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Canada

Kanata


MP elect: Jenna Sudds (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Kanata


Liberal Jenna Sudds*
Conservative Greg Kung
NDP Melissa Simon
Green Jennifer Purdy
Centrist Moinuddin Siddiqui

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Kanata 61% ± 0%▲ LPC 36% ± 0%▼ CPC LPC 2025 60.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kanata >99%▲ LPC <1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Kanata

LPC 61% ± 0% CPC 36% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Kanata 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 43% LPC 40% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 42% LPC 42% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 44% CPC 41% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 48% CPC 40% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 48% CPC 40% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 48% CPC 39% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 49% CPC 39% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 49% CPC 39% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 49% CPC 39% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 49% CPC 40% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 53% CPC 37% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 38% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 61% CPC 36% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Kanata

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 73% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 78% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 80% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 79% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 81% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 81% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 89% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 88% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 92% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 94% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 94% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 94% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 92% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 98% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Kanata



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 61% ± 0% 44.3% 43.2% 60.5% CPC 36% ± 0% 34.8% 36.8% 35.8% NDP 2% ± 0% 13.0% 14.7% 2.3% GPC 1% ± 0% 6.5% 2.5% 1.2% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.