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Canada


Brantford–Brant (federal)


MP: Larry Brock (CPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC safe hold
Brantford–Brant 54% ± 7% 19% ± 5%▼ 15% ± 4% 6% ± 3% 5% ± 4% CPC 2021 40.35% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Brantford–Brant >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brantford–Brant

LPC 15% ± 4% CPC 54% ± 7% NDP 19% ± 5% GPC 6% ± 3% PPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brantford–Brant 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC

Odds of winning | Brantford–Brant

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Brantford–Brant



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 40.9% 40.3% 40.35% 54% ± 7% LPC 30.7% 30.7% 28.42% 15% ± 4% NDP 24.8% 19.7% 19.59% 19% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.0% 8.52% 5% ± 4% GPC 2.5% 6.4% 2.66% 6% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.4% 0.45% 0% ± 0%