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Saanich–Gulf Islands (federal)
MP: Elizabeth May (GPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
GPC safe hold
Saanich–Gulf Islands
44% ± 8%
GPC
23% ± 6%
CPC
17% ± 5%
LPC
15% ± 5%
NDP
GPC 2021
37.47%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Saanich–Gulf Islands
>99%
GPC
<1%
CPC
<1%
LPC
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Saanich–Gulf Islands
LPC 17% ± 5%
CPC 23% ± 6%
NDP 15% ± 5%
GPC 44% ± 8%
Popular vote projection % | Saanich–Gulf Islands
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Saanich–Gulf Islands
LPC <1%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC >99%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Saanich–Gulf Islands
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
GPC
54.4%
49.1%
37.47%
44% ± 8%
CPC
19.5%
20.2%
22.54%
23% ± 6%
NDP
9.1%
12.7%
18.41%
15% ± 5%
LPC
16.7%
16.6%
18.4%
17% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.4%
2.96%
1% ± 1%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%