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Canada

Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie


Liberal Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba
Conservative Nicolas Godin
NDP Mirabelle Leins
Green Maria Korpijaakko
Bloc Quebecois Noemie Rouillard
PPC Patrick Rochon

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie 47% ± 8%▲ LPC 35% ± 7% BQ 12% ± 4% CPC 4% ± 3% NDP BQ 2021 45.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie 98%▲ LPC 2%▼ BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie

LPC 47% ± 8% CPC 12% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 35% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 40% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 42% BQ 38% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 43% BQ 38% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 43% BQ 37% CPC 12% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 44% BQ 36% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 45% BQ 35% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 45% BQ 35% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 45% BQ 35% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 46% BQ 35% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% BQ 34% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 48% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 47% BQ 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 47% BQ 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 48% BQ 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 48% BQ 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 48% BQ 34% CPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 47% BQ 35% CPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 48% BQ 34% CPC 11% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 48% BQ 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 47% BQ 34% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 47% BQ 35% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 46% BQ 35% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 47% BQ 35% CPC 12% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie

LPC 98% NDP <1% BQ 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 61% BQ 39% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 66% BQ 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 54% BQ 46% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 81% BQ 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 88% BQ 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 91% BQ 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 35.0% 34.1% 47% ± 8% BQ 43.2% 45.5% 35% ± 7% CPC 7.0% 9.7% 12% ± 4% NDP 8.7% 8.3% 4% ± 3% PPC 0.8% 2.1% 2% ± 3% GPC 5.0% 0.2% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.