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Acadie—Annapolis

Latest update: January 11, 2026
L
MP: Chris d’Entremont
Nova Scotia
Toss up LPC/CPC

Recent electoral history | Acadie—Annapolis


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 45% ± 8% 36.3% 30.7% 46.6% CPC 44% ± 8% 39.8% 51.3% 47.7% NDP 7% ± 4% 10.4% 12.7% 3.7% PPC 1% ± 2% 0.0% 5.3% 0.9%

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338Canada Acadie—Annapolis projection

Latest update: January 11, 2026

338Canada projection for Acadie—Annapolis


Acadie—Annapolis 37% 53% 45% ± 8% LPC 36% 51% 44% ± 8% CPC 3% 11% 7% ± 4% NDP 0% 5% 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2025 47.7% 338Canada vote projection | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Acadie—Annapolis 57%▼ LPC 43%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 11, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Acadie—Annapolis

LPC 45% ± 8% CPC 44% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Acadie—Annapolis 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 48% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 47% LPC 47% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 48% CPC 46% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 50% CPC 44% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 4% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 48% CPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 48% CPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 47% CPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 48% CPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 46% CPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 49% CPC 42% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 45% CPC 44% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2026-01-11

Odds of winning | Acadie—Annapolis

LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP January 11, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2026-01-11