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Mississauga Centre


MP elect: Fares Al Soud (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Mississauga Centre


Liberal Fares Al Soud
Conservative Muhammad Ishaq
NDP Brandon Nguyen
PPC Gurdeep Wolosz
Independent Zulfiqar Ali

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Mississauga Centre 54% ± 7% LPC 42% ± 7% CPC 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 53.9% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga Centre 98%▼ LPC 2%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mississauga Centre

LPC 54% ± 7% CPC 42% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga Centre 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 42% LPC 38% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 41% LPC 39% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 41% LPC 40% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 42% CPC 39% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 46% CPC 37% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 50% CPC 35% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 52% CPC 34% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 53% CPC 33% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 52% CPC 33% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 57% CPC 31% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 58% CPC 30% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 58% CPC 30% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 58% CPC 30% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 58% CPC 30% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 58% CPC 30% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 60% CPC 30% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% CPC 30% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 60% CPC 30% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 30% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 63% CPC 30% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 61% CPC 31% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 62% CPC 30% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 62% CPC 30% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 62% CPC 30% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 61% CPC 31% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 61% CPC 31% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 61% CPC 31% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 60% CPC 31% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 42% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 54% CPC 42% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 54% CPC 42% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 54% CPC 42% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Mississauga Centre

LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Mississauga Centre



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 54% ± 7% 55.6% 53.9% 53.9% CPC 42% ± 7% 30.0% 28.9% 41.9% NDP 3% ± 2% 9.6% 11.3% 2.7% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.5% 4.2% 1.1% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.