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Canada


Rivière-des-Mille-Îles (federal)


MP: Luc Desilets (BQ)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

BQ likely hold
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 43% ± 7%▲ 28% ± 6%▼ 13% ± 4%▼ 9% ± 4% 4% ± 3% BQ 2021 40.48% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 99% 1% <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles

LPC 28% ± 6% CPC 13% ± 4% NDP 9% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 43% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles

LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 25.4% 40.6% 40.48% 43% ± 7% LPC 32.4% 36.1% 35.23% 28% ± 6% CPC 10.5% 8.1% 10.25% 13% ± 4% NDP 29.5% 8.6% 7.3% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.5% 2.81% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.0% 5.2% 1.82% 4% ± 3%