338Canada | Ajax (Ontario federal district)




35001 - Ajax

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 119,680 residents
Population density: 1786 pop./km² (rank: 98 of 338)
Median household income: $96 949 (rank: 38 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Mark Holland (LPC)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Ajax

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Ajax

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Ajax



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Ajax




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Ajax



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Ajax


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
46.4% ± 8.9% 57.7% Outside confidence interval
34.3% ± 8.3% 26.0% Within confidence interval
12.5% ± 4.8% 11.5% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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