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Edmonton Griesbach



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
CPC leaning
Edmonton Griesbach 44% ± 8% CPC 39% ± 8% NDP 12% ± 5% LPC NDP 2021 40.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Griesbach 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC 12% ± 5% CPC 44% ± 8% NDP 39% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Griesbach 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 43% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 44% NDP 38% LPC 12% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 45% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 44% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 44% NDP 38% LPC 13% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 43% NDP 38% LPC 13% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 43% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 43% NDP 38% LPC 12% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 43% NDP 38% LPC 12% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 44% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 44% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 44% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 44% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 44% NDP 38% LPC 11% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 44% NDP 38% LPC 12% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 43% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 42% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 42% NDP 40% LPC 12% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 43% NDP 38% LPC 13% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 43% NDP 38% LPC 13% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 43% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 43% NDP 40% LPC 11% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 43% NDP 40% LPC 11% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 44% NDP 39% LPC 11% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 44% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 43% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 43% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 43% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 43% NDP 38% LPC 13% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 44% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 44% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 44% NDP 39% LPC 12% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC <1% CPC 78% NDP 22% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 72% NDP 28% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 80% NDP 20% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 90% NDP 10% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 86% NDP 14% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 82% NDP 18% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 75% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 81% NDP 19% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 81% NDP 19% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 84% NDP 16% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 86% NDP 14% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 86% NDP 14% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 86% NDP 14% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 84% NDP 16% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 81% NDP 19% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 75% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 67% NDP 33% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 64% NDP 36% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 80% NDP 20% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 76% NDP 24% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 72% NDP 28% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 63% NDP 37% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 72% NDP 28% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 80% NDP 20% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 73% NDP 27% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 74% NDP 26% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 70% NDP 30% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 79% NDP 21% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 86% NDP 14% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 78% NDP 22% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 78% NDP 22% LPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Griesbach



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 25.2% 40.4% 39% ± 8% CPC 50.8% 36.3% 44% ± 8% LPC 18.1% 15.2% 12% ± 5% PPC 2.1% 5.9% 2% ± 3% GPC 2.5% 1.1% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.