Candidates | Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière
Liberal | Charles McKaig |
Conservative | Luc Berthold* |
NDP | Gabriel D'Astous |
Bloc Quebecois | Rejean Hurteau |
PPC | Marek Spacek |
Christian Heritage | Yves Gilbert |
Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here.
This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional
polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls.
The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data.
Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada
Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%),
leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
Recent electoral history | Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.