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Canada

Whitby


MP: Ryan Turnbull (LPC)

Latest projection: June 1, 2025
LPC leaning

Recent electoral history | Whitby


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 53% ± 8% 44.5% 45.1% 52.7% CPC 44% ± 8% 34.4% 34.5% 43.8% NDP 2% ± 2% 14.4% 14.4% 2.4% GPC 1% ± 1% 5.5% 1.6% 0.7% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.3% 4.4% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.



Whitby 53% ± 8% LPC 44% ± 8% CPC LPC 2025 52.7% 338Canada vote projection | June 1, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Whitby 90%▼ LPC 10%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 1, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Whitby

LPC 53% ± 8% CPC 44% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Whitby 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 48% LPC 30% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 47% LPC 31% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 46% LPC 32% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 44% LPC 35% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 42% LPC 38% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 41% CPC 41% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 44% CPC 40% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% CPC 39% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 40% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 38% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 49% CPC 37% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 50% CPC 36% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 50% CPC 36% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 50% CPC 36% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 50% CPC 36% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 50% CPC 36% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 52% CPC 36% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 52% CPC 36% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 53% CPC 36% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 53% CPC 36% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 54% CPC 36% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 54% CPC 36% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% CPC 37% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% CPC 37% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 55% CPC 37% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% CPC 37% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 39% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 54% CPC 37% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% CPC 38% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 51% CPC 41% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 53% CPC 44% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 53% CPC 44% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 53% CPC 44% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 53% CPC 44% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 53% CPC 44% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Whitby

LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader