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Canada

Lac-Saint-Jean



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
BQ leaning

Candidates | Lac-Saint-Jean


Liberal Denis Lemieux
Conservative Dave Blackburn
NDP Hugues Boily-Maltais
Bloc Quebecois Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe*
PPC Lorie Bouchard

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Lac-Saint-Jean 38% ± 8% BQ 31% ± 7%▼ CPC 28% ± 7% LPC BQ 2021 50.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lac-Saint-Jean 86%▲ BQ 11%▼ CPC 2% LPC Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lac-Saint-Jean

LPC 28% ± 7% CPC 31% ± 7% BQ 38% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Lac-Saint-Jean 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC BQ April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 42% CPC 31% LPC 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 42% CPC 31% LPC 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 41% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 41% CPC 29% LPC 24% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 40% CPC 29% LPC 24% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 39% CPC 30% LPC 25% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 39% CPC 30% LPC 25% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 26% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 26% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 38% CPC 30% LPC 26% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 26% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 27% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 27% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 27% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 38% CPC 30% LPC 28% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 38% CPC 30% LPC 27% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 28% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Lac-Saint-Jean

LPC 2% CPC 11% NDP <1% BQ 86% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 88% CPC 11% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 91% CPC 8% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 87% CPC 12% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 83% CPC 15% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 83% CPC 14% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 86% CPC 13% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 86% CPC 11% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 84% CPC 13% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 82% CPC 14% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 89% CPC 8% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 90% CPC 8% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 88% CPC 9% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 87% CPC 11% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 86% CPC 12% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 84% CPC 15% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 84% CPC 15% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 84% CPC 15% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 84% CPC 14% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 86% CPC 11% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Lac-Saint-Jean



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 44.0% 50.9% 38% ± 8% CPC 22.4% 25.3% 31% ± 7% LPC 25.8% 19.0% 28% ± 7% NDP 5.2% 3.3% 2% ± 2% PPC 0.8% 0.0% 1% ± 1% GPC 1.9% 1.6% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.