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Canada

Sydney—Glace Bay


MP elect: Mike Kelloway (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Sydney—Glace Bay


Liberal Mike Kelloway
Conservative Anna Manley
NDP Kimberly Losier
PPC Jeffrey Evely
Marxist-Leninist Nik Boisvert
Canadian Future Chris Gallant
Independent Joe Ward

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Sydney—Glace Bay 52% ± 0%▲ LPC 37% ± 0%▼ CPC 5% ± 0%▼ NDP 4% ± 0%▲ IND LPC 2025 52.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sydney—Glace Bay >99%▲ LPC <1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sydney—Glace Bay

LPC 52% ± 0% CPC 37% ± 0% NDP 5% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Sydney—Glace Bay 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 42% CPC 41% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 45% CPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 36% NDP 10% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Sydney—Glace Bay

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Sydney—Glace Bay



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 52% ± 0% 31.7% 41.9% 52.2% CPC 37% ± 0% 30.3% 34.2% 36.8% NDP 5% ± 0% 20.4% 19.8% 5.4% IND 4% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 1% ± 0% 0.4% 3.3% 1.2% GPC 0% ± 0% 5.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.