338Canada | Parry Sound–Muskoka (Ontario federal district)





35082 - Parry Sound–Muskoka

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 94,400 residents
Population density: 7.53 pop./km² (rank: 278 of 338)
Median household income: $63 813 (rank: 220 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Scott Aitchison (CPC)



Latest projection (January 23, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Parry Sound–Muskoka

Last update: January 23, 2022






Odds of winning | Parry Sound–Muskoka

Last update: January 23, 2022









Electoral history of Parry Sound–Muskoka



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Parry Sound–Muskoka



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Parry Sound–Muskoka


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
42.6% ± 7.2% 47.9% Within confidence interval
28.5% ± 6.3% 21.6% Outside confidence interval
13.8% ± 4.5% 16.9% Within confidence interval
9.3% ± 4.4% 5.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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