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Canada

160 CPC 139 LPC 28 BQ 14 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats ON 61 57 3 1 QC 36 28 13 1 BC 24 13 5 1 AB 35 1 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 NS 7 4 NB 5 5 NL 5 2 PEI 4 YK NWT NU 338Canada federal projections Click on map to see projection details Updated on March 2, 2025


172 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2021)
106 22 9 23 160
[125-193]		 119
51 49 26 13 139
[107-172]		 160
13 13 2 0 28
[24-37]		 32
2 1 8 3 14
[6-19]		 25
0 0 2 0 2
[0-3]		 2

Latest update: March 2, 2025

Electoral district Transposed
2021 winner		 Latest projection
10001 Avalon LPC likely
10002 Cape Spear LPC safe
10003 Central Newfoundland Toss up LPC/CPC
10004 Labrador LPC leaning
10005 Long Range Mountains Toss up LPC/CPC
10006 St. John’s East LPC safe
10007 Terra Nova—The Peninsulas Toss up LPC/CPC
11001 Cardigan LPC likely
11002 Charlottetown LPC leaning
11003 Egmont LPC leaning
11004 Malpeque Toss up LPC/CPC
12001 Acadie—Annapolis CPC likely
12002 Cape Breton—Canso—Antigonish LPC leaning
12003 Central Nova LPC leaning
12004 Cumberland—Colchester CPC likely
12005 Dartmouth—Cole Harbour LPC safe
12006 Halifax LPC likely
12007 Halifax West LPC safe
12008 Kings—Hants LPC likely
12009 Sackville—Bedford—Preston LPC likely
12010 South Shore—St. Margarets CPC likely
12011 Sydney—Glace Bay Toss up LPC/CPC
13001 Acadie—Bathurst LPC safe
13002 Beauséjour LPC safe
13003 Fredericton—Oromocto Toss up LPC/CPC
13004 Fundy Royal CPC safe
13005 Madawaska—Restigouche LPC likely
13006 Miramichi—Grand Lake CPC leaning
13007 Moncton—Dieppe LPC safe
13008 Saint John—Kennebecasis Toss up LPC/CPC
13009 Saint John—St. Croix CPC likely
13010 Tobique—Mactaquac CPC safe
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou BQ likely
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC likely
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation LPC likely
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ safe
24008 Beauport—Limoilou CPC leaning
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe
24011 Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi Toss up LPC/BQ
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC safe
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville LPC leaning
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord Toss up CPC/BQ
24019 Compton—Stanstead LPC leaning
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC safe
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ likely
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ likely
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj LPC leaning
24025 Gatineau LPC safe
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est LPC likely
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ safe
24030 Jonquière BQ likely
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ safe
24032 La Prairie—Atateken BQ likely
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC safe
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC likely
24036 Laurentides—Labelle BQ safe
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC safe
24038 Laval—Les Îles LPC likely
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut BQ likely
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne LPC likely
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert BQ leaning
24043 Louis-Hébert LPC leaning
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC safe
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel BQ safe
24048 Mount Royal LPC safe
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie BQ leaning
24050 Montcalm BQ safe
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix CPC leaning
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC safe
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ safe
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC safe
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC likely
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe
24059 Québec Centre LPC leaning
24060 Repentigny BQ likely
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska CPC safe
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ safe
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles BQ likely
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP safe
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ safe
24067 Saint-Jean BQ likely
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC likely
24071 Shefford BQ likely
24072 Sherbrooke LPC likely
24073 Terrebonne BQ likely
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up LPC/BQ
24075 Trois-Rivières CPC leaning
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe
35001 Ajax LPC safe
35002 Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke CPC safe
35003 Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill Toss up LPC/CPC
35004 Barrie South—Innisfil CPC safe
35005 Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte CPC safe
35006 Bay of Quinte CPC likely
35007 Beaches—East York LPC safe
35008 Bowmanville—Oshawa North CPC safe
35009 Brampton Centre LPC likely
35010 Brampton—Chinguacousy Park LPC likely
35011 Brampton East LPC likely
35012 Brampton North—Caledon LPC likely
35013 Brampton South LPC likely
35014 Brampton West LPC safe
35015 Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations CPC safe
35016 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound CPC safe
35017 Burlington Toss up LPC/CPC
35018 Burlington North—Milton West LPC leaning
35019 Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35020 Carleton CPC safe
35021 Chatham-Kent—Leamington CPC safe
35022 Davenport LPC safe
35023 Don Valley North LPC likely
35024 Don Valley West LPC likely
35025 Dufferin—Caledon CPC safe
35026 Eglinton—Lawrence Toss up LPC/CPC
35027 Elgin—St. Thomas—London South CPC safe
35028 Essex CPC safe
35029 Etobicoke Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
35030 Etobicoke—Lakeshore LPC leaning
35031 Etobicoke North LPC safe
35032 Flamborough—Glanbrook—Brant North CPC safe
35033 Guelph LPC likely
35034 Haldimand—Norfolk CPC safe
35035 Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes CPC safe
35036 Hamilton Centre NDP leaning
35037 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek LPC leaning
35038 Hamilton Mountain LPC leaning
35039 Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas LPC likely
35040 Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga CPC likely
35041 Humber River—Black Creek LPC safe
35042 Huron—Bruce CPC safe
35043 Kanata Toss up LPC/CPC
35044 Kapuskasing—Timmins—Mushkegowuk Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35045 Kenora—Kiiwetinoong CPC safe
35046 Kingston and the Islands LPC likely
35047 King—Vaughan CPC likely
35048 Kitchener Centre GPC leaning
35049 Kitchener—Conestoga CPC leaning
35050 Kitchener South—Hespeler CPC leaning
35051 Lanark—Frontenac CPC safe
35052 Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands—Rideau Lakes CPC safe
35053 London Centre LPC leaning
35054 London—Fanshawe NDP leaning
35055 London West Toss up LPC/CPC
35056 Markham—Stouffville LPC likely
35057 Markham—Thornhill LPC safe
35058 Markham—Unionville Toss up LPC/CPC
35059 Middlesex—London CPC safe
35060 Milton East—Halton Hills South CPC leaning
35061 Mississauga Centre LPC likely
35062 Mississauga East—Cooksville LPC likely
35063 Mississauga—Erin Mills LPC likely
35064 Mississauga—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC
35065 Mississauga—Malton LPC likely
35066 Mississauga—Streetsville LPC leaning
35067 Nepean LPC leaning
35068 Newmarket—Aurora Toss up LPC/CPC
35069 New Tecumseth—Gwillimbury CPC safe
35070 Niagara Falls—Niagara-on-the-Lake CPC likely
35071 Niagara South CPC likely
35072 Niagara West CPC safe
35073 Nipissing—Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC
35074 Northumberland—Clarke CPC safe
35075 Oakville East Toss up LPC/CPC
35076 Oakville West LPC leaning
35077 Orléans LPC safe
35078 Oshawa CPC safe
35079 Ottawa Centre LPC safe
35080 Ottawa South LPC safe
35081 Ottawa—Vanier—Gloucester LPC safe
35082 Ottawa West—Nepean LPC likely
35083 Oxford CPC safe
35084 Parry Sound—Muskoka CPC safe
35085 Perth—Wellington CPC safe
35086 Peterborough CPC likely
35087 Pickering—Brooklin LPC likely
35088 Prescott—Russell—Cumberland LPC likely
35089 Richmond Hill South LPC leaning
35090 Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong CPC safe
35091 Sault Ste. Marie—Algoma CPC safe
35092 Scarborough—Agincourt LPC likely
35093 Scarborough Centre—Don Valley East LPC safe
35094 Scarborough—Guildwood—Rouge Park LPC safe
35095 Scarborough North LPC safe
35096 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35097 Scarborough—Woburn LPC safe
35098 Simcoe—Grey CPC safe
35099 Simcoe North CPC safe
35100 Spadina—Harbourfront LPC likely
35101 St. Catharines Toss up LPC/CPC
35102 Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry CPC safe
35103 Sudbury LPC leaning
35104 Sudbury East—Manitoulin—Nickel Belt Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35105 Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park LPC safe
35106 Thornhill CPC safe
35107 Thunder Bay—Rainy River Toss up LPC/CPC
35108 Thunder Bay—Superior North LPC likely
35109 Toronto Centre LPC safe
35110 Toronto—Danforth LPC safe
35111 Toronto—St. Paul’s LPC likely
35112 University—Rosedale LPC safe
35113 Vaughan—Woodbridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35114 Waterloo LPC likely
35115 Wellington—Halton Hills North CPC safe
35116 Whitby LPC leaning
35117 Willowdale Toss up LPC/CPC
35118 Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC
35119 Windsor West NDP leaning
35120 York Centre Toss up LPC/CPC
35121 York—Durham CPC safe
35122 York South—Weston—Etobicoke LPC safe
46001 Brandon—Souris CPC safe
46002 Churchill—Keewatinook Aski Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
46003 Elmwood—Transcona Toss up CPC/NDP
46004 Kildonan—St. Paul CPC likely
46005 Portage—Lisgar CPC safe
46006 Provencher CPC safe
46007 Riding Mountain CPC safe
46008 St. Boniface—St. Vital LPC likely
46009 Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman CPC safe
46010 Winnipeg Centre NDP leaning
46011 Winnipeg North LPC safe
46012 Winnipeg South LPC likely
46013 Winnipeg South Centre LPC safe
46014 Winnipeg West Toss up LPC/CPC
47001 Battlefords—Lloydminster—Meadow Lake CPC safe
47002 Carlton Trail—Eagle Creek CPC safe
47003 Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River LPC likely
47004 Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan CPC safe
47005 Prince Albert CPC safe
47006 Regina—Lewvan CPC safe
47007 Regina—Qu’Appelle CPC safe
47008 Regina—Wascana CPC likely
47009 Saskatoon South CPC safe
47010 Saskatoon—University CPC safe
47011 Saskatoon West CPC safe
47012 Souris—Moose Mountain CPC safe
47013 Swift Current—Grasslands—Kindersley CPC safe
47014 Yorkton—Melville CPC safe
48001 Airdrie—Cochrane CPC safe
48002 Battle River—Crowfoot CPC safe
48003 Bow River CPC safe
48004 Calgary Centre CPC likely
48005 Calgary Confederation CPC safe
48006 Calgary Crowfoot CPC safe
48007 Calgary East CPC safe
48008 Calgary Heritage CPC safe
48009 Calgary McKnight LPC leaning
48010 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe
48011 Calgary Nose Hill CPC safe
48012 Calgary Shepard CPC safe
48013 Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe
48014 Calgary Skyview CPC likely
48015 Edmonton Centre CPC leaning
48016 Edmonton Gateway CPC safe
48017 Edmonton Griesbach Toss up CPC/NDP
48018 Edmonton Manning CPC safe
48019 Edmonton Northwest CPC safe
48020 Edmonton Riverbend CPC safe
48021 Edmonton Southeast CPC likely
48022 Edmonton Strathcona NDP likely
48023 Edmonton West CPC safe
48024 Foothills CPC safe
48025 Fort McMurray—Cold Lake CPC safe
48026 Grande Prairie CPC safe
48027 Lakeland CPC safe
48028 Leduc—Wetaskiwin CPC safe
48029 Lethbridge CPC safe
48030 Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner CPC safe
48031 Parkland CPC safe
48032 Peace River—Westlock CPC safe
48033 Ponoka—Didsbury CPC safe
48034 Red Deer CPC safe
48035 Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe
48036 St. Albert—Sturgeon River CPC safe
48037 Yellowhead CPC safe
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley CPC safe
59002 Burnaby Central LPC leaning
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour LPC likely
59004 Cariboo—Prince George CPC safe
59005 Chilliwack—Hope CPC safe
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City CPC likely
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies CPC safe
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam LPC leaning
59009 Courtenay—Alberni CPC likely
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford CPC leaning
59011 Delta LPC leaning
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke Toss up CPC/NDP
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells LPC likely
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies CPC safe
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola CPC safe
59016 Kelowna CPC safe
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights CPC likely
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford CPC safe
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville NDP leaning
59021 North Island—Powell River CPC safe
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano LPC likely
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna CPC safe
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge CPC safe
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam CPC likely
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies CPC safe
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole Toss up LPC/CPC
59028 Richmond East—Steveston Toss up LPC/CPC
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC leaning
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay CPC safe
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley CPC likely
59032 South Surrey—White Rock CPC likely
59033 Surrey Centre LPC safe
59034 Surrey Newton LPC safe
59035 Vancouver Centre LPC likely
59036 Vancouver East NDP safe
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby LPC likely
59038 Vancouver Granville LPC likely
59039 Vancouver Kingsway NDP leaning
59040 Vancouver Quadra LPC likely
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee CPC safe
59042 Victoria NDP leaning
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country Toss up LPC/CPC
60001 Yukon Toss up LPC/CPC
61001 Northwest Territories LPC leaning
62001 Nunavut NDP leaning