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Edmonton Griesbach

Latest update: January 11, 2026
C
MP: Kerry Diotte
Alberta
Toss up CPC/NDP

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Griesbach


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 41% ± 8% 50.8% 36.3% 45.5% NDP 39% ± 8% 25.2% 40.4% 34.1% LPC 16% ± 5% 18.1% 15.2% 18.3% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 5.9% 0.6%

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338Canada Edmonton Griesbach projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Edmonton Griesbach


Edmonton Griesbach 33% 49% 41% ± 8% CPC 31% 48% 39% ± 8% NDP 11% 21% 16% ± 5% LPC CPC 2025 45.5% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Griesbach 58%▼ CPC 42%▲ NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC 16% ± 5% CPC 41% ± 8% NDP 39% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Griesbach 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 45% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 45% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 45% NDP 35% LPC 18% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 44% NDP 35% LPC 18% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 43% NDP 36% LPC 19% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 42% NDP 36% LPC 20% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 41% NDP 37% LPC 20% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 41% NDP 37% LPC 20% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 41% NDP 37% LPC 20% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 40% NDP 38% LPC 20% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 40% NDP 39% LPC 20% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 40% CPC 39% LPC 19% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 40% CPC 39% LPC 19% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 41% CPC 39% LPC 18% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 42% CPC 39% LPC 18% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 43% CPC 38% LPC 17% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 43% CPC 38% LPC 17% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 41% CPC 39% LPC 18% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 41% NDP 40% LPC 17% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 40% NDP 40% LPC 17% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 42% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 41% NDP 40% LPC 17% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 42% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 42% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 42% NDP 40% LPC 16% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 16% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 16% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 16% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC <1% CPC 58% NDP 42% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 58% NDP 41% LPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% NDP 47% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 52% CPC 48% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 94% NDP 6% LPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 90% NDP 10% LPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 85% NDP 15% LPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 78% NDP 22% LPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 75% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 69% NDP 31% LPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 53% CPC 47% LPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 54% CPC 46% LPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 62% CPC 38% LPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 66% CPC 34% LPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 73% CPC 27% LPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 76% CPC 24% LPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 64% CPC 36% LPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 53% NDP 47% LPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 52% NDP 48% LPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 63% NDP 37% LPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 64% NDP 36% LPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 64% NDP 36% LPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2026-01-11