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Canada


Brampton East


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
LPC leaning
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Brampton East 42% ± 8% LPC 38% ± 8% CPC 17% ± 6% NDP LPC 2021 53.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton East 74%▲ LPC 26%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton East

LPC 42% ± 8% CPC 38% ± 8% NDP 17% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Brampton East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Brampton East

LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Brampton East



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 47.2% 53.2% 42% ± 8% CPC 24.2% 28.6% 38% ± 8% NDP 26.2% 15.6% 17% ± 6% PPC 0.5% 2.6% 1% ± 2% GPC 1.3% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.