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Mississauga East—Cooksville



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC
Mississauga East—Cooksville 41% ± 8%▼ CPC 40% ± 8%▲ LPC 12% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 4% PPC LPC 2021 50.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga East—Cooksville 59%▼ CPC 41%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mississauga East—Cooksville

LPC 40% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% NDP 12% ± 5% PPC 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga East—Cooksville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP PPC November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 42% LPC 42% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 42% LPC 41% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 42% LPC 42% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 42% CPC 41% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 13% PPC 3% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 42% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 42% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 42% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 42% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 42% CPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 42% CPC 40% NDP 11% PPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 41% CPC 41% NDP 11% PPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 42% LPC 40% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 43% LPC 39% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 44% LPC 38% NDP 11% PPC 3% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 44% LPC 37% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 43% LPC 38% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 43% LPC 39% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 43% LPC 39% NDP 12% PPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 42% LPC 39% NDP 12% PPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 42% LPC 39% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 41% LPC 40% NDP 12% PPC 3% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Mississauga East—Cooksville

LPC 41% CPC 59% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 50% CPC 50% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Mississauga East—Cooksville



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 53.2% 50.3% 40% ± 8% CPC 32.8% 31.6% 41% ± 8% NDP 9.0% 10.5% 12% ± 5% PPC 1.3% 6.5% 3% ± 4% GPC 3.2% 0.3% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.