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Canada

Alfred-Pellan


MP: Angelo Iacono (LPC)

Latest projection: June 29, 2025
LPC safe

Recent electoral history | Alfred-Pellan


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 57% ± 8% 47.5% 47.7% 54.6% BQ 20% ± 5% 29.3% 26.6% 20.3% CPC 19% ± 6% 10.5% 13.3% 21.0% NDP 4% ± 3% 7.6% 7.8% 3.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.7% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Alfred-Pellan


Alfred-Pellan 57% ± 8%▲ LPC 20% ± 5%▼ BQ 19% ± 6%▼ CPC 4% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 54.6% 338Canada vote projection | June 29, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Alfred-Pellan >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | June 29, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Alfred-Pellan

LPC 57% ± 8% CPC 19% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Alfred-Pellan 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ June 29, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 34% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 34% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 33% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 33% LPC 31% CPC 21% NDP 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 35% BQ 30% CPC 20% NDP 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 38% BQ 29% CPC 20% NDP 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 40% BQ 28% CPC 20% NDP 7% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 43% BQ 26% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 44% BQ 25% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 46% BQ 25% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 48% BQ 23% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 51% BQ 23% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 51% BQ 23% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 52% BQ 22% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 52% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 55% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 17% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 60% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 59% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 59% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 58% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 21% NDP 3% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 55% BQ 21% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 55% BQ 21% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 57% BQ 20% CPC 19% NDP 4% 2025-06-29 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Alfred-Pellan

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 29, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 18% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 24% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 30% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 39% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 83% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 94% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader