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Canada

Ottawa West—Nepean


MP elect: Anita Vandenbeld (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Ottawa West—Nepean


Liberal Anita Vandenbeld*
Conservative Ryan Telford
NDP Josh Bizjak
Green Prashanta Dhakal
PPC Glen Armstrong
Christian Heritage Sean Mulligan

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Ottawa West—Nepean 63% ± 0%▲ LPC 27% ± 0%▼ CPC 7% ± 0% NDP LPC 2025 63.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Ottawa West—Nepean >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Ottawa West—Nepean

LPC 63% ± 0% CPC 27% ± 0% NDP 7% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Ottawa West—Nepean 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 45% CPC 34% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 53% CPC 31% NDP 9% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 54% CPC 31% NDP 9% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 31% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 55% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 56% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 57% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 63% CPC 27% NDP 7% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Ottawa West—Nepean

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Ottawa West—Nepean



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 63% ± 0% 45.8% 45.4% 63.4% CPC 27% ± 0% 26.1% 27.7% 27.2% NDP 7% ± 0% 19.5% 20.2% 7.1% GPC 1% ± 0% 6.4% 2.9% 1.1% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.3% 3.2% 0.8% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.