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Canada

La Prairie—Atateken


MP elect: Jacques Ramsay (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | La Prairie—Atateken


Liberal Jacques Ramsay
Conservative Dave Pouliot
NDP Mathieu Boisvert
Green Barbara Joanette
Bloc Quebecois Alain Therrien*
PPC Ruth Fontaine

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


La Prairie—Atateken 44% ± 6% LPC 35% ± 5% BQ 17% ± 4% CPC LPC 2025 44.1% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% La Prairie—Atateken 98%▼ LPC 2%▲ BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | La Prairie—Atateken

LPC 44% ± 6% CPC 17% ± 4% BQ 35% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | La Prairie—Atateken 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 52% LPC 20% CPC 15% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 51% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 51% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 51% LPC 21% CPC 15% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 48% LPC 24% CPC 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 47% LPC 26% CPC 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 45% LPC 28% CPC 15% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 43% LPC 31% CPC 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 42% LPC 32% CPC 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 41% LPC 33% CPC 14% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 40% LPC 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 40% LPC 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 40% LPC 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 40% LPC 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 40% LPC 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 40% LPC 35% CPC 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 13% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 13% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 39% BQ 38% CPC 13% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 40% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 40% BQ 37% CPC 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 41% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 41% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 42% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 42% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 43% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 43% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 43% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 42% BQ 36% CPC 13% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 43% BQ 36% CPC 13% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 43% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 42% BQ 37% CPC 12% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 43% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 42% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 42% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 41% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 41% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 41% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 41% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 41% BQ 38% CPC 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 13% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 13% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 14% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 14% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 44% BQ 35% CPC 17% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 44% BQ 35% CPC 17% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 44% BQ 35% CPC 17% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 44% BQ 35% CPC 17% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | La Prairie—Atateken

LPC 98% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 74% BQ 26% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 79% BQ 21% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 84% BQ 16% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 89% BQ 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 92% BQ 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 89% BQ 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 90% BQ 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 85% BQ 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 87% BQ 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 84% BQ 16% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 79% BQ 21% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 84% BQ 16% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 83% BQ 17% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 81% BQ 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 62% BQ 38% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 62% BQ 38% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 62% BQ 38% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 55% BQ 45% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 55% BQ 45% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | La Prairie—Atateken



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 44% ± 6% 36.6% 34.6% 44.1% BQ 35% ± 5% 41.8% 43.7% 34.8% CPC 17% ± 4% 9.0% 9.9% 17.2% NDP 2% ± 2% 7.7% 7.3% 2.4% GPC 1% ± 1% 4.2% 1.7% 1.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.