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Whitby



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Whitby


Liberal Ryan Turnbull*
Conservative Steve Yamada
NDP Kevin Goswell
Green Andrew Di Lullo
Centrist Nouman Mian

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Whitby 55% ± 8% LPC 36% ± 8% CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 45.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Whitby >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Whitby

LPC 55% ± 8% CPC 36% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Whitby 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 50% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 50% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 50% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 50% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 50% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 54% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Whitby

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Whitby



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.5% 45.1% 55% ± 8% CPC 34.4% 34.5% 36% ± 8% NDP 14.4% 14.4% 6% ± 4% GPC 5.5% 1.6% 1% ± 2% PPC 1.3% 4.4% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.