logo
Canada

Kanata



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Kanata


Liberal Jenna Sudds*
Conservative Greg Kung
NDP Melissa Simon
Green Jennifer Purdy
Centrist Moinuddin Siddiqui

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Kanata 52% ± 8% LPC 38% ± 8% CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 43.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kanata 99%▲ LPC 1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Kanata

LPC 52% ± 8% CPC 38% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Kanata 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 42% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 44% CPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 48% CPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 49% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 49% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 50% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Kanata

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Kanata



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.3% 43.2% 52% ± 8% CPC 34.8% 36.8% 38% ± 8% NDP 13.0% 14.7% 6% ± 4% GPC 6.5% 2.5% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.4% 2.8% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.