logo
Canada


Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle (federal)


MP: Anju Dhillon (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

LPC safe hold
Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle 45% ± 7% 16% ± 5% 15% ± 5% 15% ± 5% 6% ± 4% 3% ± 2% LPC 2021 52.41% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle

LPC 45% ± 7% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 16% ± 5% GPC 6% ± 4% BQ 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 54.9% 52.9% 52.41% 45% ± 7% BQ 9.8% 17.1% 15.67% 15% ± 5% NDP 21.6% 11.8% 12.96% 16% ± 5% CPC 11.1% 10.5% 11.95% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 4.2% 3% ± 2% GPC 2.3% 5.5% 2.81% 6% ± 4%