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Canada


Trois-Rivières


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
CPC leaning
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Trois-Rivières 38% ± 7% CPC 32% ± 7% BQ 17% ± 5% LPC 8% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC BQ 2021 29.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Trois-Rivières 84%▲ CPC 16%▼ BQ <1% LPC Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Trois-Rivières

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 38% ± 7% NDP 8% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 32% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Trois-Rivières 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Trois-Rivières

LPC <1% CPC 84% NDP <1% BQ 16% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Trois-Rivières



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 28.5% 29.5% 32% ± 7% CPC 25.2% 29.3% 38% ± 7% LPC 26.1% 28.6% 17% ± 5% NDP 16.7% 8.1% 8% ± 4% PPC 0.9% 1.9% 1% ± 1% GPC 2.5% 1.3% 4% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.