logo
Canada

Dartmouth—Cole Harbour



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Dartmouth—Cole Harbour


Liberal Darren Fisher*
Conservative Isabelle Obeid
NDP Keith Morrison
Green Rana Zaman
PPC Michelle Lindsay

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Dartmouth—Cole Harbour 62% ± 8%▲ LPC 19% ± 6%▼ CPC 15% ± 6% NDP 3% ± 3% PPC LPC 2021 51.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dartmouth—Cole Harbour >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Dartmouth—Cole Harbour

LPC 62% ± 8% CPC 19% ± 6% NDP 15% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth—Cole Harbour 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 48% NDP 24% CPC 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 52% NDP 21% CPC 19% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 58% CPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 58% CPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 58% CPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 58% CPC 18% NDP 18% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 57% CPC 18% NDP 18% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 57% NDP 18% CPC 18% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 61% CPC 17% NDP 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 61% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 61% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 15% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 61% CPC 19% NDP 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 63% CPC 20% NDP 12% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 63% CPC 20% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 63% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 63% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 63% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 14% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 14% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 14% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% CPC 19% NDP 14% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 62% CPC 19% NDP 14% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 62% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% CPC 20% NDP 15% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 62% CPC 19% NDP 15% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Dartmouth—Cole Harbour

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth—Cole Harbour



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.5% 51.5% 62% ± 8% CPC 16.8% 2.9% 19% ± 6% NDP 27.1% 33.0% 15% ± 6% PPC 1.7% 9.7% 3% ± 3% GPC 10.0% 2.9% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.