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Montarville (federal)
MP: Stéphane Bergeron (BQ)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
BQ leaning hold
Montarville
42% ± 8%
BQ
35% ± 7%
LPC
11% ± 4%
NDP
10% ± 4%
CPC
BQ 2021
45.25%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Montarville
85%
BQ
15%
LPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Montarville
LPC 35% ± 7%
CPC 10% ± 4%
NDP 11% ± 4%
BQ 42% ± 8%
Popular vote projection % | Montarville
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
Odds of winning | Montarville
LPC 15%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
BQ 85%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
BQ
Recent electoral history | Montarville
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
BQ
28.4%
42.8%
45.25%
42% ± 8%
LPC
32.5%
35.6%
34.75%
35% ± 7%
CPC
10.9%
7.0%
9.5%
10% ± 4%
NDP
24.7%
8.4%
8.36%
11% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
0.8%
2.14%
1% ± 2%
GPC
2.4%
5.0%
0.0%
1% ± 1%