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Canada

Brampton South


MP elect: Sonia Sidhu (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Candidates | Brampton South


Liberal Sonia Sidhu*
Conservative Sukhdeep Kang
NDP Rajni Sharma
PPC Vijay Kumar
Independent Manmohan Khroud

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brampton South 49% ± 0%▼ LPC 48% ± 0%▲ CPC LPC 2025 49.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton South 61%▼ LPC 39%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton South

LPC 49% ± 0% CPC 48% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Brampton South 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 53% CPC 34% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 57% CPC 31% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 58% CPC 31% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 58% CPC 31% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 58% CPC 31% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 58% CPC 31% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 58% CPC 31% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 60% CPC 31% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% CPC 31% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 60% CPC 31% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 61% CPC 31% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 31% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 61% CPC 30% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% CPC 33% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 59% CPC 32% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 35% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 35% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% CPC 35% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 54% CPC 38% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 53% CPC 39% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 51% CPC 41% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 51% CPC 41% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 51% CPC 41% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 40% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 41% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 49% CPC 48% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton South

LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 100% CPC 0% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brampton South



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 49% ± 0% 51.4% 53.9% 49.2% CPC 48% ± 0% 26.6% 29.5% 47.7% NDP 2% ± 0% 18.0% 13.5% 1.7% PPC 1% ± 0% 0.7% 2.9% 0.8% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.