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Canada

The Road to 172 Seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 172 seats 1. Cape Spear LPC safe CAPSP 2. Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe ACABA 3. Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe DACHO 4. Orléans LPC safe ORLEA 5. Halifax West LPC safe HALIW 6. Charlottetown LPC safe CHARL 7. Vancouver Quadra LPC safe VAQUA 8. Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe MONDI 9. Beaches—East York LPC safe BEAEY 10. Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe LSLOU 11. Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe WISOC 12. Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe SABEP 13. Vancouver Granville LPC safe VAGRA 14. Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe OTVAG 15. Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe FREOR 16. Nepean LPC safe NEPEA 17. Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe SCGRP 18. Beauséjour LPC safe BEAUS 19. Kings—Hants LPC safe KINHA 20. Ottawa South LPC safe OTSOU 21. Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe STLSM 22. Scarborough North LPC safe SCNOR 23. Don Valley West LPC safe DVWES 24. St. John’s East LPC safe SJSE 25. North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe NOVAC 26. Kingston and the Islands LPC safe KAISA 27. West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe WVSSC 28. Toronto—Danforth LPC safe TODAN 29. St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe STBSV 30. Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe OTWNE 31. Winnipeg South LPC safe WISOU 32. Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe TOSTP 33. Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe BUNSE 34. Halifax LPC safe HALIF 35. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe NDGWE 36. Avalon LPC safe AVALO 37. Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe VMLIS 38. Kanata LPC safe KANAT 39. University—Rosedale LPC safe UNROS 40. Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe BRSTL 41. Scarborough Southwest LPC safe SCSOU 42. Toronto Centre LPC safe TOCEN 43. Hull—Aylmer LPC safe HUAYL 44. Gatineau LPC safe GATIN 45. Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe PIDOL 46. Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe AHUCA 47. Honoré-Mercier LPC safe HONME 48. Waterloo LPC safe WATER 49. Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe SPHAR 50. Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe DOLAL 51. Saint-Laurent LPC safe STLAU 52. Vancouver Centre LPC safe VANCE 53. Bourassa LPC safe BOURA 54. Vaudreuil LPC safe VAUDR 55. Ottawa Centre LPC safe OTCEN 56. Victoria LPC safe VICTR 57. Louis-Hébert LPC safe LOUHE 58. London Centre LPC safe LOCEN 59. Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe POKIT 60. Alfred-Pellan LPC safe ALPEL 61. Davenport LPC safe DAVEH 62. Vimy LPC safe VIMY 63. Guelph LPC safe GUELP 64. Outremont LPC safe OUTRE 65. Papineau LPC safe PAPIN 66. Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe LASMA 67. Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe SMCHA 68. LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe LAEVE 69. Winnipeg North LPC safe WINOR 70. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe MAFOR 71. Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe SCWOB 72. Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe ESSAS 73. Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe SJKEN 74. Sherbrooke LPC safe SHERB 75. Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe ARLPN 76. Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe DEMIC 77. Malpeque LPC safe MALPE 78. Sydney—Glace Bay LPC safe SYGLA 79. Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe LOCHL 80. Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe HWAAD 81. London West LPC safe LOWES 82. Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe BRMIS 83. Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC likely TBSUNO 84. Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC likely ETLAK 85. Compton—Stanstead LPC likely COMST 86. Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely MARES 87. Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely VAFSB 88. Cardigan LPC likely CARDI 89. Humber River—Black Creek LPC likely HUBCR 90. Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC likely SCDVE 91. Winnipeg West LPC likely WIWES 92. Laval—Les Îles LPC likely LALIL 93. Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC likely HOROE 94. South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely SSSTM 95. Ajax LPC likely AJAX 96. Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC likely TAPHP 97. Burlington LPC likely BURLI 98. Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely MIERM 99. Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely PRRUC 100. Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC likely CHLJN 101. York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely YOSWET 102. Central Nova LPC likely CENNO 103. Northwest Territories LPC likely NWTER 104. Peterborough LPC likely PETER 105. Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely PIBRO 106. Sudbury LPC likely SUDBU 107. Edmonton Centre LPC likely EDCEN 108. Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely CBCA 109. St. Catharines LPC likely STCATH 110. Markham—Thornhill LPC likely MATHI 111. Trois-Rivières LPC likely TRRIV 112. Mississauga Centre LPC likely MICEN 113. Yukon LPC likely YUKON 114. Thérèse-De Blainville LPC likely TDBLA 115. Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely SCAGI 116. Egmont LPC likely EGMON 117. Etobicoke North LPC likely ETNOR 118. Mississauga—Malton LPC likely MIMAL 119. Delta LPC likely DELTA 120. Don Valley North LPC likely DVNOR 121. Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely RDMI 122. Etobicoke Centre LPC likely ETCEN 123. Québec Centre LPC likely QUCEN 124. Whitby LPC likely WHITB 125. Willowdale LPC likely WILLO 126. Mount Royal LPC likely MOROY 127. Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely BNMW 128. Labrador LPC likely LABRA 129. Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely MSBLA 130. Oakville West LPC likely OKWES 131. Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely MILAK 132. Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning CUCOL 133. Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning MISTR 134. South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning SOSWR 135. Surrey Newton LPC leaning SUNEW 136. Oakville East LPC leaning OKEAS 137. Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning MASTO 138. Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning COPC 139. Surrey Centre LPC leaning SUCEN 140. La Prairie—Atateken LPC leaning LPATA 141. Bay of Quinte LPC leaning BAQUIN 142. Carleton LPC leaning CARLE 143. Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning MIECO 144. Burnaby Central LPC leaning BUCEN 145. Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning TBRARI 146. Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning TNTP 147. Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning PMCOQ 148. Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning FLPKL 149. Calgary Confederation LPC leaning CACON 150. Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC leaning CHKEK 151. Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning HAMMO 152. Acadie—Annapolis LPC leaning ACANN 153. Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning BRCHP 154. Miramichi—Grand Lake LPC leaning MIGLA 155. Brampton East LPC leaning BREAS 156. Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning RESTE 157. Beauport—Limoilou Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ BELIM 158. Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC KELWN 159. Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Toss up LPC/BQ ABBAJ 160. Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Toss up LPC/CPC SSMAL 161. Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC NITIM 162. New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP NWBBM 163. Brampton South Toss up LPC/CPC BRSOU 164. Brampton North—Caledon Toss up LPC/CPC BRNCA 165. Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC EGLLA 166. Brampton Centre Toss up LPC/CPC BRACE 167. Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC KISTP 168. Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP HACEN 169. Les Pays-d’en-Haut Toss up LPC/BQ LPDEH 170. Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC KICON 171. Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC MEHHS 172. Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC WITELA 173. Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC PMMAP 174. Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC CLLAC 175. Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP VAKIN 176. Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC CAMCK 177. Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC EDRIV 178. Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC KSHES 179. Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC BRWES 180. Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC LORAM 181. Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC CAMBR 182. Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC HAESCO 183. Calgary Centre Toss up LPC/CPC CACE 184. Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC REWAS 185. Northumberland—Clarke Toss up LPC/CPC NOCLA 186. Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC RCMAR 187. Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ LOSTH 188. Markham—Unionville CPC leaning MAUNI 189. Newmarket—Aurora CPC leaning NEAUR 190. Regina—Lewvan CPC leaning RELEW 191. Simcoe North CPC leaning SINOR 192. Niagara South CPC leaning NISOUT 193. Central Newfoundland CPC leaning CENNE 194. Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC leaning NIFANO 195. Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC leaning BOOSH 196. Saskatoon—University CPC leaning SASKU 197. Terrebonne BQ leaning TERRB 198. Saskatoon South CPC leaning SASKS 199. Lanark—Frontenac CPC leaning LAFRO 200. Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC leaning OKLSK 201. Oshawa CPC leaning OSHAW 202. Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC leaning LEGRI 203. Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning SJSCX 204. Edmonton West CPC leaning EDWES 205. Shefford BQ leaning SHEFF 206. Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC leaning WEHHN 207. Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning SISOW 208. Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC leaning VELCM 209. Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC leaning SEEMN 210. Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC leaning ESTLS 211. Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning LTFH 212. Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC leaning BSWOM 213. Edmonton Gateway CPC leaning EDGAT 214. Fundy Royal CPC leaning FUNRO 215. Edmonton Southeast CPC leaning EDSE 216. Richmond Hill South CPC leaning RIHISO 217. Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ CHILE 218. Richmond—Arthabaska CPC leaning RIART 219. Repentigny BQ likely REPEN 220. Vancouver East NDP likely VAEAST 221. Nunavut NDP likely NUNVT 222. Niagara West CPC likely NIWES 223. Simcoe—Grey CPC likely SIGRE 224. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely SAGUL 225. Edmonton Northwest CPC likely EDNOW 226. Abbotsford—South Langley CPC likely ABSOL 227. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely NALAD 228. Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely FGGBN 229. Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC likely PSMUS 230. Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC likely KATIM 231. Middlesex—London CPC likely MILON 232. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely LPILI 233. Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely KLTNI 234. Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely CHHSC 235. Winnipeg Centre NDP likely WICEN 236. Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely KEKII 237. Calgary Skyview CPC likely CASKY 238. York Centre CPC likely YOCEN 239. Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely BBSNS 240. Edmonton Manning CPC likely EDMAN 241. Mirabel BQ likely MIRAB 242. Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely AORRH 243. Huron—Bruce CPC likely HUBRU 244. Windsor West Toss up CPC/NDP WIWES 245. Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ likely PBLPV 246. Perth—Wellington CPC likely PEWEL 247. Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely GASIL 248. Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely KLSCR 249. Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP COMAL 250. Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ MOCHX 251. Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely BGOOS 252. Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely HELAT 253. Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely LALAB 254. Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC likely LOSLA 255. Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely CACRO 256. Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely RIMLA 257. Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely BERMA 258. Saint-Jean BQ likely STJEA 259. Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely SHYBA 260. Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely TOBMA 261. Oxford CPC likely OXFOR 262. Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC KICEN 263. Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely STDUC 264. Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely SALBK 265. York—Durham CPC likely YODUR 266. London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP LOFAN 267. Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely CANOH 268. Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely RINOR 269. Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely ROLPD 270. Calgary Signal Hill CPC likely CASIH 271. Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely BESHS 272. North Island—Powell River CPC leaning NIPR 273. Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC likely ALRPE 274. Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC safe MIMAB 275. Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe HAKALA 276. Chilliwack—Hope CPC safe CHHOP 277. Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC safe CDRLK 278. Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe BECHA 279. Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe CNKNI 280. Jonquière BQ likely JONQU 281. Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe BRSIN 282. Drummond BQ safe DRUMO 283. Saskatoon West CPC safe SASKW 284. Calgary Heritage CPC safe CAHER 285. Calgary East CPC safe CAEA 286. Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe HADNO 287. Joliette—Manawan BQ safe JOLMA 288. Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC safe VAWOO 289. Lethbridge CPC safe LETHB 290. Essex CPC safe ESSEX 291. Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe CKLEA 292. New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe NTGWI 293. King—Vaughan CPC safe KIVAU 294. Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe DUCAL 295. Calgary Midnapore CPC safe CAMID 296. St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe STASR 297. Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe SEINE 298. Thornhill CPC safe THORN 299. Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe CAPRG 300. Calgary Shepard CPC safe CASHE 301. Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe SHFFS 302. Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe COKSR 303. Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe LELOT 304. Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe POJACA 305. Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe REQUP 306. Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe BELET 307. Yellowhead CPC safe YELLO 308. Provencher CPC safe PROVE 309. Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe BENSA 310. Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe AICOC 311. Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe ABTEM 312. Montcalm BQ safe MONTC 313. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe LSJEA 314. Portage—Lisgar CPC safe POLIS 315. Red Deer CPC safe REDDE 316. Brandon—Souris CPC safe BRSOU 317. Courtenay—Alberni NDP leaning COALB 318. Riding Mountain CPC safe RIDMO 319. Foothills CPC safe FOOTH 320. Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe MELOL 321. Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe PGPRN 322. Elmwood—Transcona Toss up CPC/NDP ELTRA 323. Prince Albert CPC safe PRALB 324. Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe BLLML 325. Parkland CPC safe PARKL 326. Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe MECAW 327. Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe LEWET 328. Beauce CPC safe BEAUC 329. Bow River CPC safe BORIV 330. Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe CTECR 331. Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe MOJALA 332. Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP EDGRI 333. Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe FOMCC 334. Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe EDSTR 335. Yorkton—Melville CPC safe YOMEL 336. Lakeland CPC safe LAKEL 337. Grande Prairie CPC safe GRPRA 338. Peace River—Westlock CPC safe PRWES 339. Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe SCGRK 340. Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC leaning SKBUV 341. Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe SOMOMO 342. Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe BRCRO 343. Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe PODID CAPSP ACABA DACHO ORLEA HALIW CHARL VAQUA MONDI BEAEY LSLOU WISOC SABEP VAGRA OTVAG FREOR NEPEA SCGRP BEAUS KINHA OTSOU STLSM SCNOR DVWES SJSE NOVAC KAISA WVSSC TODAN STBSV OTWNE WISOU TOSTP BUNSE HALIF NDGWE AVALO VMLIS KANAT UNROS BRSTL SCSOU TOCEN HUAYL GATIN PIDOL AHUCA HONME WATER SPHAR DOLAL STLAU VANCE BOURA VAUDR OTCEN VICTR LOUHE LOCEN POKIT ALPEL DAVEH VIMY GUELP OUTRE PAPIN LASMA SMCHA LAEVE WINOR MAFOR SCWOB ESSAS SJKEN SHERB ARLPN DEMIC MALPE SYGLA LOCHL HWAAD LOWES BRMIS TBSUNO ETLAK COMST MARES VAFSB CARDI HUBCR SCDVE WIWES LALIL HOROE SSSTM AJAX TAPHP BURLI MIERM PRRUC CHLJN YOSWET CENNO NWTER PETER PIBRO SUDBU EDCEN CBCA STCATH MATHI TRRIV MICEN YUKON TDBLA SCAGI EGMON ETNOR MIMAL DELTA DVNOR RDMI ETCEN QUCEN WHITB WILLO MOROY BNMW LABRA MSBLA OKWES MILAK CUCOL MISTR SOSWR SUNEW OKEAS MASTO COPC SUCEN LPATA BAQUIN CARLE MIECO BUCEN TBRARI TNTP PMCOQ FLPKL CACON CHKEK HAMMO ACANN BRCHP MIGLA BREAS RESTE BELIM KELWN ABBAJ SSMAL NITIM NWBBM BRSOU BRNCA EGLLA BRACE KISTP HACEN LPDEH KICON MEHHS WITELA PMMAP CLLAC VAKIN CAMCK EDRIV KSHES BRWES LORAM CAMBR HAESCO CACE REWAS NOCLA RCMAR LOSTH MAUNI NEAUR RELEW SINOR NISOUT CENNE NIFANO BOOSH SASKU TERRB SASKS LAFRO OKLSK OSHAW LEGRI SJSCX EDWES SHEFF WEHHN SISOW VELCM SEEMN ESTLS LTFH BSWOM EDGAT FUNRO EDSE RIHISO CHILE RIART REPEN VAEAST NUNVT NIWES SIGRE SAGUL EDNOW ABSOL NALAD FGGBN PSMUS KATIM MILON LPILI KLTNI CHHSC WICEN KEKII CASKY YOCEN BBSNS EDMAN MIRAB AORRH HUBRU WIWES PBLPV PEWEL GASIL KLSCR COMAL MOCHX BGOOS HELAT LALAB LOSLA CACRO RIMLA BERMA STJEA SHYBA TOBMA OXFOR KICEN STDUC SALBK YODUR LOFAN CANOH RINOR ROLPD CASIH BESHS NIPR ALRPE MIMAB HAKALA CHHOP CDRLK BECHA CNKNI JONQU BRSIN DRUMO SASKW CAHER CAEA HADNO JOLMA VAWOO LETHB ESSEX CKLEA NTGWI KIVAU DUCAL CAMID STASR SEINE THORN CAPRG CASHE SHFFS COKSR LELOT POJACA REQUP BELET YELLO PROVE BENSA AICOC ABTEM MONTC LSJEA POLIS REDDE BRSOU COALB RIDMO FOOTH MELOL PGPRN ELTRA PRALB BLLML PARKL MECAW LEWET BEAUC BORIV CTECR MOJALA EDGRI FOMCC EDSTR YOMEL LAKEL GRPRA PRWES SCGRK SKBUV SOMOMO BRCRO PODID 338Canada Federal Projection Latest update: November 9, 2025 ▲138 CPC [101-168] LPC 171▲ [139-204]


172 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2025)
82 49 25 15 171
[139-204]		 169
56 32 30 20 138
[101-168]		 144
8 13 2 2 25
[20-31]		 22
1 4 1 1 7
[4-15]		 7
0 1 0 1 2
[1-3]		 1

Latest update: November 9, 2025

Electoral district Current party Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC safe
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland CPC leaning
10004 Labrador LPC likely
10005 Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas LPC leaning
11001 Cardigan LPC likely
11002 Charlottetown LPC safe
11003 Egmont LPC likely
11004 Malpeque LPC safe
12001 Acadie—Annapolis LPC leaning
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC likely
12003 Central Nova LPC likely
12004 Cumberland—Colchester LPC leaning
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC safe
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC safe
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC safe
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets LPC likely
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay LPC safe
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto LPC safe
13004 Fundy Royal CPC leaning
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake LPC leaning
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis LPC safe
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC leaning
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC likely
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou Toss up LPC/BQ
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC safe
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC safe
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ likely
24008 Beauport—Limoilou Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe
24011 Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi LPC safe
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC likely
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
24019 Compton—Stanstead LPC likely
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC safe
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ safe
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely
24025 Gatineau LPC safe
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC likely
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ safe
24030 Jonquière BQ likely
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ likely
24032 La Prairie—Atateken LPC leaning
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC safe
24036 Laurentides—Labelle BQ likely
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe
24038 Laval—Les Îles LPC likely
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut Toss up LPC/BQ
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC safe
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert Toss up LPC/BQ
24043 Louis-Hébert LPC safe
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC likely
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC safe
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel BQ likely
24048 Mount Royal LPC likely
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie LPC likely
24050 Montcalm BQ safe
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC safe
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ likely
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC safe
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe
24059 Québec Centre LPC likely
24060 Repentigny BQ likely
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska CPC leaning
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ likely
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles LPC likely
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ likely
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP likely
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ likely
24067 Saint-Jean BQ likely
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC safe
24071 Shefford BQ leaning
24072 Sherbrooke LPC safe
24073 Terrebonne BQ leaning
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville LPC likely
24075 Trois-Rivières LPC likely
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC likely
35002 Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC likely
35003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill CPC likely
35004 Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe
35005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC leaning
35006 Bay of Quinte LPC leaning
35007 Beaches—East York LPC safe
35008 Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC leaning
35009 Brampton Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
35010 Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC leaning
35011 Brampton East LPC leaning
35012 Brampton North—Caledon Toss up LPC/CPC
35013 Brampton South Toss up LPC/CPC
35014 Brampton West Toss up LPC/CPC
35015 Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC likely
35016 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC likely
35017 Burlington LPC likely
35018 Burlington North—Milton West LPC likely
35019 Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35020 Carleton LPC leaning
35021 Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe
35022 Davenport LPC safe
35023 Don Valley North LPC likely
35024 Don Valley West LPC safe
35025 Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe
35026 Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC
35027 Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC leaning
35028 Essex CPC safe
35029 Etobicoke Centre LPC likely
35030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC likely
35031 Etobicoke North LPC likely
35032 Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC likely
35033 Guelph LPC safe
35034 Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe
35035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe
35036 Hamilton Centre Toss up LPC/NDP
35037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/CPC
35038 Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning
35039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC safe
35040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely
35041 Humber River—Black Creek LPC likely
35042 Huron—Bruce CPC likely
35043 Kanata LPC safe
35044 Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk CPC likely
35045 Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC likely
35046 Kingston and the Islands LPC safe
35047 King—Vaughan CPC safe
35048 Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC
35049 Kitchener—Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC
35050 Kitchener South—Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC
35051 Lanark—Frontenac CPC leaning
35052 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC leaning
35053 London Centre LPC safe
35054 London—Fanshawe Toss up CPC/NDP
35055 London West LPC safe
35056 Markham—Stouffville LPC leaning
35057 Markham—Thornhill LPC likely
35058 Markham—Unionville CPC leaning
35059 Middlesex—London CPC likely
35060 Milton East—Halton Hills South Toss up LPC/CPC
35061 Mississauga Centre LPC likely
35062 Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC leaning
35063 Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely
35064 Mississauga—Lakeshore LPC likely
35065 Mississauga—Malton LPC likely
35066 Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning
35067 Nepean LPC safe
35068 Newmarket—Aurora CPC leaning
35069 New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe
35070 Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC leaning
35071 Niagara South CPC leaning
35072 Niagara West CPC likely
35073 Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC
35074 Northumberland—Clarke Toss up LPC/CPC
35075 Oakville East LPC leaning
35076 Oakville West LPC likely
35077 Orléans LPC safe
35078 Oshawa CPC leaning
35079 Ottawa Centre LPC safe
35080 Ottawa South LPC safe
35081 Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe
35082 Ottawa West—Nepean LPC safe
35083 Oxford CPC likely
35084 Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC likely
35085 Perth—Wellington CPC likely
35086 Peterborough LPC likely
35087 Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely
35088 Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely
35089 Richmond Hill South CPC leaning
35090 Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC likely
35091 Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma Toss up LPC/CPC
35092 Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely
35093 Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC likely
35094 Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe
35095 Scarborough North LPC safe
35096 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35097 Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe
35098 Simcoe—Grey CPC likely
35099 Simcoe North CPC leaning
35100 Spadina—Harbourfront LPC safe
35101 St. Catharines LPC likely
35102 Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC likely
35103 Sudbury LPC likely
35104 Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt CPC leaning
35105 Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC likely
35106 Thornhill CPC safe
35107 Thunder Bay—Rainy River LPC leaning
35108 Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC likely
35109 Toronto Centre LPC safe
35110 Toronto—Danforth LPC safe
35111 Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC safe
35112 University—Rosedale LPC safe
35113 Vaughan—Woodbridge CPC safe
35114 Waterloo LPC safe
35115 Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC leaning
35116 Whitby LPC likely
35117 Willowdale LPC likely
35118 Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC
35119 Windsor West Toss up CPC/NDP
35120 York Centre CPC likely
35121 York—Durham CPC likely
35122 York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC likely
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski LPC leaning
46003 Elmwood—Transcona Toss up CPC/NDP
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul Toss up LPC/CPC
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC safe
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC safe
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP likely
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC safe
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West LPC likely
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC safe
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan CPC leaning
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana Toss up LPC/CPC
47009 Saskatoon South CPC leaning
47010 Saskatoon—University CPC leaning
47011 Saskatoon West CPC safe
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe
48001 Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe
48002 Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
48005 Calgary Confederation LPC leaning
48006 Calgary Crowfoot CPC likely
48007 Calgary East CPC safe
48008 Calgary Heritage CPC safe
48009 Calgary McKnight Toss up LPC/CPC
48010 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48011 Calgary Nose Hill CPC likely
48012 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48013 Calgary Signal Hill CPC likely
48014 Calgary Skyview CPC likely
48015 Edmonton Centre LPC likely
48016 Edmonton Gateway CPC leaning
48017 Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP
48018 Edmonton Manning CPC likely
48019 Edmonton Northwest CPC likely
48020 Edmonton Riverbend Toss up LPC/CPC
48021 Edmonton Southeast CPC leaning
48022 Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe
48023 Edmonton West CPC leaning
48024 Foothills CPC safe
48025 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe
48026 Grande Prairie CPC safe
48027 Lakeland CPC safe
48028 Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48029 Lethbridge CPC safe
48030 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe
48031 Parkland CPC safe
48032 Peace River—Westlock CPC safe
48033 Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe
48034 Red Deer CPC safe
48035 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48036 St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe
48037 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley CPC likely
59002 Burnaby Central LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour LPC safe
59004 Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe
59005 Chilliwack—Hope CPC safe
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City Toss up LPC/CPC
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning
59009 Courtenay—Alberni NDP leaning
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford Toss up CPC/NDP
59011 Delta LPC likely
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke LPC safe
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC leaning
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC likely
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC likely
59016 Kelowna Toss up LPC/CPC
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC leaning
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC safe
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
59021 North Island—Powell River CPC leaning
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano LPC safe
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC leaning
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Toss up LPC/CPC
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam LPC leaning
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC
59028 Richmond East—Steveston LPC leaning
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC leaning
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC leaning
59032 South Surrey—White Rock LPC leaning
59033 Surrey Centre LPC leaning
59034 Surrey Newton LPC leaning
59035 Vancouver Centre LPC safe
59036 Vancouver East NDP likely
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely
59038 Vancouver Granville LPC safe
59039 Vancouver Kingsway Toss up LPC/NDP
59040 Vancouver Quadra LPC safe
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC leaning
59042 Victoria LPC safe
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country LPC safe
60001 Yukon LPC likely
61001 Northwest Territories LPC likely
62001 Nunavut NDP likely