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Canada


Windsor–Tecumseh (federal)


MP: Irek Kusmierczyk (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC leaning gain
Windsor–Tecumseh 35% ± 7% 31% ± 6% 23% ± 5% 7% ± 4% 4% ± 3% LPC 2021 31.83% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Windsor–Tecumseh 79% 21% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Windsor–Tecumseh

LPC 23% ± 5% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 31% ± 6% GPC 4% ± 3% PPC 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Windsor–Tecumseh 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC

Odds of winning | Windsor–Tecumseh

LPC <1% CPC 79% NDP 21% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Windsor–Tecumseh



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 26.6% 33.4% 31.83% 23% ± 5% NDP 43.5% 32.3% 30.65% 31% ± 6% CPC 27.5% 27.8% 25.63% 35% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 2.2% 10.41% 7% ± 4% GPC 2.0% 3.8% 1.2% 4% ± 3%