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Edmonton Griesbach


MP: Kerry Diotte (CPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
CPC likely

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Griesbach


2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 45% ± 9% 50.8% 36.3% 45.5% NDP 35% ± 8% 25.2% 40.4% 34.1% LPC 18% ± 6% 18.1% 15.2% 18.3% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 5.9% 0.6% GPC 1% ± 1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Edmonton Griesbach


Edmonton Griesbach 45% ± 9% CPC 35% ± 8%▲ NDP 18% ± 6% LPC CPC 2025 45.5% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Griesbach 94%▼ CPC 6%▲ NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC 18% ± 6% CPC 45% ± 9% NDP 35% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Griesbach 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 46% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 47% NDP 36% LPC 13% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 47% NDP 36% LPC 13% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 44% NDP 38% LPC 13% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 44% NDP 36% LPC 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 45% NDP 35% LPC 16% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 47% NDP 32% LPC 17% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 40% NDP 37% LPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 39% NDP 37% LPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 23% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 29% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 29% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 34% CPC 33% LPC 29% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 28% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 28% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 34% CPC 34% LPC 27% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 36% CPC 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 26% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 26% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 27% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 37% NDP 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 25% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 25% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 45% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 45% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 45% NDP 35% LPC 18% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC <1% CPC 94% NDP 6% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 81% NDP 19% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 89% NDP 11% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 92% NDP 8% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 69% NDP 31% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 64% NDP 36% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% NDP 46% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 60% NDP 34% LPC 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 46% CPC 46% LPC 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 54% CPC 39% LPC 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 50% NDP 44% LPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% NDP 47% LPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 49% CPC 48% LPC 3% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 52% CPC 48% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% NDP 48% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 57% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 66% NDP 34% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 69% NDP 31% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 63% NDP 37% LPC 1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 65% NDP 34% LPC 1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 74% NDP 25% LPC 1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 79% NDP 20% LPC 1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 78% NDP 20% LPC 2% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 74% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC 1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 72% NDP 27% LPC 1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC 1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 68% NDP 31% LPC 1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 66% NDP 33% LPC 1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 64% NDP 35% LPC 1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 62% NDP 37% LPC 1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 60% NDP 39% LPC 1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 58% NDP 41% LPC 1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 66% NDP 33% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC 1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 57% NDP 42% LPC 1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 56% NDP 43% LPC 1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 55% NDP 44% LPC 1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 58% NDP 41% LPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% NDP 47% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 52% CPC 48% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 94% NDP 6% LPC <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader