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Recent electoral history | Edmonton Griesbach


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 38% ± 7% 50.8% 36.3% 45.5% NDP 36% ± 8% 25.2% 40.4% 34.1% LPC 23% ± 6% 18.1% 15.2% 18.3% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 5.9% 0.6%

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338Canada Edmonton Griesbach projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

Edmonton Griesbach 30% 45% 38% ± 7% CPC 28% 44% 36% ± 8% NDP 17% 29% 23% ± 6% LPC CPC 2025 45.5% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Griesbach 60%▼ CPC 40%▲ NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC 23% ± 6% CPC 38% ± 7% NDP 36% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Griesbach 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 45% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 45% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 45% NDP 35% LPC 18% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 44% NDP 35% LPC 18% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 43% NDP 36% LPC 19% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 42% NDP 36% LPC 20% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 41% NDP 37% LPC 20% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 41% NDP 37% LPC 20% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 41% NDP 37% LPC 20% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 40% NDP 38% LPC 20% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 40% NDP 39% LPC 20% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 40% CPC 39% LPC 19% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 40% CPC 39% LPC 19% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 41% CPC 39% LPC 18% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 42% CPC 39% LPC 18% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 43% CPC 38% LPC 17% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 43% CPC 38% LPC 17% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 41% CPC 39% LPC 18% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 41% NDP 40% LPC 17% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 40% NDP 40% LPC 17% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 42% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 41% NDP 40% LPC 17% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 18% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 42% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 42% NDP 39% LPC 17% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 42% NDP 40% LPC 16% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 16% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 16% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 16% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 41% NDP 39% LPC 16% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 40% NDP 40% LPC 17% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 41% NDP 37% LPC 18% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 42% NDP 35% LPC 19% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 42% NDP 35% LPC 19% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 41% NDP 36% LPC 20% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 38% NDP 36% LPC 23% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 38% NDP 36% LPC 23% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC <1% CPC 60% NDP 40% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 58% NDP 41% LPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% NDP 47% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 52% CPC 48% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 94% NDP 6% LPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 90% NDP 10% LPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 85% NDP 15% LPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 78% NDP 22% LPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 75% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 69% NDP 31% LPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 53% CPC 47% LPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 54% CPC 46% LPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 62% CPC 38% LPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 66% CPC 34% LPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 73% CPC 27% LPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 76% CPC 24% LPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 64% CPC 36% LPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 53% NDP 47% LPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 52% NDP 48% LPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 63% NDP 37% LPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 64% NDP 36% LPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 64% NDP 36% LPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 51% NDP 49% LPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 74% NDP 26% LPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 86% NDP 14% LPC <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 84% NDP 16% LPC <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 80% NDP 20% LPC <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | Edmonton Griesbach

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 81.5% English 2.5% Arabic 2.4% Cantonese 1.7% Vietnamese 1.4% Tagalog 1.2% Somali 1.1% SpanishEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 18.0% No diploma 28.7% High school 9.6% Trade 19.7% College / Cégep 3.6% Some university 14.6% Bachelor's 5.9% PostgraduateEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 63.8% Not visible minority 36.2% Visible minority 10.6% Black 5.3% Arab 4.9% Chinese 4.2% Filipino 3.7% Southeast Asian 2.6% South AsianEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 38.5% No Religion 21.6% Catholic 10.5% Muslim 9.0% Christian (n.o.s.) 3.2% Orthodox 2.7% Other Christian 2.7% Buddhist 2.2% United ChurchEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 56.7% Owner 43.3% RenterEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 51.0% Employed 39.4% Not in labour force 9.7% UnemployedEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 90.6% Non-Indigenous 9.4% Indigenous identity 4.7% First Nations 4.2% Metis 0.3% Multiple 0.1% Inuk 0.1% OthersEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 84.0% Car / truck / van 9.7% Public transit 3.1% Walking 2.3% Other 0.9% BicycleEdmonton GriesbachSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.