338Canada | South Surrey–White Rock (British Columbia federal district)




59030 - South Surrey–White Rock

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 104,050 residents
Population density: 720 pop./km² (rank: 151 of 338)
Median household income: $80 430 (rank: 94 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Kerry-Lynne Findlay (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | South Surrey–White Rock


Gordie Hogg
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
June Liu
Gary Jensen





Federal vote projection | South Surrey–White Rock

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | South Surrey–White Rock

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of South Surrey–White Rock



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | South Surrey–White Rock



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


South Surrey–White Rock


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
42.0% ± 8.7% 41.9% Within confidence interval
36.4% ± 8.4% 37.4% Within confidence interval
7.9% ± 3.5% 11.6% Outside confidence interval
9.2% ± 3.8% 7.7% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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