Ontario, 121 districts

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Projected ahead	Last election (2021)
	20	15	8	10	53	78
	29	5	5	13	52	37
	5	0	4	6	15	5
	1	0	0	0	1	1

338Canada Projection | Ontario

List of electoral districts

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
35001 Ajax		LPC safe hold
35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing		NDP safe hold
35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill		Toss up LPC/CPC
35004 Barrie–Innisfil		CPC safe hold
35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte		CPC safe hold
35006 Bay of Quinte		CPC likely hold
35007 Beaches–East York		LPC safe hold
35008 Brampton Centre		LPC leaning hold
35009 Brampton East		LPC safe hold
35010 Brampton North		LPC likely hold
35011 Brampton South		LPC likely hold
35012 Brampton West		LPC safe hold
35013 Brantford–Brant		CPC safe hold
35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound		CPC safe hold
35015 Burlington		Toss up LPC/CPC
35016 Cambridge		Toss up LPC/CPC
35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington		CPC safe hold
35018 Davenport		NDP leaning gain
35019 Don Valley East		LPC safe hold
35020 Don Valley North		LPC safe hold
35021 Don Valley West		LPC likely hold
35022 Dufferin–Caledon		CPC safe hold
35023 Durham		CPC safe hold
35024 Eglinton–Lawrence		LPC leaning hold
35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London		CPC safe hold
35026 Essex		Toss up CPC/NDP
35027 Etobicoke Centre		LPC leaning hold
35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore		LPC leaning hold
35029 Etobicoke North		LPC safe hold
35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook		CPC likely hold
35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell		LPC leaning hold
35032 Guelph		LPC likely hold
35033 Haldimand–Norfolk		CPC safe hold
35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock		CPC safe hold
35035 Hamilton Centre		NDP safe hold
35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35037 Hamilton Mountain		NDP leaning gain
35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas		LPC likely hold
35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington		CPC safe hold
35040 Huron–Bruce		CPC safe hold
35041 Kanata–Carleton		Toss up LPC/CPC
35042 Kenora		CPC leaning hold
35043 King–Vaughan		CPC likely hold
35044 Kingston and the Islands		Toss up LPC/NDP
35045 Kitchener Centre		GPC safe hold
35046 Kitchener–Conestoga		CPC leaning gain
35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler		CPC leaning gain
35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex		CPC safe hold
35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston		CPC safe hold
35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes		CPC safe hold
35051 London–Fanshawe		NDP safe hold
35052 London North Centre		Toss up LPC/NDP
35053 London West		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35054 Markham–Stouffville		LPC leaning hold
35055 Markham–Thornhill		LPC safe hold
35056 Markham–Unionville		Toss up LPC/CPC
35057 Milton		LPC likely hold
35058 Mississauga Centre		LPC safe hold
35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville		LPC likely hold
35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills		LPC likely hold
35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore		Toss up LPC/CPC
35062 Mississauga–Malton		LPC likely hold
35063 Mississauga–Streetsville		LPC leaning hold
35064 Nepean		LPC leaning hold
35065 Newmarket–Aurora		Toss up LPC/CPC
35066 Niagara Centre		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35067 Niagara Falls		CPC likely hold
35068 Niagara West		CPC safe hold
35069 Nickel Belt		Toss up LPC/NDP
35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South		CPC safe hold
35072 Oakville		Toss up LPC/CPC
35073 Oakville North–Burlington		Toss up LPC/CPC
35074 Oshawa		CPC leaning hold
35075 Ottawa Centre		Toss up LPC/NDP
35076 Orléans		LPC safe hold
35077 Ottawa South		LPC safe hold
35078 Ottawa–Vanier		LPC likely hold
35079 Ottawa West–Nepean		LPC likely hold
35080 Oxford		CPC safe hold
35081 Parkdale–High Park		NDP leaning gain
35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka		CPC safe hold
35083 Perth–Wellington		CPC safe hold
35084 Peterborough–Kawartha		CPC likely hold
35085 Pickering–Uxbridge		Toss up LPC/CPC
35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke		CPC safe hold
35087 Richmond Hill		Toss up LPC/CPC
35088 Carleton		CPC safe hold
35089 St. Catharines		Toss up LPC/CPC
35090 Toronto–St. Paul’s		LPC safe hold
35091 Sarnia–Lambton		CPC safe hold
35092 Sault Ste. Marie		CPC leaning gain
35093 Scarborough–Agincourt		LPC safe hold
35094 Scarborough Centre		LPC safe hold
35095 Scarborough–Guildwood		LPC safe hold
35096 Scarborough North		LPC safe hold
35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park		LPC safe hold
35098 Scarborough Southwest		LPC safe hold
35099 Simcoe–Grey		CPC safe hold
35100 Simcoe North		CPC safe hold
35101 Spadina–Fort York		Toss up LPC/NDP
35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry		CPC safe hold
35103 Sudbury		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35104 Thornhill		CPC safe hold
35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North		Toss up LPC/NDP
35107 Timmins–James Bay		NDP safe hold
35108 Toronto Centre		LPC likely hold
35109 Toronto–Danforth		Toss up LPC/NDP
35110 University–Rosedale		LPC likely hold
35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge		Toss up LPC/CPC
35112 Waterloo		LPC likely hold
35113 Wellington–Halton Hills		CPC safe hold
35114 Whitby		Toss up LPC/CPC
35115 Willowdale		LPC likely hold
35116 Windsor–Tecumseh		NDP leaning gain
35117 Windsor West		NDP safe hold
35118 York Centre		Toss up LPC/CPC
35119 York–Simcoe		CPC safe hold
35120 York South–Weston		LPC safe hold
35121 Humber River–Black Creek		LPC safe hold