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Canada

Trois-Rivières


MP elect: Caroline Desrochers (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Trois-Rivières


Liberal Caroline Desrochers
Conservative Yves Levesque
NDP Matthew Sevigny
Green David Turcotte
Bloc Quebecois Rene Villemure*
PPC Yan Patry
Rhinoceros Mathieu Doyon

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Trois-Rivières 41% ± 6% LPC 28% ± 5% BQ 27% ± 5% CPC LPC 2025 41.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Trois-Rivières >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Trois-Rivières

LPC 41% ± 6% CPC 27% ± 5% BQ 28% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Trois-Rivières 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 37% BQ 35% LPC 14% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 37% BQ 34% LPC 15% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 37% BQ 34% LPC 15% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 36% BQ 34% LPC 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 36% BQ 32% LPC 18% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 36% BQ 32% LPC 20% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 36% BQ 31% LPC 21% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 35% BQ 29% LPC 23% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 35% BQ 30% LPC 24% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 33% BQ 30% LPC 25% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 33% BQ 29% LPC 27% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 32% BQ 29% LPC 27% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 32% BQ 29% LPC 27% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 31% LPC 30% BQ 28% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 31% LPC 30% BQ 28% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 32% LPC 30% BQ 27% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 32% LPC 31% BQ 27% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 33% LPC 31% BQ 26% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 33% LPC 31% BQ 26% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 32% LPC 32% BQ 26% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 33% LPC 32% BQ 26% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 33% LPC 33% BQ 26% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 34% CPC 33% BQ 25% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 33% CPC 33% BQ 26% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 33% CPC 30% BQ 29% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 33% CPC 30% BQ 30% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 33% CPC 30% BQ 30% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 29% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 29% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 28% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 29% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 28% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 27% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 27% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 27% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 27% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 27% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 27% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 27% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 27% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 27% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 27% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 31% BQ 30% CPC 29% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 31% BQ 30% CPC 29% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 30% CPC 30% BQ 30% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 30% CPC 30% BQ 29% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 31% CPC 30% BQ 29% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 31% BQ 30% CPC 30% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 41% BQ 28% CPC 27% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 41% BQ 28% CPC 27% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 41% BQ 28% CPC 27% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 41% BQ 28% CPC 27% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Trois-Rivières

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 66% BQ 34% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 71% BQ 29% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 64% BQ 36% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 72% BQ 28% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 76% BQ 24% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 83% BQ 17% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 88% BQ 12% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 83% BQ 16% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 76% BQ 22% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 74% BQ 19% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 74% BQ 17% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 76% BQ 16% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 74% BQ 17% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 70% BQ 21% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 68% BQ 23% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% LPC 32% BQ 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 50% LPC 35% BQ 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 53% LPC 37% BQ 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 56% LPC 38% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 58% LPC 39% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 58% LPC 40% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 54% LPC 43% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 53% LPC 45% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 53% LPC 46% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 44% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 47% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 58% CPC 28% BQ 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 23% BQ 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% BQ 23% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 57% BQ 31% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% BQ 26% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% BQ 26% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 60% BQ 31% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 60% BQ 32% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% BQ 35% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 60% BQ 32% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 66% BQ 28% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 62% BQ 32% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% BQ 35% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 55% BQ 39% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 54% BQ 38% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 56% BQ 38% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 49% BQ 45% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 51% BQ 28% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 43% BQ 30% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 39% CPC 31% BQ 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 37% CPC 36% BQ 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 42% CPC 32% BQ 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 47% BQ 27% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% BQ <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Trois-Rivières



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 41% ± 6% 26.1% 28.6% 41.0% BQ 28% ± 5% 28.5% 29.5% 27.6% CPC 27% ± 5% 25.2% 29.3% 27.2% NDP 2% ± 2% 16.7% 8.1% 2.3% GPC 1% ± 1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.9% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.9% 1.9% 0.5% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.