170 seats needed for a majority

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Seat-by-seat projection	Last election (2018)
	62	39	29	26	156 [114-174]	160
	87	21	10	10	128 [108-163]	119
	17	4	7	1	29 [24-35]	32
	12	6	2	3	23 [15-39]	25
	1	1	0	0	2 [2-3]	2

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
10001 Avalon		LPC likely hold
10002 Bonavista–Burin–Trinity		LPC leaning hold
10003 Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame		Toss up LPC/CPC
10004 Labrador		LPC leaning hold
10005 Long Range Mountains		LPC leaning hold
10006 St. John’s East		LPC likely hold
10007 St. John’s South–Mount Pearl		LPC safe hold
11001 Cardigan		LPC likely hold
11002 Charlottetown		LPC likely hold
11003 Egmont		LPC likely hold
11004 Malpeque		LPC leaning hold
12001 Cape Breton–Canso		LPC likely hold
12002 Central Nova		LPC likely hold
12003 Cumberland–Colchester		CPC likely hold
12004 Dartmouth–Cole Harbour		LPC safe hold
12005 Halifax		Toss up LPC/NDP
12006 Halifax West		LPC safe hold
12007 Kings–Hants		LPC likely hold
12008 Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook		LPC likely hold
12009 South Shore–St. Margarets		CPC leaning hold
12010 Sydney–Victoria		Toss up LPC/CPC
12011 West Nova		CPC safe hold
13001 Acadie–Bathurst		LPC safe hold
13002 Beauséjour		LPC safe hold
13003 Fredericton		Toss up LPC/CPC
13004 Fundy Royal		CPC safe hold
13005 Madawaska–Restigouche		LPC safe hold
13006 Miramichi–Grand Lake		CPC leaning hold
13007 Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe		LPC safe hold
13008 New Brunswick Southwest		CPC safe hold
13009 Saint John–Rothesay		LPC likely hold
13010 Tobique–Mactaquac		CPC safe hold
24001 Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou		BQ likely hold
24002 Abitibi–Témiscamingue		BQ safe hold
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville		LPC safe hold
24004 Alfred-Pellan		LPC safe hold
24005 Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation		LPC leaning hold
24006 Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia		BQ safe hold
24007 Beauce		CPC safe hold
24008 Beauport–Limoilou		CPC leaning gain
24009 Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel		BQ safe hold
24010 Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis		CPC safe hold
24011 Beloeil–Chambly		BQ safe hold
24012 Berthier–Maskinongé		Toss up NDP/BQ
24013 Thérèse-De Blainville		BQ leaning hold
24014 Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères		BQ safe hold
24015 Bourassa		LPC safe hold
24016 Brome–Missisquoi		Toss up LPC/BQ
24017 Brossard–Saint-Lambert		LPC safe hold
24018 Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques		BQ safe hold
24019 Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles		CPC safe hold
24020 Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix		Toss up CPC/BQ
24021 Châteauguay–Lacolle		Toss up LPC/BQ
24022 Chicoutimi–Le Fjord		CPC likely hold
24023 Compton–Stanstead		LPC likely hold
24024 Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle		LPC safe hold
24025 Drummond		BQ safe hold
24026 Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine		LPC likely hold
24027 Gatineau		LPC safe hold
24028 Hochelaga		LPC leaning hold
24029 Honoré-Mercier		LPC safe hold
24030 Hull–Aylmer		LPC safe hold
24031 Joliette		BQ safe hold
24032 Jonquière		BQ leaning hold
24033 La Pointe-de-l’Île		BQ likely hold
24034 La Prairie		BQ leaning hold
24035 Lac-Saint-Jean		BQ safe hold
24036 Lac-Saint-Louis		LPC safe hold
24037 LaSalle–Émard–Verdun		LPC likely hold
24038 Laurentides–Labelle		BQ safe hold
24039 Laurier–Sainte-Marie		LPC leaning hold
24040 Laval–Les Îles		LPC safe hold
24041 Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne		LPC leaning hold
24042 Lévis–Lotbinière		CPC safe hold
24043 Longueuil–Saint-Hubert		BQ leaning hold
24044 Louis-Hébert		LPC likely hold
24045 Louis-Saint-Laurent		CPC safe hold
24046 Manicouagan		BQ safe hold
24047 Mégantic–L’Érable		CPC safe hold
24048 Mirabel		BQ safe hold
24049 Montarville		BQ leaning hold
24050 Montcalm		BQ safe hold
24051 Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup		CPC safe hold
24052 Mount Royal		LPC safe hold
24053 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount		LPC safe hold
24054 Outremont		LPC leaning hold
24055 Papineau		LPC likely hold
24056 Pierrefonds–Dollard		LPC safe hold
24057 Pontiac		LPC safe hold
24058 Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier		CPC safe hold
24059 Québec		LPC likely hold
24060 Repentigny		BQ safe hold
24061 Richmond–Arthabaska		CPC safe hold
24062 Rivière-des-Mille-Îles		BQ leaning hold
24063 Rivière-du-Nord		BQ safe hold
24064 Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie		NDP safe hold
24065 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin		LPC likely hold
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot		BQ safe hold
24067 Saint-Jean		BQ likely hold
24068 Saint-Laurent		LPC safe hold
24069 Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel		LPC safe hold
24070 Saint-Maurice–Champlain		LPC likely hold
24071 Salaberry–Suroît		BQ safe hold
24072 Shefford		BQ leaning hold
24073 Sherbrooke		LPC likely hold
24074 Vaudreuil–Soulanges		LPC safe hold
24075 Terrebonne		BQ likely hold
24076 Trois-Rivières		CPC leaning gain
24077 Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs		LPC safe hold
24078 Vimy		LPC safe hold
35001 Ajax		LPC safe hold
35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing		NDP likely hold
35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill		Toss up LPC/CPC
35004 Barrie–Innisfil		CPC safe hold
35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte		CPC safe hold
35006 Bay of Quinte		CPC likely hold
35007 Beaches–East York		LPC safe hold
35008 Brampton Centre		LPC likely hold
35009 Brampton East		LPC safe hold
35010 Brampton North		LPC safe hold
35011 Brampton South		LPC likely hold
35012 Brampton West		LPC safe hold
35013 Brantford–Brant		CPC safe hold
35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound		CPC safe hold
35015 Burlington		Toss up LPC/CPC
35016 Cambridge		Toss up LPC/CPC
35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington		CPC safe hold
35018 Davenport		LPC leaning hold
35019 Don Valley East		LPC safe hold
35020 Don Valley North		LPC safe hold
35021 Don Valley West		LPC likely hold
35022 Dufferin–Caledon		CPC safe hold
35023 Durham		CPC safe hold
35024 Eglinton–Lawrence		LPC leaning hold
35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London		CPC safe hold
35026 Essex		CPC leaning hold
35027 Etobicoke Centre		LPC leaning hold
35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore		LPC likely hold
35029 Etobicoke North		LPC safe hold
35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook		CPC likely hold
35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell		LPC leaning hold
35032 Guelph		LPC safe hold
35033 Haldimand–Norfolk		CPC safe hold
35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock		CPC safe hold
35035 Hamilton Centre		NDP safe hold
35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek		LPC leaning hold
35037 Hamilton Mountain		LPC leaning hold
35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas		LPC likely hold
35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington		CPC likely hold
35040 Huron–Bruce		CPC safe hold
35041 Kanata–Carleton		Toss up LPC/CPC
35042 Kenora		CPC likely hold
35043 King–Vaughan		CPC leaning hold
35044 Kingston and the Islands		LPC likely hold
35045 Kitchener Centre		GPC likely hold
35046 Kitchener–Conestoga		Toss up LPC/CPC
35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler		Toss up LPC/CPC
35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex		CPC safe hold
35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston		CPC safe hold
35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes		CPC safe hold
35051 London–Fanshawe		NDP safe hold
35052 London North Centre		LPC leaning hold
35053 London West		Toss up LPC/CPC
35054 Markham–Stouffville		LPC likely hold
35055 Markham–Thornhill		LPC safe hold
35056 Markham–Unionville		Toss up LPC/CPC
35057 Milton		LPC likely hold
35058 Mississauga Centre		LPC safe hold
35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville		LPC likely hold
35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills		LPC likely hold
35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore		LPC leaning hold
35062 Mississauga–Malton		LPC safe hold
35063 Mississauga–Streetsville		LPC likely hold
35064 Nepean		LPC leaning hold
35065 Newmarket–Aurora		Toss up LPC/CPC
35066 Niagara Centre		Toss up LPC/CPC
35067 Niagara Falls		CPC likely hold
35068 Niagara West		CPC safe hold
35069 Nickel Belt		LPC leaning hold
35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming		Toss up LPC/CPC
35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South		CPC safe hold
35072 Oakville		Toss up LPC/CPC
35073 Oakville North–Burlington		Toss up LPC/CPC
35074 Oshawa		CPC likely hold
35075 Ottawa Centre		LPC likely hold
35076 Orléans		LPC safe hold
35077 Ottawa South		LPC safe hold
35078 Ottawa–Vanier		LPC safe hold
35079 Ottawa West–Nepean		LPC likely hold
35080 Oxford		CPC safe hold
35081 Parkdale–High Park		LPC leaning hold
35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka		CPC safe hold
35083 Perth–Wellington		CPC safe hold
35084 Peterborough–Kawartha		CPC likely hold
35085 Pickering–Uxbridge		LPC leaning hold
35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke		CPC safe hold
35087 Richmond Hill		Toss up LPC/CPC
35088 Carleton		CPC safe hold
35089 St. Catharines		Toss up LPC/CPC
35090 Toronto–St. Paul’s		LPC safe hold
35091 Sarnia–Lambton		CPC safe hold
35092 Sault Ste. Marie		CPC leaning gain
35093 Scarborough–Agincourt		LPC safe hold
35094 Scarborough Centre		LPC safe hold
35095 Scarborough–Guildwood		LPC safe hold
35096 Scarborough North		LPC safe hold
35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park		LPC safe hold
35098 Scarborough Southwest		LPC safe hold
35099 Simcoe–Grey		CPC safe hold
35100 Simcoe North		CPC safe hold
35101 Spadina–Fort York		LPC leaning hold
35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry		CPC safe hold
35103 Sudbury		LPC leaning hold
35104 Thornhill		CPC safe hold
35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North		LPC leaning hold
35107 Timmins–James Bay		NDP likely hold
35108 Toronto Centre		LPC safe hold
35109 Toronto–Danforth		LPC leaning hold
35110 University–Rosedale		LPC safe hold
35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge		Toss up LPC/CPC
35112 Waterloo		LPC likely hold
35113 Wellington–Halton Hills		CPC safe hold
35114 Whitby		Toss up LPC/CPC
35115 Willowdale		LPC likely hold
35116 Windsor–Tecumseh		Toss up LPC/NDP
35117 Windsor West		NDP safe hold
35118 York Centre		LPC leaning hold
35119 York–Simcoe		CPC safe hold
35120 York South–Weston		LPC safe hold
35121 Humber River–Black Creek		LPC safe hold
46001 Brandon–Souris		CPC safe hold
46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley		CPC leaning hold
46003 Churchill–Keewatinook Aski		NDP safe hold
46004 Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa		CPC safe hold
46005 Elmwood–Transcona		NDP safe hold
46006 Kildonan–St. Paul		CPC likely hold
46007 Portage–Lisgar		CPC safe hold
46008 Provencher		CPC safe hold
46009 Saint Boniface–Saint Vital		LPC safe hold
46010 Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman		CPC safe hold
46011 Winnipeg Centre		NDP safe hold
46012 Winnipeg North		LPC safe hold
46013 Winnipeg South		LPC safe hold
46014 Winnipeg South Centre		LPC safe hold
47001 Battlefords–Lloydminster		CPC safe hold
47002 Cypress Hills–Grasslands		CPC safe hold
47003 Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River		CPC likely hold
47004 Carlton Trail–Eagle Creek		CPC safe hold
47005 Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan		CPC safe hold
47006 Prince Albert		CPC safe hold
47007 Regina–Lewvan		CPC leaning hold
47008 Regina–Qu’Appelle		CPC safe hold
47009 Regina–Wascana		CPC safe hold
47010 Saskatoon–Grasswood		CPC likely hold
47011 Saskatoon–University		CPC likely hold
47012 Saskatoon West		CPC leaning hold
47013 Souris–Moose Mountain		CPC safe hold
47014 Yorkton–Melville		CPC safe hold
48001 Banff–Airdrie		CPC safe hold
48002 Battle River–Crowfoot		CPC safe hold
48003 Bow River		CPC safe hold
48004 Calgary Centre		CPC likely hold
48005 Calgary Confederation		CPC likely hold
48006 Calgary Forest Lawn		CPC likely hold
48007 Calgary Heritage		CPC safe hold
48008 Calgary Midnapore		CPC safe hold
48009 Calgary Nose Hill		CPC safe hold
48010 Calgary Rocky Ridge		CPC safe hold
48011 Calgary Shepard		CPC safe hold
48012 Calgary Signal Hill		CPC safe hold
48013 Calgary Skyview		LPC leaning hold
48014 Edmonton Centre		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
48015 Edmonton Griesbach		NDP likely hold
48016 Edmonton Manning		Toss up CPC/NDP
48017 Edmonton Mill Woods		Toss up LPC/CPC
48018 Edmonton Riverbend		CPC likely hold
48019 Edmonton Strathcona		NDP safe hold
48020 Edmonton West		CPC likely hold
48021 Edmonton–Wetaskiwin		CPC safe hold
48022 Foothills		CPC safe hold
48023 Fort McMurray–Cold Lake		CPC safe hold
48024 Grande Prairie–Mackenzie		CPC safe hold
48025 Lakeland		CPC safe hold
48026 Lethbridge		CPC safe hold
48027 Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner		CPC safe hold
48028 Peace River–Westlock		CPC safe hold
48029 Red Deer–Mountain View		CPC safe hold
48030 Red Deer–Lacombe		CPC safe hold
48031 St. Albert–Edmonton		CPC likely hold
48032 Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan		CPC safe hold
48033 Sturgeon River–Parkland		CPC safe hold
48034 Yellowhead		CPC safe hold
59001 Abbotsford		CPC safe hold
59002 Burnaby North–Seymour		LPC likely hold
59003 Burnaby South		NDP leaning hold
59004 Cariboo–Prince George		CPC safe hold
59005 Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola		CPC safe hold
59006 Chilliwack–Hope		CPC safe hold
59007 Cloverdale–Langley City		Toss up LPC/CPC
59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam		LPC likely hold
59009 Courtenay–Alberni		NDP leaning hold
59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford		NDP likely hold
59011 Delta		LPC likely hold
59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells		LPC likely hold
59013 Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo		CPC safe hold
59014 Kelowna–Lake Country		CPC safe hold
59015 Kootenay–Columbia		CPC likely hold
59016 Langley–Aldergrove		CPC safe hold
59017 Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon		CPC safe hold
59018 Nanaimo–Ladysmith		Toss up CPC/NDP/GPC
59019 New Westminster–Burnaby		NDP safe hold
59020 North Okanagan–Shuswap		CPC safe hold
59021 North Vancouver		LPC safe hold
59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge		CPC likely hold
59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam		Toss up CPC/NDP
59024 Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies		CPC safe hold
59025 Richmond Centre		Toss up LPC/CPC
59026 Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke		NDP safe hold
59027 Saanich–Gulf Islands		GPC safe hold
59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley		Toss up CPC/NDP
59029 South Okanagan–West Kootenay		Toss up CPC/NDP
59030 South Surrey–White Rock		Toss up LPC/CPC
59031 Steveston–Richmond East		LPC likely hold
59032 Surrey Centre		LPC safe hold
59033 Surrey–Newton		LPC safe hold
59034 Vancouver Centre		LPC safe hold
59035 Vancouver East		NDP safe hold
59036 Vancouver Granville		LPC leaning hold
59037 North Island–Powell River		Toss up CPC/NDP
59038 Vancouver Kingsway		NDP safe hold
59039 Vancouver Quadra		LPC safe hold
59040 Vancouver South		LPC safe hold
59041 Victoria		NDP likely hold
59042 West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country		LPC leaning hold
60001 Yukon		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
61001 Northwest Territories		Toss up LPC/NDP
62001 Nunavut		NDP likely hold