338Canada | Parry Sound–Muskoka (Ontario federal district)




35082 - Parry Sound–Muskoka

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 94,400 residents
Population density: 7.53 pop./km² (rank: 278 of 338)
Median household income: $63 813 (rank: 220 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Scott Aitchison (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Parry Sound–Muskoka


Jovanie Nicoyishakiye
Scott Aitchison
Heather Hay
Marc Mantha
James Tole
James Fawcett (NCA)
Daniel Predie





Federal vote projection | Parry Sound–Muskoka

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Parry Sound–Muskoka

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Parry Sound–Muskoka



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Parry Sound–Muskoka



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Parry Sound–Muskoka


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
36.9% ± 8.5% 41.8% Within confidence interval
29.5% ± 7.7% 30.4% Within confidence interval
19.2% ± 6.7% 15.4% Within confidence interval
11.1% ± 4.6% 11.7% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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