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Canada

Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies


MP elect: Rob Morrison (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies


Liberal Reggie Goldsbury
Conservative Rob Morrison*
NDP Kallee Lins
Green Steven Maffioli
PPC Laurie Baird
Independent James Wiedrick

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies 50% ± 6% CPC 28% ± 5% LPC 18% ± 4% NDP CPC 2025 50.4% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies

LPC 28% ± 5% CPC 50% ± 6% NDP 18% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 58% NDP 30% LPC 5% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 58% NDP 29% LPC 5% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 58% NDP 29% LPC 5% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 58% NDP 29% LPC 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 58% NDP 28% LPC 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 56% NDP 27% LPC 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 56% NDP 26% LPC 10% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 52% NDP 27% LPC 12% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 52% NDP 27% LPC 13% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% NDP 24% LPC 14% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 54% NDP 20% LPC 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 55% NDP 20% LPC 19% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 55% NDP 19% LPC 19% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 55% NDP 19% LPC 19% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 55% LPC 19% NDP 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 55% LPC 20% NDP 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 54% LPC 23% NDP 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 54% LPC 23% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 54% LPC 24% NDP 16% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 54% LPC 24% NDP 16% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 54% LPC 24% NDP 15% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 54% LPC 25% NDP 15% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 54% LPC 25% NDP 15% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 54% LPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 54% LPC 27% NDP 14% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 54% LPC 27% NDP 14% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 54% LPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 54% LPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 55% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 53% LPC 29% NDP 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 53% LPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 53% LPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 53% LPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 53% LPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% LPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 54% LPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 18% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 50% ± 6% 45.3% 43.6% 50.4% LPC 28% ± 5% 9.5% 8.9% 28.2% NDP 18% ± 4% 33.4% 36.6% 18.0% GPC 1% ± 1% 8.9% 3.7% 1.5% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.4% 7.1% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.