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Canada


Peace River–Westlock (federal)


MP: Arnold Viersen (CPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC safe hold
Peace River–Westlock 69% ± 7% 12% ± 4% 7% ± 3% IND 4% ± 4%▼ 4% ± 2% 3% ± 2% MAV CPC 2021 62.84% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Peace River–Westlock >99% <1% <1% INDOdds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Peace River–Westlock

CPC 69% ± 7% NDP 12% ± 4% PPC 4% ± 4% IND 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Peace River–Westlock 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 CPC NDP PPC IND

Odds of winning | Peace River–Westlock

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Peace River–Westlock



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 69.4% 80.7% 62.84% 69% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 3.1% 12.86% 4% ± 4% NDP 14.4% 7.5% 12.81% 12% ± 4% LPC 12.8% 6.1% 5.17% 4% ± 2% GPC 2.5% 2.7% 0.8% 1% ± 1% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7% ± 3% MAV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 2%