338Canada | Saanich–Gulf Islands (British Columbia federal district)




59027 - Saanich–Gulf Islands

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 107,340 residents
Population density: 215 pop./km² (rank: 181 of 338)
Median household income: $78 123 (rank: 106 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Elizabeth May (GPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Saanich–Gulf Islands


Sherri Moore-Arbour
David Busch
Sabina Singh
Elizabeth May
David Hilderman
Dock Currie (Comm.)





Federal vote projection | Saanich–Gulf Islands

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Saanich–Gulf Islands

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Saanich–Gulf Islands



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Saanich–Gulf Islands



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Saanich–Gulf Islands


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
53.8% ± 8.8% 49.1% Within confidence interval
18.7% ± 5.9% 20.2% Within confidence interval
14.4% ± 4.9% 16.6% Within confidence interval
11.0% ± 4.3% 12.7% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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