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Canada


Mirabel (federal)


MP: Jean-Denis Garon (BQ)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

BQ safe hold
Mirabel 43% ± 7% BQ 23% ± 6% LPC 14% ± 5% CPC 11% ± 4% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 3% PPC BQ 2021 46.41% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Mirabel >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Mirabel

LPC 23% ± 6% CPC 14% ± 5% NDP 11% ± 4% GPC 5% ± 4% BQ 43% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Mirabel 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Mirabel

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Mirabel



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 31.5% 51.1% 46.41% 43% ± 7% LPC 26.1% 24.9% 23.52% 23% ± 6% CPC 10.1% 9.1% 13.43% 14% ± 5% NDP 30.1% 8.0% 8.4% 11% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 4.11% 3% ± 3% GPC 2.2% 5.4% 2.24% 5% ± 4%