338Canada | Barrie–Innisfil (Ontario federal district)




35004 - Barrie–Innisfil

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 109,285 residents
Population density: 330 pop./km² (rank: 171 of 338)
Median household income: $88 493 (rank: 59 of 338)
Member of Parliament: John Brassard (CPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Barrie–Innisfil

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Barrie–Innisfil

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Barrie–Innisfil



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Barrie–Innisfil



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Barrie–Innisfil


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
44.3% ± 7.1% 47.7% Within confidence interval
27.5% ± 6.0% 28.9% Within confidence interval
20.5% ± 5.2% 15.8% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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