338Canada | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte (Ontario federal district)




35005 - Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 100,790 residents
Population density: 104 pop./km² (rank: 200 of 338)
Median household income: $75 790 (rank: 120 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Doug Shipley (CPC)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
37.2% ± 8.4% 39.0% Within confidence interval
32.4% ± 8.0% 31.2% Within confidence interval
13.0% ± 5.0% 14.8% Within confidence interval
14.5% ± 5.2% 13.1% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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