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Canada

Kanata


MP: Jenna Sudds (LPC)

Latest projection: June 29, 2025
LPC safe

Recent electoral history | Kanata


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 61% ± 8% 44.3% 43.2% 60.8% CPC 35% ± 7% 34.8% 36.8% 35.7% NDP 3% ± 2% 13.0% 14.7% 2.3% GPC 1% ± 1% 6.5% 2.5% 1.1% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.4% 2.8% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Kanata


Kanata 61% ± 8%▼ LPC 35% ± 7% CPC 3% ± 2%▲ NDP LPC 2025 60.8% 338Canada vote projection | June 29, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kanata >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 29, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Kanata

LPC 61% ± 8% CPC 35% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Kanata 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC June 29, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 49% LPC 28% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 48% LPC 29% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 48% LPC 30% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 46% LPC 33% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 44% LPC 36% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 43% LPC 39% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 42% LPC 41% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 42% LPC 41% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 43% LPC 40% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 42% LPC 42% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 44% CPC 41% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 45% CPC 40% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 48% CPC 40% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 48% CPC 40% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 48% CPC 39% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 49% CPC 39% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 49% CPC 39% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 49% CPC 39% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 49% CPC 40% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 50% CPC 40% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 51% CPC 40% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 51% CPC 39% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 53% CPC 37% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 38% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 38% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 61% CPC 36% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 60% CPC 36% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 60% CPC 36% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 61% CPC 36% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 61% CPC 36% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 61% CPC 35% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 61% CPC 35% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 62% CPC 35% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 61% CPC 35% 2025-06-29 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Kanata

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 29, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader