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Canada


Edmonton Mill Woods (federal)


MP: Tim Uppal (CPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC safe hold
Edmonton Mill Woods 48% ± 7%▲ 25% ± 6% 24% ± 6%▼ CPC 2021 37.62% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Edmonton Mill Woods >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Mill Woods

LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 48% ± 7% NDP 25% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Mill Woods 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Edmonton Mill Woods

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Mill Woods



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 41.1% 50.3% 37.62% 48% ± 7% LPC 41.2% 33.6% 34.01% 24% ± 6% NDP 12.8% 12.1% 21.88% 25% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 1.8% 6.12% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.2% 1.8% 0.0% 1% ± 1%