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Canada

Trois-Rivières



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
Toss up CPC/BQ
Trois-Rivières 35% ± 7%▲ CPC 33% ± 7%▼ BQ 17% ± 5% LPC 9% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC BQ 2021 29.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Trois-Rivières 59%▲ CPC 41%▼ BQ <1% LPC Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Trois-Rivières

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 9% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 33% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Trois-Rivières 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 38% BQ 32% LPC 17% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 36% BQ 35% LPC 17% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 36% BQ 34% LPC 18% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 38% BQ 32% LPC 18% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 39% BQ 31% LPC 18% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 39% BQ 30% LPC 18% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 38% BQ 32% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 37% BQ 32% LPC 16% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 37% BQ 33% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 37% BQ 32% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 37% BQ 33% LPC 17% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 37% BQ 33% LPC 17% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 36% BQ 32% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 36% BQ 32% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 37% BQ 32% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 36% BQ 31% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 36% BQ 30% LPC 19% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 35% BQ 31% LPC 19% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 35% BQ 32% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 35% BQ 32% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 35% BQ 32% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 35% BQ 32% LPC 17% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 34% BQ 33% LPC 17% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 34% BQ 33% LPC 18% NDP 10% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 BQ 33% CPC 33% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 BQ 34% CPC 34% LPC 18% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 BQ 34% CPC 34% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 35% BQ 33% LPC 17% NDP 9% GPC 4% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Trois-Rivières

LPC <1% CPC 59% NDP <1% BQ 41% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 84% BQ 16% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 61% BQ 39% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 61% BQ 39% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 87% BQ 13% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 93% BQ 7% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 87% BQ 13% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 83% BQ 17% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 79% BQ 21% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 79% BQ 21% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 74% BQ 26% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 83% BQ 17% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 83% BQ 17% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 86% BQ 14% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 74% BQ 26% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 70% BQ 30% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 64% BQ 36% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 54% BQ 46% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 BQ 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 BQ 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 BQ 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 59% BQ 41% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Trois-Rivières



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 28.5% 29.5% 33% ± 7% CPC 25.2% 29.3% 35% ± 7% LPC 26.1% 28.6% 17% ± 5% NDP 16.7% 8.1% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.9% 1.9% 1% ± 1% GPC 2.5% 1.3% 4% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.