logo
Canada

Lac-Saint-Jean


MP elect: Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe (BQ)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
BQ safe

Candidates | Lac-Saint-Jean


Liberal Denis Lemieux
Conservative Dave Blackburn
NDP Hugues Boily-Maltais
Bloc Quebecois Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe*
PPC Lorie Bouchard

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Lac-Saint-Jean 46% ± 0%▲ BQ 26% ± 0%▲ LPC 25% ± 0%▼ CPC BQ 2025 46.3% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lac-Saint-Jean >99%▲ BQ <1% LPC <1%▼ CPC Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lac-Saint-Jean

LPC 26% ± 0% CPC 25% ± 0% BQ 46% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Lac-Saint-Jean 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC BQ April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 42% CPC 31% LPC 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 42% CPC 31% LPC 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 41% CPC 31% LPC 22% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 41% CPC 30% LPC 22% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 41% CPC 29% LPC 24% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 40% CPC 29% LPC 24% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 39% CPC 30% LPC 25% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 39% CPC 30% LPC 25% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 26% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 26% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 38% CPC 30% LPC 26% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 26% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 27% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 27% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 27% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 37% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 38% CPC 30% LPC 28% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 38% CPC 30% LPC 27% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 28% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 28% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 27% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 38% CPC 32% LPC 27% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 39% CPC 32% LPC 26% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 40% CPC 32% LPC 26% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 39% CPC 33% LPC 26% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 39% CPC 33% LPC 25% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 39% CPC 33% LPC 25% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 39% CPC 34% LPC 25% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 39% CPC 34% LPC 24% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 38% CPC 34% LPC 25% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 46% LPC 26% CPC 25% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Lac-Saint-Jean

LPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 96% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 97% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 97% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 97% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 96% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 97% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 97% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 98% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 98% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 98% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 96% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 94% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 91% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 88% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 91% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 87% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 83% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 83% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 86% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 86% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 84% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 82% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 89% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 90% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 88% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 87% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 86% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 84% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 84% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 84% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 84% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 86% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 86% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 88% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 87% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 89% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 91% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 86% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 84% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 82% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 79% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 81% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 79% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Lac-Saint-Jean



2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 46% ± 0% 44.0% 50.9% 46.3% LPC 26% ± 0% 25.8% 19.0% 26.2% CPC 25% ± 0% 22.4% 25.3% 24.7% NDP 2% ± 0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.7% PPC 1% ± 0% 0.8% 0.0% 1.1% GPC 0% ± 0% 1.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.