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All 338 electoral districts
Atlantic Canada
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Ajax (federal)
MP: Mark Holland (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC safe hold
Ajax
52% ± 8%
LPC
28% ± 7%
CPC
14% ± 5%
NDP
5% ± 4%
GPC
LPC 2021
56.91%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Ajax
>99%
LPC
<1%
CPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Ajax
LPC 52% ± 8%
CPC 28% ± 7%
NDP 14% ± 5%
GPC 5% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Ajax
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Ajax
LPC >99%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Ajax
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
55.9%
57.7%
56.91%
52% ± 8%
CPC
34.4%
26.0%
26.56%
28% ± 7%
NDP
8.2%
11.5%
14.0%
14% ± 5%
GPC
1.4%
3.3%
2.52%
5% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%