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Canada


Ajax (federal)


MP: Mark Holland (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC safe hold
Ajax 52% ± 8% LPC 28% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 56.91% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Ajax >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Ajax

LPC 52% ± 8% CPC 28% ± 7% NDP 14% ± 5% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Ajax 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Ajax

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Ajax



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 55.9% 57.7% 56.91% 52% ± 8% CPC 34.4% 26.0% 26.56% 28% ± 7% NDP 8.2% 11.5% 14.0% 14% ± 5% GPC 1.4% 3.3% 2.52% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%