logo
Canada

Richmond East—Steveston



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Candidates | Richmond East—Steveston


Liberal Parm Bains*
Conservative Zach Segal
NDP Keefer Pelech
Green Steven Ji
PPC Jody Craven

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Richmond East—Steveston 46% ± 9% LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 8% ± 4%▼ NDP LPC 2021 41.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond East—Steveston 66%▼ LPC 34%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Richmond East—Steveston

LPC 46% ± 9% CPC 43% ± 8% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Richmond East—Steveston 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 39% NDP 12% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 58% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 59% CPC 35% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 35% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 59% CPC 35% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 48% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 47% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 46% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Richmond East—Steveston

LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Richmond East—Steveston



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 34.6% 41.9% 46% ± 9% CPC 42.1% 34.0% 43% ± 8% NDP 15.1% 19.4% 8% ± 4% GPC 7.0% 2.3% 1% ± 2% PPC 0.1% 2.4% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.