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Mississauga Centre



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC
Mississauga Centre 40% ± 8% CPC 39% ± 8% LPC 14% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 53.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga Centre 55%▼ CPC 45%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mississauga Centre

LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 40% ± 8% NDP 14% ± 5% GPC 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga Centre 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 12% GPC 3% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 45% CPC 38% NDP 12% GPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 12% GPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 45% CPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 44% CPC 37% NDP 14% GPC 3% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 42% CPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 44% CPC 37% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 43% CPC 39% NDP 11% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 42% CPC 40% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 12% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 43% CPC 37% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 13% GPC 4% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 40% CPC 40% NDP 13% GPC 3% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 14% GPC 3% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 14% GPC 3% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Mississauga Centre

LPC 45% CPC 55% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Mississauga Centre



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 55.6% 53.9% 39% ± 8% CPC 30.0% 28.9% 40% ± 8% NDP 9.6% 11.3% 14% ± 5% PPC 1.5% 4.2% 2% ± 3% GPC 2.8% 1.6% 3% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.