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Canada


West Nova (federal)


MP: Chris d’Entremont (CPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

CPC safe hold
West Nova 58% ± 8% 25% ± 6% 14% ± 5%▲ 3% ± 3% CPC 2021 50.25% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% West Nova >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | West Nova

LPC 25% ± 6% CPC 58% ± 8% NDP 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | West Nova 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | West Nova

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | West Nova



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 26.1% 39.3% 50.25% 58% ± 8% LPC 63.0% 36.4% 31.25% 25% ± 6% NDP 6.8% 10.7% 12.83% 14% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 5.66% 3% ± 3% GPC 4.2% 12.7% 0.0% 1% ± 1%