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Canada

Alfred-Pellan



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Alfred-Pellan


Liberal Angelo Iacono*
Conservative Louis Ialenti
NDP Jordan Larochelle
Bloc Quebecois Isabel Dion
PPC Ludovic Claude Mbany

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Alfred-Pellan 59% ± 8% LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 18% ± 5% BQ 4% ± 3% NDP LPC 2021 47.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Alfred-Pellan >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Alfred-Pellan

LPC 59% ± 8% CPC 18% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 18% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Alfred-Pellan 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 44% BQ 25% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 46% BQ 25% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 48% BQ 23% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 51% BQ 23% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 51% BQ 23% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 52% BQ 22% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 52% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 55% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 17% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Alfred-Pellan

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Alfred-Pellan



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 47.5% 47.7% 59% ± 8% CPC 10.5% 13.3% 18% ± 5% BQ 29.3% 26.6% 18% ± 5% NDP 7.6% 7.8% 4% ± 3% PPC 0.9% 0.3% 1% ± 1% GPC 3.7% 1.7% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.