338Canada | Ottawa–Vanier (Ontario federal district)




35078 - Ottawa–Vanier

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 111,505 residents
Population density: 2853 pop./km² (rank: 55 of 338)
Median household income: $61 273 (rank: 243 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Mona Fortier (LPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Ottawa–Vanier

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Ottawa–Vanier

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Ottawa–Vanier



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Ottawa–Vanier




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Ottawa–Vanier



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Ottawa–Vanier


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.2% ± 8.6% 51.2% Outside confidence interval
30.1% ± 8.2% 21.2% Outside confidence interval
17.4% ± 5.5% 17.4% Within confidence interval
9.0% ± 3.8% 7.5% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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