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Canada

Trois-Rivières



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/BQ

Candidates | Trois-Rivières


Liberal Caroline Desrochers
Conservative Yves Levesque
NDP Matthew Sevigny
Green David Turcotte
Bloc Quebecois Rene Villemure*
PPC Yan Patry
Rhinoceros Mathieu Doyon

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Trois-Rivières 32% ± 7% LPC 30% ± 6%▼ BQ 27% ± 6% CPC 4% ± 3% NDP BQ 2021 29.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Trois-Rivières 60%▲ LPC 32%▼ BQ 9%▼ CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Trois-Rivières

LPC 32% ± 7% CPC 27% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 30% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Trois-Rivières 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 35% BQ 30% LPC 24% NDP 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 33% BQ 30% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 32% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 32% BQ 29% LPC 27% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 31% LPC 30% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 31% LPC 30% BQ 28% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 32% LPC 30% BQ 27% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 32% LPC 31% BQ 27% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 33% LPC 31% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 33% LPC 31% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 32% LPC 32% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 33% LPC 32% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 33% LPC 33% BQ 26% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 34% CPC 33% BQ 25% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 33% CPC 33% BQ 26% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 33% CPC 30% BQ 29% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 33% CPC 30% BQ 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 33% CPC 30% BQ 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 28% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 29% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 28% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 27% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 27% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 27% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Trois-Rivières

LPC 60% CPC 9% NDP <1% BQ 32% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 83% BQ 16% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 76% BQ 22% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 74% BQ 19% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 74% BQ 17% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 76% BQ 16% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 74% BQ 17% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 70% BQ 21% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 68% BQ 23% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% LPC 32% BQ 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 50% LPC 35% BQ 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 53% LPC 37% BQ 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 56% LPC 38% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 58% LPC 39% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 58% LPC 40% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 54% LPC 43% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 53% LPC 45% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 53% LPC 46% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 44% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 47% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 58% CPC 28% BQ 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 23% BQ 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% BQ 23% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 57% BQ 31% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% BQ 26% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% BQ 26% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 60% BQ 31% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 60% BQ 32% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% BQ 35% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 60% BQ 32% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Trois-Rivières



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 26.1% 28.6% 32% ± 7% BQ 28.5% 29.5% 30% ± 6% CPC 25.2% 29.3% 27% ± 6% NDP 16.7% 8.1% 4% ± 3% GPC 2.5% 1.3% 2% ± 2% PPC 0.9% 1.9% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.