230. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely AORRH 231. Abbotsford—South Langley CPC likely ABSOL 232. Saint John—St. Croix CPC likely SJSCX 233. Huron—Bruce CPC likely HUBRU 234. Calgary Skyview CPC likely CASKY 235. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely NALAD 236. Perth—Wellington CPC likely PEWEL 237. Edmonton Manning CPC likely EDMAN 238. Repentigny BQ likely REPEN 239. Vancouver Kingsway NDP likely VAKIN 240. Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely KLTNI 241. Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC likely CDRLK 242. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely BGOOS 243. Fundy Royal CPC likely FUNRO 244. Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely HELAT 245. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely LPILI 246. Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely KLSCR 247. Mirabel BQ likely MIRAB 248. Montmorency—Charlevoix BQ likely MOCHX 249. Oxford CPC likely OXFOR 250. Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ likely PBLPV 251. York—Durham CPC likely YODUR 252. Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely GASIL 253. Windsor West Toss up CPC/NDP WIWES 254. Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely SALBK 255. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely SAGUL 256. Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely STDUC 257. Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely CACRO 258. Lévis—Lotbinière CPC likely LELOT 259. Laurentides—Labelle BQ safe LALAB 260. Calgary Nose Hill CPC safe CANOH 261. Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC safe ALRPE 262. London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP LOFAN 263. Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe POJACA 264. Saint-Jean BQ safe STJEA 265. Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ safe RIMLA 266. Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe CASIH 267. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe HAKALA 268. Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe BELET 269. Saskatoon West CPC safe SASKW 270. Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely BERMA 271. Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe BRSIN 272. Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ safe SHYBA 273. Kitchener Centre GPC likely KICEN 274. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP safe ROLPD 275. Cowichan—Malahat—Langford NDP leaning COMAL 276. Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC safe VAWOO 277. Vancouver East NDP safe VAEAST 278. Jonquière BQ safe JONQU 279. Calgary Heritage CPC safe CAHER 280. Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC safe MIMAB 281. New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe NTGWI 282. Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe HADNO 283. Chilliwack—Hope CPC safe CHHOP 284. Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe CKLEA 285. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe RINOR 286. Tobique—Mactaquac CPC safe TOBMA 287. Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ safe BESHS 288. North Island—Powell River Toss up CPC/NDP NIPR 289. King—Vaughan CPC safe KIVAU 290. Lethbridge CPC safe LETHB 291. Essex CPC safe ESSEX 292. Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe DUCAL 293. Calgary East CPC safe CAEA 294. Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe SEINE 295. Calgary Midnapore CPC safe CAMID 296. St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe STASR 297. Thornhill CPC safe THORN 298. Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe BECHA 299. Calgary Shepard CPC safe CASHE 300. Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe CAPRG 301. Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe REQUP 302. Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe SHFFS 303. Provencher CPC safe PROVE 304. Joliette—Manawan BQ safe JOLMA 305. Yellowhead CPC safe YELLO 306. Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe COKSR 307. Drummond BQ safe DRUMO 308. Portage—Lisgar CPC safe POLIS 309. Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe AICOC 310. Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe CNKNI 311. Brandon—Souris CPC safe BRSOU 312. Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe BENSA 313. Montcalm BQ safe MONTC 314. Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe ABTEM 315. Riding Mountain CPC safe RIDMO 316. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe LSJEA 317. Red Deer CPC safe REDDE 318. Elmwood—Transcona Toss up CPC/NDP ELTRA 319. Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe MELOL 320. Prince Albert CPC safe PRALB 321. Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe BLLML 322. Courtenay—Alberni NDP likely COALB 323. Foothills CPC safe FOOTH 324. Beauce CPC safe BEAUC 325. Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe PGPRN 326. Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe CTECR 327. Parkland CPC safe PARKL 328. Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe MOJALA 329. Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe MECAW 330. Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe LEWET 331. Bow River CPC safe BORIV 332. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP EDGRI 333. Yorkton—Melville CPC safe YOMEL 334. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe EDSTR 335. Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe FOMCC 336. Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe SCGRK 337. Lakeland CPC safe LAKEL 338. Grande Prairie CPC safe GRPRA 339. Peace River—Westlock CPC safe PRWES 340. Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe SOMOMO 341. Skeena—Bulkley Valley Toss up CPC/NDP SKBUV 342. Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe BRCRO 343. Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe PODID WISOC ACABA CAPSP LSLOU ORLEA DACHO STBSV HALIW WISOU VAQUA BEAEY STLSM NEPEA MONDI OTVAG SCGRP SABEP VAGRA OTSOU DVWES NDGWE VMLIS KAISA BRSTL PIDOL TOSTP SJSE OTWNE HUAYL TODAN GATIN HALIF SCSOU HONME AHUCA UNROS STLAU DOLAL TOCEN WATER VAUDR BOURA SPHAR POKIT LOUHE ALPEL VIMY OUTRE PAPIN LASMA FREOR SCNOR BEAUS WVSSC SMCHA LAEVE DEMIC CHARL KINHA KANAT LOCEN GUELP WINOR NOVAC BUNSE SCWOB VANCE ESSAS MAFOR LALIL VICTR ARLPN DAVEH AVALO WIWES HWAAD OTCEN LOWES SHERB ETLAK TBSUNO SJKEN HUBCR SCDVE AJAX MALPE LOCHL BURLI MIERM VAFSB CARDI SYGLA PRRUC MOROY YOSWET BRMIS COMST PETER MARES HOROE PIBRO SUDBU EDCEN NWTER MATHI STCATH SSSTM MICEN YUKON SCAGI ETNOR MIMAL DVNOR ETCEN CHLJN WHITB WILLO BNMW OKWES MILAK CENNO DELTA CHKEK TAPHP CBCA TRRIV MISTR EGMON OKEAS LABRA MASTO BAQUIN TDBLA MIECO TBRARI CARLE RDMI SUNEW QUCEN HAMMO BRCHP CACON KISTP BUCEN BREAS SUCEN SOSWR MSBLA COPC ACANN FLPKL SSMAL NITIM BRSOU BRNCA BRACE CUCOL EGLLA PMCOQ RESTE KICON KELWN LPATA ABBAJ MEHHS WITELA REWAS CAMCK BELIM TNTP RELEW MIGLA KSHES BRWES SASKU EDRIV HAESCO SASKS CAMBR HACEN CLLAC PMMAP NOCLA CACE MAUNI NEAUR SINOR LPDEH NIFANO NISOUT CHHSC BOOSH LAFRO OSHAW RCMAR LEGRI RIART WEHHN NUNVT EDWES SEEMN ESTLS BSWOM WICEN LOSTH RIHISO OKLSK LORAM EDGAT EDSE NIWES SIGRE SISOW LOSLA TERRB VELCM NWBBM KATIM CHILE FGGBN PSMUS LTFH MILON EDNOW CENNE SHEFF KEKII YOCEN BBSNS AORRH ABSOL SJSCX HUBRU CASKY NALAD PEWEL EDMAN REPEN VAKIN KLTNI CDRLK BGOOS FUNRO HELAT LPILI KLSCR MIRAB MOCHX OXFOR PBLPV YODUR GASIL WIWES SALBK SAGUL STDUC CACRO LELOT LALAB CANOH ALRPE LOFAN POJACA STJEA RIMLA CASIH HAKALA BELET SASKW BERMA BRSIN SHYBA KICEN ROLPD COMAL VAWOO VAEAST JONQU CAHER MIMAB NTGWI HADNO CHHOP CKLEA RINOR TOBMA BESHS NIPR KIVAU LETHB ESSEX DUCAL CAEA SEINE CAMID STASR THORN BECHA CASHE CAPRG REQUP SHFFS PROVE JOLMA YELLO COKSR DRUMO POLIS AICOC CNKNI BRSOU BENSA MONTC ABTEM RIDMO LSJEA REDDE ELTRA MELOL PRALB BLLML COALB FOOTH BEAUC PGPRN CTECR PARKL MOJALA MECAW LEWET BORIV EDGRI YOMEL EDSTR FOMCC SCGRK LAKEL GRPRA PRWES SOMOMO SKBUV BRCRO PODID 338Canada Federal Projection Latest update: January 18, 2026 145 CPC [110-178] LPC 153 [120-187]

Electoral districts
Current party
 Projection
Avalon
Paul Connors
 L LPC likely
Cape Spear
Tom Osborne
 L LPC safe
Central Newfoundland
Clifford Small
 C CPC likely
Labrador
Philip Earle
 L LPC leaning
Long Range Mountains
Carol Anstey
 C CPC likely
St. John’s East
Joanne Thompson
 L LPC safe
Terra Nova—The Peninsulas
Jonathan Rowe
 C Toss up LPC/CPC
Cardigan
Kent McDonald
 L LPC likely
Charlottetown
Sean Casey
 L LPC safe
Egmont
Bobby Morrissey
 L LPC leaning
Malpeque
Heath MacDonald
 L LPC likely
Acadie—Annapolis
Chris d’Entremont [Elected as CPC]
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish
Jaime Battiste
 L LPC leaning
Central Nova
Sean Fraser
 L LPC leaning
Cumberland—Colchester
Alana Hirtle
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour
Darren Fisher
 L LPC safe
Halifax
Shannon Miedema
 L LPC safe
Halifax West
Lena Metlege Diab
 L LPC safe
Kings—Hants
Kody Blois
 L LPC safe
Sackville—Bedford—Preston
Braedon Clark
 L LPC safe
South Shore—St. Margarets
Jessica Fancy-Landry
 L LPC likely
Sydney—Glace Bay
Mike Kelloway
 L LPC likely
Acadie—Bathurst
Serge Cormier
 L LPC safe
Beauséjour
Dominic LeBlanc
 L LPC safe
Fredericton—Oromocto
David Myles
 L LPC safe
Fundy Royal
Rob Moore
 C CPC likely
Madawaska—Restigouche
Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
 L LPC likely
Miramichi—Grand Lake
Mike Dawson
 C CPC leaning
Moncton—Dieppe
Ginette Petitpas Taylor
 L LPC safe
Saint John—Kennebecasis
Wayne Long
 L LPC likely
Saint John—St. Croix
John Williamson
 C CPC likely
Tobique—Mactaquac
Richard Bragdon
 C CPC safe
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou
Mandy Gull
 L Toss up LPC/BQ
Abitibi—Témiscamingue
Sebastien Lemire
 B BQ safe
Ahuntsic-Cartierville
Melanie Joly
 L LPC safe
Alfred-Pellan
Angelo Iacono
 L LPC safe
Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation
Stephane Lauzon
 L LPC likely
Beauce
Jason Groleau
 C CPC safe
Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon
Claude DeBellefeuille
 B BQ safe
Beauport—Limoilou
Steeve Lavoie
 L Toss up LPC/BQ
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak
Louis Plamondon
 B BQ safe
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis
Dominique Vien
 C CPC safe
Beloeil—Chambly
Yves-Francois Blanchet
 B BQ safe
Berthier—Maskinongé
Yves Perron
 B BQ likely
Bourassa
Abdelhaq Sari
 L LPC safe
Brome—Missisquoi
Louis Villeneuve
 L LPC likely
Brossard—Saint-Lambert
Alexandra Mendes
 L LPC safe
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles
Pierre Paul-Hus
 C CPC leaning
Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville
Nathalie Provost
 L LPC leaning
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord
Richard Martel
 C BQ likely
Compton—Stanstead
Marianne Dandurand
 L LPC likely
Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata
Bernard Genereux
 C CPC likely
Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan
Marilene Gill
 B BQ safe
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle
Anju Dhillon
 L LPC safe
Drummond
Martin Champoux
 B BQ safe
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj
Alexis Deschenes
 B BQ likely
Gatineau
Steven MacKinnon
 L LPC safe
Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est
Marie-Gabrielle Menard
 L LPC likely
Honoré-Mercier
Eric St-Pierre
 L LPC safe
Hull—Aylmer
Greg Fergus
 L LPC safe
Joliette—Manawan
Gabriel Ste-Marie
 B BQ safe
Jonquière
Mario Simard
 B BQ safe
La Pointe-de-l’Île
Mario Beaulieu
 B BQ likely
La Prairie—Atateken
Jacques Ramsay
 L Toss up LPC/BQ
Lac-Saint-Jean
Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe
 B BQ safe
Lac-Saint-Louis
Francis Scarpaleggia
 L LPC safe
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
Claude Guay
 L LPC safe
Laurentides—Labelle
Marie-Helene Gaudreau
 B BQ safe
Laurier—Sainte-Marie
Steven Guilbeault
 L LPC safe
Laval—Les Îles
Faycal El-Khoury
 L LPC safe
Les Pays-d’en-Haut
Timothy Watchorn
 L BQ leaning
Lévis—Lotbinière
Jacques Gourde
 C CPC likely
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne
Sherry Romanado
 L LPC likely
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert
Natilien Joseph
 L BQ likely
Louis-Hébert
Joel Lightbound
 L LPC safe
Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk
Gérard Deltell
 C CPC likely
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
Carlos Leitao
 L LPC safe
Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière
Luc Berthold
 C CPC safe
Mirabel
Jean-Denis Garon
 B BQ likely
Mount Royal
Anthony Housefather
 L LPC likely
Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie
Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba
 L Toss up LPC/BQ
Montcalm
Luc Theriault
 B BQ safe
Montmorency—Charlevoix
Gabriel Hardy
 C BQ likely
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount
Anna Gainey
 L LPC safe
Outremont
Rachel Bendayan
 L LPC safe
Papineau
Marjorie Michel
 L LPC safe
Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères
Xavier Barsalou-Duval
 B BQ likely
Pierrefonds—Dollard
Sameer Zuberi
 L LPC safe
Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi
Sophie Chatel
 L LPC safe
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier
Joel Godin
 C CPC safe
Québec Centre
Jean-Yves Duclos
 L Toss up LPC/BQ
Repentigny
Patrick Bonin
 B BQ likely
Richmond—Arthabaska
Éric Lefebvre
 C Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
Rimouski—La Matapédia
Maxime Blanchette-Joncas
 B BQ safe
Rivière-des-Milles-Îles
Linda Lapointe
 L Toss up LPC/BQ
Rivière-du-Nord
Rheal Fortin
 B BQ safe
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie
Alexandre Boulerice
 N NDP safe
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton
Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay
 B BQ safe
Saint-Jean
Christine Normandin
 B BQ safe
Saint-Laurent
Emmanuella Lambropoulos
 L LPC safe
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel
Patricia Lattanzio
 L LPC safe
Saint-Maurice—Champlain
Francois-Philippe Champagne
 L LPC safe
Shefford
Andreanne Larouche
 B BQ likely
Sherbrooke
Elisabeth Briere
 L LPC likely
Terrebonne
Tatiana Auguste
 L BQ likely
Thérèse-De Blainville
Madeleine Chenette
 L Toss up LPC/BQ
Trois-Rivières
Caroline Desrochers
 L LPC leaning
Vaudreuil
Peter Schiefke
 L LPC safe
Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs
Marc Miller
 L LPC safe
Vimy
Annie Koutrakis
 L LPC safe
Ajax
Jennifer McKelvie
 L LPC likely
Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke
Cheryl Gallant
 C CPC safe
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
Costas Menegakis
 C CPC likely
Barrie South—Innisfil
John Brassard
 C CPC safe
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
Doug Shipley
 C CPC likely
Bay of Quinte
Christopher Malette
 L LPC leaning
Beaches—East York
Nathaniel Erskine-Smith
 L LPC safe
Bowmanville—Oshawa North
Jamil Jivani
 C CPC leaning
Brampton Centre
Amandeep Sodhi
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Brampton—Chinguacousy Park
Shafqat Ali
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Brampton East
Maninder Sidhu
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Brampton North—Caledon
Ruby Sahota
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Brampton South
Sonia Sidhu
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Brampton West
Amarjeet Gill
 C CPC leaning
Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations
Larry Brock
 C CPC likely
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
Alex Ruff
 C CPC likely
Burlington
Karina Gould
 L LPC likely
Burlington North—Milton West
Adam van Koeverden
 L LPC leaning
Cambridge
Connie Cody
 C CPC leaning
Carleton
Bruce Fanjoy
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Chatham-Kent—Leamington
Dave Epp
 C CPC safe
Davenport
Julie Dzerowicz
 L LPC likely
Don Valley North
Maggie Chi
 L LPC leaning
Don Valley West
Rob Oliphant
 L LPC safe
Dufferin—Caledon
Kyle Seeback
 C CPC safe
Eglinton—Lawrence
Vince Gasparro
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Elgin—St. Thomas—London South
Andrew Lawton
 C CPC likely
Essex
Chris Lewis
 C CPC safe
Etobicoke Centre
Yvan Baker
 L LPC leaning
Etobicoke—Lakeshore
James Maloney
 L LPC likely
Etobicoke North
John Zerucelli
 L LPC likely
Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North
Dan Muys
 C CPC likely
Guelph
Dominique O’Rourke
 L LPC safe
Haldimand—Norfolk
Leslyn Lewis
 C CPC safe
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes
Jamie Schmale
 C CPC safe
Hamilton Centre
Aslam Rana
 L NDP leaning
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Ned Kuruc
 C CPC leaning
Hamilton Mountain
Lisa Hepfner
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas
JP Danko
 L LPC likely
Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga
Shelby Kramp-Neuman
 C CPC likely
Humber River—Black Creek
Judy Sgro
 L LPC likely
Huron—Bruce
Ben Lobb
 C CPC likely
Kanata
Jenna Sudds
 L LPC safe
Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk
Gaetan Malette
 C CPC likely
Kenora—Kiiwetinoong
Eric Melillo
 C CPC likely
Kingston and the Islands
Mark Gerretsen
 L LPC safe
King—Vaughan
Anna Roberts
 C CPC safe
Kitchener Centre
Kelly DeRidder
 C GPC likely
Kitchener—Conestoga
Tim Louis
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Kitchener South—Hespeler
Matt Strauss
 C CPC leaning
Lanark—Frontenac
Scott Reid
 C CPC leaning
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes
Michael Barrett
 C CPC leaning
London Centre
Peter Fragiskatos
 L LPC safe
London—Fanshawe
Kurt Holman
 C Toss up CPC/NDP
London West
Arielle Kayabaga
 L LPC likely
Markham—Stouffville
Helena Jaczek
 L LPC leaning
Markham—Thornhill
Tim Hodgson
 L LPC likely
Markham—Unionville
Michael Ma [Elected as CPC]
 L CPC leaning
Middlesex—London
Lianne Rood
 C CPC likely
Milton East—Halton Hills South
Kristina Tesser Derksen
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Mississauga Centre
Fares Al Soud
 L LPC likely
Mississauga East—Cooksville
Peter Fonseca
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Mississauga—Erin Mills
Iqra Khalid
 L LPC likely
Mississauga—Lakeshore
Charles Sousa
 L LPC leaning
Mississauga—Malton
Iqwinder Gaheer
 L LPC likely
Mississauga—Streetsville
Rechie Valdez
 L LPC leaning
Nepean
Mark Carney
 L LPC safe
Newmarket—Aurora
Sandra Cobena
 C CPC leaning
New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury
Scot Davidson
 C CPC safe
Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake
Tony Baldinelli
 C CPC leaning
Niagara South
Fred Davies
 C CPC leaning
Niagara West
Dean Allison
 C CPC likely
Nipissing—Timiskaming
Pauline Rochefort
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Northumberland—Clarke
Philip Lawrence
 C CPC leaning
Oakville East
Anita Anand
 L LPC leaning
Oakville West
Sima Acan
 L LPC leaning
Orléans
Marie-France Lalonde
 L LPC safe
Oshawa
Rhonda Kirkland
 C CPC leaning
Ottawa Centre
Yasir Naqvi
 L LPC likely
Ottawa South
David McGuinty
 L LPC safe
Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester
Mona Fortier
 L LPC safe
Ottawa West—Nepean
Anita Vandenbeld
 L LPC safe
Oxford
Arpan Khanna
 C CPC likely
Parry Sound—Muskoka
Scott Aitchison
 C CPC likely
Perth—Wellington
John Nater
 C CPC likely
Peterborough
Emma Harrison
 L LPC likely
Pickering—Brooklin
Juanita Nathan
 L LPC likely
Prescott—Russell—Cumberland
Giovanna Mingarelli
 L LPC likely
Richmond Hill South
Vincent Neil Ho
 C CPC likely
Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong
Marilyn Gladu
 C CPC likely
Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma
Terry Sheehan
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Scarborough—Agincourt
Jean Yip
 L LPC likely
Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East
Salma Zahid
 L LPC likely
Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park
Gary Anandasangaree
 L LPC safe
Scarborough North
Shaun Chen
 L LPC safe
Scarborough Southwest
Bill Blair
 L LPC safe
Scarborough—Woburn
Michael Coteau
 L LPC safe
Simcoe—Grey
Terry Dowdall
 C CPC likely
Simcoe North
Adam Chambers
 C CPC leaning
Spadina—Harbourfront
Chi Nguyen
 L LPC safe
St. Catharines
Chris Bittle
 L LPC likely
Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry
Eric Duncan
 C CPC likely
Sudbury
Viviane Lapointe
 L LPC likely
Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt
Jim Belanger
 C CPC likely
Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park
Karim Bardeesy
 L LPC leaning
Thornhill
Melissa Lantsman
 C CPC safe
Thunder Bay—Rainy River
Marcus Powlowski
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Thunder Bay—Superior North
Patty Hajdu
 L LPC likely
Toronto Centre
Evan Solomon
 L LPC safe
Toronto—Danforth
Julie Dabrusin
 L LPC safe
Toronto—St. Paul’s
Leslie Church
 L LPC safe
University—Rosedale
Vacant
 LPC safe
Vaughan—Woodbridge
Michael Guglielmin
 C CPC safe
Waterloo
Bardish Chagger
 L LPC safe
Wellington—Halton Hills North
Michael Chong
 C CPC likely
Whitby
Ryan Turnbull
 L LPC leaning
Willowdale
Ali Ehsassi
 L LPC leaning
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore
Kathy Borrelli
 C Toss up LPC/CPC
Windsor West
Harbinder Gill
 C Toss up CPC/NDP
York Centre
Roman Baber
 C CPC likely
York—Durham
Jacob Mantle
 C CPC likely
York South—Weston—Etobicoke
Ahmed Hussen
 L LPC likely
Brandon—Souris
Grant Jackson
 C CPC safe
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski
Rebecca Chartrand
 L LPC leaning
Elmwood—Transcona
Colin Reynolds
 C Toss up CPC/NDP
Kildonan—St. Paul
Raquel Dancho
 C Toss up LPC/CPC
Portage—Lisgar
Branden Leslie
 C CPC safe
Provencher
Ted Falk
 C CPC safe
Riding Mountain
Dan Mazier
 C CPC safe
St. Boniface—St. Vital
Ginette Lavack
 L LPC safe
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman
James Bezan
 C CPC safe
Winnipeg Centre
Leah Gazan
 N NDP likely
Winnipeg North
Kevin Lamoureux
 L LPC safe
Winnipeg South
Terry Duguid
 L LPC safe
Winnipeg South Centre
Ben Carr
 L LPC safe
Winnipeg West
Doug Eyolfson
 L LPC likely
Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake
Rosemarie Falk
 C CPC safe
Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek
Kelly Block
 C CPC safe
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River
Buckley Belanger
 L LPC safe
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan
Fraser Tolmie
 C CPC safe
Prince Albert
Randy Hoback
 C CPC safe
Regina—Lewvan
Warren Steinley
 C Toss up LPC/CPC
Regina—Qu’Appelle
Andrew Scheer
 C CPC safe
Regina—Wascana
Michael Kram
 C Toss up LPC/CPC
Saskatoon South
Kevin Waugh
 C CPC leaning
Saskatoon—University
Corey Tochor
 C CPC leaning
Saskatoon West
Brad Redekopp
 C CPC safe
Souris—Moose Mountain
Steven Bonk
 C CPC safe
Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley
Jeremy Patzer
 C CPC safe
Yorkton—Melville
Cathay Wagantall
 C CPC safe
Airdrie—Cochrane
Blake Richards
 C CPC safe
Battle River—Crowfoot
Pierre Poilievre
 C CPC safe
Bow River
David Bexte
 C CPC safe
Calgary Centre
Greg McLean
 C CPC leaning
Calgary Confederation
Corey Hogan
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Calgary Crowfoot
Shuv Majumdar
 C CPC likely
Calgary East
Jasraj Singh Hallan
 C CPC safe
Calgary Heritage
Shuv Majumdar
 C CPC safe
Calgary McKnight
Dalwinder Gill
 C Toss up LPC/CPC
Calgary Midnapore
Stephanie Kusie
 C CPC safe
Calgary Nose Hill
Michelle Rempel Garner
 C CPC safe
Calgary Shepard
Tom Kmiec
 C CPC safe
Calgary Signal Hill
David McKenzie
 C CPC safe
Calgary Skyview
Amanpreet Singh Gill
 C CPC likely
Edmonton Centre
Eleanor Olszewski
 L LPC likely
Edmonton Gateway
Tim Uppal
 C CPC likely
Edmonton Griesbach
Kerry Diotte
 C Toss up CPC/NDP
Edmonton Manning
Ziad Aboultaif
 C CPC likely
Edmonton Northwest
Billy Morin
 C CPC likely
Edmonton Riverbend
Matt Jeneroux
 C CPC leaning
Edmonton Southeast
Jagsharan Singh Mahal
 C CPC likely
Edmonton Strathcona
Heather McPherson
 N NDP safe
Edmonton West
Kelly McCauley
 C CPC likely
Foothills
John Barlow
 C CPC safe
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake
Laila Goodridge
 C CPC safe
Grande Prairie
Chris Warkentin
 C CPC safe
Lakeland
Shannon Stubbs
 C CPC safe
Leduc—Wetaskiwin
Mike Lake
 C CPC safe
Lethbridge
Rachael Thomas
 C CPC safe
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner
Glen Motz
 C CPC safe
Parkland
Dane Lloyd
 C CPC safe
Peace River—Westlock
Arnold Viersen
 C CPC safe
Ponoka—Didsbury
Blaine Calkins
 C CPC safe
Red Deer
Burton Bailey
 C CPC safe
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan
Garnett Genuis
 C CPC safe
St. Albert—Sturgeon River
Michael Cooper
 C CPC safe
Yellowhead
William Stevenson
 C CPC safe
Abbotsford—South Langley
Sukhman Singh Gill
 C CPC likely
Burnaby Central
Wade Wei Lin Chang
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Burnaby North—Seymour
Terry Beech
 L LPC safe
Cariboo—Prince George
Todd Doherty
 C CPC safe
Chilliwack—Hope
Mark Strahl
 C CPC safe
Cloverdale—Langley City
Tamara Jansen
 C CPC leaning
Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies
Rob Morrison
 C CPC safe
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam
Ron McKinnon
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Courtenay—Alberni
Gord Johns
 N NDP likely
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford
Jeff Kibble
 C NDP leaning
Delta
Jill McKnight
 L LPC leaning
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke
Stephanie McLean
 L LPC safe
Fleetwood—Port Kells
Gurbux Saini
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies
Mel Arnold
 C CPC likely
Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola
Frank Caputo
 C CPC likely
Kelowna
Stephen Fuhr
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Langley Township—Fraser Heights
Tako van Popta
 C CPC likely
Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford
Brad Vis
 C CPC safe
Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Tamara Kronis
 C CPC likely
New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville
Jake Sawatzky
 L NDP likely
North Island—Powell River
Aaron Gunn
 C Toss up CPC/NDP
North Vancouver—Capilano
Jonathan Wilkinson
 L LPC safe
Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna
Dan Albas
 C CPC likely
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge
Marc Dalton
 C CPC leaning
Port Moody—Coquitlam
Zoe Royer
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies
Bob Zimmer
 C CPC safe
Richmond Centre—Marpole
Chak Au
 C CPC leaning
Richmond East—Steveston
Parm Bains
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Saanich—Gulf Islands
Elizabeth May
 G GPC likely
Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay
Helena Konanz
 C CPC likely
Skeena—Bulkley Valley
Ellis Ross
 C Toss up CPC/NDP
South Surrey—White Rock
Ernie Klassen
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Surrey Centre
Randeep Sarai
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Surrey Newton
Sukh Dhaliwal
 L Toss up LPC/CPC
Vancouver Centre
Hedy Fry
 L LPC safe
Vancouver East
Jenny Kwan
 N NDP safe
Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby
Gregor Robertson
 L LPC likely
Vancouver Granville
Taleeb Noormohamed
 L LPC safe
Vancouver Kingsway
Don Davies
 N NDP likely
Vancouver Quadra
Wade Grant
 L LPC safe
Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee
Scott Anderson
 C CPC likely
Victoria
Will Greaves
 L LPC safe
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country
Patrick Weiler
 L LPC safe
Yukon
Brendan Hanley
 L LPC likely
Northwest Territories
Rebecca Alty
 L LPC likely
Nunavut
Lori Idlout
 N NDP leaning