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Canada

Brampton South



Latest projection: April 14, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Brampton South


Liberal Sonia Sidhu*
Conservative Sukhdeep Kang
NDP Rajni Sharma
PPC Vijay Kumar
Independent Manmohan Khroud

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Brampton South 56% ± 9% LPC 35% ± 9% CPC 5% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 53.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 14, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton South >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 14, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton South

LPC 56% ± 9% CPC 35% ± 9% NDP 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brampton South 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 14, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 60% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% CPC 31% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 60% CPC 31% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 61% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 59% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton South

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 14, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 100% CPC 0% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brampton South



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 51.4% 53.9% 56% ± 9% CPC 26.6% 29.5% 35% ± 9% NDP 18.0% 13.5% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.7% 2.9% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.