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Canada

Edmonton Griesbach


MP elect: Kerry Diotte (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Edmonton Griesbach


Liberal Patrick Lennox
Conservative Kerry Diotte
NDP Blake Desjarlais*
Green Michael Hunter
PPC Thomas Matty
Marxist-Leninist Mary Joyce
Communist Alex Boykowich
Canadian Future Brent Tyson
Independent Crystal Vargas

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Griesbach 45% ± 7%▼ CPC 34% ± 6% NDP 18% ± 5% LPC CPC 2025 45.5% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Griesbach 98%▼ CPC 2%▲ NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 45% ± 7% NDP 34% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Griesbach 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 46% NDP 37% LPC 12% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 47% NDP 36% LPC 13% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 47% NDP 36% LPC 13% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 44% NDP 38% LPC 13% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 44% NDP 36% LPC 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 45% NDP 35% LPC 16% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 47% NDP 32% LPC 17% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 40% NDP 37% LPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 39% NDP 37% LPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 23% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 29% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 29% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 34% CPC 33% LPC 29% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 28% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 34% NDP 34% LPC 28% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 34% CPC 34% LPC 27% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 36% CPC 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 26% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 26% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 27% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 37% NDP 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 25% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 25% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 25% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 25% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 46% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 45% NDP 34% LPC 18% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Griesbach

LPC <1% CPC 98% NDP 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 81% NDP 19% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 89% NDP 11% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 92% NDP 8% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 69% NDP 31% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 64% NDP 36% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% NDP 46% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 60% NDP 34% LPC 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 46% CPC 46% LPC 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 54% CPC 39% LPC 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 50% NDP 44% LPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% NDP 47% LPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 49% CPC 48% LPC 3% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 52% CPC 48% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% NDP 48% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 57% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 66% NDP 34% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 69% NDP 31% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 63% NDP 37% LPC 1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 65% NDP 34% LPC 1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 74% NDP 25% LPC 1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 79% NDP 20% LPC 1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 78% NDP 20% LPC 2% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 74% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC 1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 72% NDP 27% LPC 1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC 1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 68% NDP 31% LPC 1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 66% NDP 33% LPC 1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 64% NDP 35% LPC 1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 62% NDP 37% LPC 1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 60% NDP 39% LPC 1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 58% NDP 41% LPC 1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 66% NDP 33% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 60% NDP 40% LPC 1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 57% NDP 42% LPC 1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 56% NDP 43% LPC 1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 55% NDP 44% LPC 1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 58% NDP 41% LPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% NDP 47% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 52% CPC 48% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Griesbach



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 45% ± 7% 50.8% 36.3% 45.5% NDP 34% ± 6% 25.2% 40.4% 34.1% LPC 18% ± 5% 18.1% 15.2% 18.3% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 5.9% 0.6% GPC 1% ± 1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.