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Edmonton Griesbach


Latest projection: June 9, 2024
CPC leaning
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Edmonton Griesbach 44% ± 8% CPC 38% ± 8%▲ NDP 13% ± 5%▲ LPC 3% ± 4% PPC NDP 2021 40.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Griesbach 82%▼ CPC 18%▲ NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | June 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC 13% ± 5% CPC 44% ± 8% NDP 38% ± 8% PPC 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Griesbach 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC June 9, 2024

Odds of winning | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC <1% CPC 82% NDP 18% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP June 9, 2024

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Griesbach



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 25.2% 40.4% 38% ± 8% CPC 50.8% 36.3% 44% ± 8% LPC 18.1% 15.2% 13% ± 5% PPC 2.1% 5.9% 3% ± 4% GPC 2.5% 1.1% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.