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Canada


Beloeil–Chambly (federal)


MP: Yves-François Blanchet (BQ)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

BQ safe hold
Beloeil–Chambly 54% ± 8% 17% ± 5% 12% ± 4%▲ 11% ± 4% 5% ± 4% BQ 2021 53.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Beloeil–Chambly >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beloeil–Chambly

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 12% ± 4% NDP 11% ± 4% GPC 5% ± 4% BQ 54% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Beloeil–Chambly 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Beloeil–Chambly

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Beloeil–Chambly



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 27.7% 50.5% 53.1% 54% ± 8% LPC 29.3% 23.1% 23.67% 17% ± 5% CPC 9.3% 6.2% 8.61% 12% ± 4% NDP 31.1% 14.5% 8.46% 11% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 0.7% 2.06% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.3% 4.7% 1.98% 5% ± 4%