338Canada | Haldimand–Norfolk (Ontario federal district)





35033 - Haldimand–Norfolk

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 109,655 residents
Population density: 38.4 pop./km² (rank: 226 of 338)
Median household income: $70 733 (rank: 162 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Seat vacant



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Haldimand–Norfolk

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | Haldimand–Norfolk

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of Haldimand–Norfolk



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Haldimand–Norfolk



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Haldimand–Norfolk


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
47.9% ± 7.0% 47.3% Within confidence interval
23.2% ± 5.4% 27.5% Within confidence interval
19.2% ± 4.9% 13.3% Outside confidence interval
8.5% ± 4.0% 10.5% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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