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Canada

Saint-Jean



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/BQ

Candidates | Saint-Jean


Liberal Patrick Agbokou
Conservative Marie Louis-Seize
NDP Danielle Dubuc
Green Vincent Piette
Bloc Quebecois Christine Normandin*
PPC Tchad Deschenes

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Saint-Jean 37% ± 7% BQ 36% ± 7% LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 5% ± 3% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC BQ 2021 46.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint-Jean 56%▼ BQ 44%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saint-Jean

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 18% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 3% BQ 37% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Saint-Jean 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 41% LPC 27% CPC 20% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 40% LPC 28% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 39% LPC 30% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 39% LPC 30% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 39% LPC 30% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 39% LPC 30% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 40% LPC 30% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 40% LPC 30% CPC 18% NDP 6% GPC 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 39% LPC 32% CPC 18% NDP 6% GPC 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 38% LPC 33% CPC 18% NDP 6% GPC 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 37% LPC 33% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 37% LPC 34% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 36% LPC 35% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 36% LPC 35% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 36% LPC 35% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 36% BQ 36% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 37% BQ 35% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 37% BQ 35% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 37% BQ 36% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 37% BQ 36% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 37% BQ 36% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 37% BQ 36% CPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 37% BQ 37% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 37% LPC 37% CPC 17% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 37% LPC 37% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 37% LPC 37% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Saint-Jean

LPC 44% NDP <1% BQ 56% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 50% BQ 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% BQ 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 67% BQ 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 60% BQ 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 51% BQ 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 54% BQ 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 50% BQ 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Saint-Jean



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 44.8% 46.0% 37% ± 7% LPC 30.6% 28.1% 36% ± 7% CPC 10.7% 12.7% 18% ± 5% NDP 7.7% 7.3% 5% ± 3% GPC 5.1% 2.1% 3% ± 3% PPC 0.6% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.