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Canada

Trois-Rivières



Latest projection: March 25, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
Trois-Rivières 31% ± 7%▼ CPC 30% ± 7%▲ LPC 28% ± 6%▼ BQ 5% ± 3%▼ NDP 4% ± 3% GPC BQ 2021 29.5% 338Canada vote projection | March 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Trois-Rivières 51%▼ CPC 32%▲ LPC 17%▼ BQ Odds of winning | March 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Trois-Rivières

LPC 30% ± 7% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 28% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Trois-Rivières 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ March 25, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 35% BQ 30% LPC 24% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 33% BQ 30% LPC 25% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 32% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 32% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 31% LPC 30% BQ 28% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-25 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Trois-Rivières

LPC 32% CPC 51% NDP <1% BQ 17% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ March 25, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 83% BQ 16% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 76% BQ 22% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 74% BQ 19% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 74% BQ 17% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 76% BQ 16% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 74% BQ 17% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 70% BQ 21% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 68% BQ 23% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% LPC 32% BQ 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Trois-Rivières



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 25.2% 29.3% 31% ± 7% LPC 26.1% 28.6% 30% ± 7% BQ 28.5% 29.5% 28% ± 6% NDP 16.7% 8.1% 5% ± 3% GPC 2.5% 1.3% 4% ± 3% PPC 0.9% 1.9% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.