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Canada


Montarville (federal)


MP: Stéphane Bergeron (BQ)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

BQ leaning hold
Montarville 42% ± 8% BQ 35% ± 7% LPC 11% ± 4% NDP 10% ± 4% CPC BQ 2021 45.25% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Montarville 85% BQ 15% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Montarville

LPC 35% ± 7% CPC 10% ± 4% NDP 11% ± 4% BQ 42% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Montarville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Montarville

LPC 15% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 85% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Montarville



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 28.4% 42.8% 45.25% 42% ± 8% LPC 32.5% 35.6% 34.75% 35% ± 7% CPC 10.9% 7.0% 9.5% 10% ± 4% NDP 24.7% 8.4% 8.36% 11% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 0.8% 2.14% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 5.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%