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Canada


Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas (federal)


MP: Filomena Tassi (LPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC
Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas 36% ± 7%▲ 35% ± 7%▼ 19% ± 5%▼ 7% ± 4% 3% ± 3% LPC 2021 43.87% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas 53%▲ 47%▼ <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 19% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas

LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 47.7% 46.6% 43.87% 36% ± 7% CPC 31.8% 26.7% 29.26% 35% ± 7% NDP 16.3% 17.8% 19.71% 19% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.4% 4.26% 3% ± 3% GPC 4.2% 7.3% 2.68% 7% ± 4%