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Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies



Latest projection: March 28, 2025
CPC safe
Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies 54% ± 8% CPC 24% ± 6% LPC 16% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC CPC 2021 43.6% 338Canada vote projection | March 28, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 28, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies

LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 54% ± 8% NDP 16% ± 5% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC March 28, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 52% NDP 27% LPC 13% GPC 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% NDP 24% LPC 14% GPC 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 54% NDP 20% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 55% NDP 20% LPC 19% GPC 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 55% NDP 19% LPC 19% GPC 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 55% NDP 19% LPC 19% GPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 55% LPC 19% NDP 19% GPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 55% LPC 20% NDP 19% GPC 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 54% LPC 23% NDP 16% GPC 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 54% LPC 23% NDP 16% GPC 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 54% LPC 24% NDP 16% GPC 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 54% LPC 24% NDP 16% GPC 4% 2025-03-28 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP March 28, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 45.3% 43.6% 54% ± 8% LPC 9.5% 8.9% 24% ± 6% NDP 33.4% 36.6% 16% ± 5% GPC 8.9% 3.7% 4% ± 3% PPC 2.4% 7.1% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.