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Canada


Québec (federal)


MP: Jean-Yves Duclos (LPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

LPC likely hold
Québec 34% ± 7% LPC 24% ± 6% BQ 18% ± 5% CPC 18% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 35.41% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Québec 97% LPC 3% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Québec

LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 18% ± 5% NDP 18% ± 5% GPC 5% ± 3% BQ 24% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Québec 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Québec

LPC 97% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 3% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Québec



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 28.9% 33.3% 35.41% 34% ± 7% BQ 18.8% 32.7% 29.03% 24% ± 6% CPC 21.8% 15.0% 17.97% 18% ± 5% NDP 27.0% 11.5% 13.03% 18% ± 5% GPC 2.9% 5.4% 2.3% 5% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 1.2% 1.67% 1% ± 1%