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Canada

Alfred-Pellan


MP elect: Angelo Iacono (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Alfred-Pellan


Liberal Angelo Iacono*
Conservative Louis Ialenti
NDP Jordan Larochelle
Bloc Quebecois Isabel Dion
PPC Ludovic Claude Mbany

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Alfred-Pellan 55% ± 6% LPC 21% ± 5% CPC 20% ± 5% BQ 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 54.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Alfred-Pellan >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Alfred-Pellan

LPC 55% ± 6% CPC 21% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% BQ 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Alfred-Pellan 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 34% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 34% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 33% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 33% LPC 31% CPC 21% NDP 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 35% BQ 30% CPC 20% NDP 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 38% BQ 29% CPC 20% NDP 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 40% BQ 28% CPC 20% NDP 7% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 43% BQ 26% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 44% BQ 25% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 46% BQ 25% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 48% BQ 23% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 48% BQ 24% CPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 51% BQ 23% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 51% BQ 23% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 52% BQ 22% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 52% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 55% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 17% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 60% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 60% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 59% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 58% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 59% BQ 18% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 58% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 19% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 55% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Alfred-Pellan

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 18% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 24% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 30% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 39% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 83% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 94% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Alfred-Pellan



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 55% ± 6% 47.5% 47.7% 54.6% CPC 21% ± 5% 10.5% 13.3% 21.0% BQ 20% ± 5% 29.3% 26.6% 20.3% NDP 3% ± 2% 7.6% 7.8% 3.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.7% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.