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Canada

Sydney—Glace Bay


MP: Mike Kelloway (LPC)

Latest projection: June 1, 2025
LPC likely

Recent electoral history | Sydney—Glace Bay


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 55% ± 9% 31.7% 41.9% 54.6% CPC 38% ± 8% 30.3% 34.2% 38.1% NDP 4% ± 3% 20.4% 19.8% 3.8% PPC 1% ± 2% 0.4% 3.3% 1.2% GPC 0% ± 0% 5.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.



Sydney—Glace Bay 55% ± 9% LPC 38% ± 8% CPC 4% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 54.6% 338Canada vote projection | June 1, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sydney—Glace Bay 99%▼ LPC 1%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 1, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sydney—Glace Bay

LPC 55% ± 9% CPC 38% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Sydney—Glace Bay 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 51% LPC 27% NDP 19% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 51% LPC 27% NDP 19% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 50% LPC 28% NDP 19% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 18% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 45% LPC 36% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 44% LPC 39% NDP 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 42% CPC 41% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 45% CPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 51% CPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 36% NDP 10% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 54% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Sydney—Glace Bay

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader