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Canada

Acadie—Annapolis


MP: Chris d’Entremont (CPC)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
LPC leaning

Recent electoral history | Acadie—Annapolis


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 50% ± 9% 36.3% 30.7% 46.6% CPC 44% ± 9% 39.8% 51.3% 47.7% NDP 4% ± 3% 10.4% 12.7% 3.7% GPC 1% ± 2% 12.6% 0.0% 1.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.0% 5.3% 0.9%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Acadie—Annapolis


Acadie—Annapolis 50% ± 9% LPC 44% ± 9% CPC 4% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 47.7% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Acadie—Annapolis 77% LPC 23% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Acadie—Annapolis

LPC 50% ± 9% CPC 44% ± 9% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Acadie—Annapolis 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 64% LPC 19% NDP 12% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 64% LPC 19% NDP 13% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 64% LPC 20% NDP 13% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 63% LPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 61% LPC 23% NDP 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 59% LPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 57% LPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 51% LPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 11% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 10% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 46% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 46% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 49% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 49% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 49% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 51% LPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 47% LPC 47% NDP 4% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Acadie—Annapolis

LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader