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Canada


Sydney–Victoria (federal)


MP: Jaime Battiste (LPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

CPC likely gain
Sydney–Victoria 42% ± 8% 33% ± 7% 21% ± 6% LPC 2021 39.19% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Sydney–Victoria 94% 6% <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sydney–Victoria

LPC 33% ± 7% CPC 42% ± 8% NDP 21% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Sydney–Victoria 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Sydney–Victoria

LPC 6% CPC 94% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Sydney–Victoria



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 73.2% 30.9% 39.19% 33% ± 7% CPC 10.6% 27.7% 36.18% 42% ± 8% NDP 13.1% 20.1% 19.76% 21% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 3.3% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.5% 5.5% 1.22% 2% ± 2% IND 0.0% 15.2% 0.0% 0% ± 0%