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Canada


Cape Breton–Canso (federal)


MP: Mike Kelloway (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC likely gain
Cape Breton–Canso 47% ± 8% 35% ± 7% 16% ± 5% LPC 2021 46.46% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Cape Breton–Canso 97% 3% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cape Breton–Canso

LPC 35% ± 7% CPC 47% ± 8% NDP 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Cape Breton–Canso 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Cape Breton–Canso

LPC 3% CPC 97% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Cape Breton–Canso



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 74.4% 38.9% 46.46% 35% ± 7% CPC 14.4% 34.5% 35.14% 47% ± 8% NDP 8.2% 14.8% 14.29% 16% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.2% 4.11% 2% ± 2% GPC 3.0% 7.7% 0.0% 0% ± 1% IND 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0% ± 0%