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Canada

Whitby



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
CPC likely
Whitby 46% ± 8% CPC 31% ± 7% LPC 17% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 45.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Whitby >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Whitby

LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 46% ± 8% NDP 17% ± 5% GPC 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Whitby 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 45% LPC 35% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 44% LPC 36% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 44% LPC 36% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 16% GPC 3% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 16% GPC 3% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 44% LPC 35% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 44% LPC 34% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 44% LPC 34% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 16% GPC 3% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 16% GPC 3% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 16% GPC 3% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 42% LPC 36% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 43% LPC 36% NDP 14% GPC 3% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 43% LPC 35% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 45% LPC 34% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 46% LPC 34% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 46% LPC 33% NDP 14% GPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 46% LPC 32% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 44% LPC 33% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 44% LPC 34% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 15% GPC 4% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 46% LPC 32% NDP 15% GPC 3% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 46% LPC 31% NDP 17% GPC 3% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 46% LPC 31% NDP 17% GPC 3% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Whitby

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Whitby



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.5% 45.1% 31% ± 7% CPC 34.4% 34.5% 46% ± 8% NDP 14.4% 14.4% 17% ± 5% PPC 1.3% 4.4% 2% ± 3% GPC 5.5% 1.6% 3% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.