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Canada

Egmont


MP elect: Bobby Morrissey (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC leaning

Candidates | Egmont


Liberal Bobby Morrissey*
Conservative Logan McLellan
NDP Carol Rybinski
Green Ranald MacFarlane

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Egmont 52% ± 0%▼ LPC 43% ± 0%▲ CPC LPC 2025 51.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Egmont 89%▼ LPC 11%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Egmont

LPC 52% ± 0% CPC 43% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Egmont 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 34% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 48% CPC 32% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 51% CPC 31% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 30% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% CPC 29% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 54% CPC 29% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 54% CPC 29% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 30% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 30% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 55% CPC 30% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% CPC 32% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 54% CPC 33% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 55% CPC 33% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 33% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 56% CPC 33% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% CPC 34% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 35% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 55% CPC 35% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 55% CPC 36% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 52% CPC 43% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Egmont

LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Egmont



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 52% ± 0% 40.0% 45.9% 51.8% CPC 43% ± 0% 33.9% 31.0% 43.5% NDP 2% ± 0% 6.1% 8.7% 2.4% GPC 2% ± 0% 20.1% 9.4% 2.2% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.0% 5.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.