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Recent electoral history | Richmond East—Steveston


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 49% ± 7% 34.6% 41.9% 48.4% CPC 43% ± 7% 42.1% 34.0% 46.4% NDP 5% ± 3% 15.1% 19.4% 4.2%

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338Canada Richmond East—Steveston projection

Latest update: March 1, 2026

Richmond East—Steveston 42% 56% 49% ± 7% LPC 36% 51% 43% ± 7% CPC 1% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 48.4% 338Canada vote projection | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond East—Steveston 82%▲ LPC 18%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Richmond East—Steveston

LPC 49% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Richmond East—Steveston 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 48% CPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 48% CPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 47% CPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 49% CPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 50% CPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 49% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 48% CPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 47% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 47% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 48% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 48% LPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 48% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 7% GPC 2% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 45% CPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 46% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 47% CPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2026-03-01

Odds of winning | Richmond East—Steveston

LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 50% CPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 50% CPC 50% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2026-03-01


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Demographic data | Richmond East—Steveston

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 54.1% English 17.9% Cantonese 15.3% Mandarin 2.6% Tagalog 2.6% Punjabi 0.6% Russian 0.6% SpanishRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.3% No diploma 24.1% High school 4.4% Trade 16.0% College / Cégep 5.2% Some university 30.7% Bachelor's 13.3% PostgraduateRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 77.9% Visible minority 22.1% Not visible minority 48.2% Chinese 9.4% South Asian 8.3% Filipino 3.0% Multiple 2.0% Japanese 1.8% Southeast AsianRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 50.2% No Religion 14.5% Catholic 9.3% Christian (n.o.s.) 5.4% Buddhist 4.8% Sikh 3.9% Muslim 1.5% Other Christian 1.5% HinduRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 73.4% Owner 26.6% RenterRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 55.4% Employed 38.0% Not in labour force 6.6% UnemployedRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 99.3% Non-Indigenous 0.7% Indigenous identity 0.4% First Nations 0.3% MetisRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 80.6% Car / truck / van 12.1% Public transit 4.5% Walking 1.6% Other 1.2% BicycleRichmond East—StevestonSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.