338Canada | Ontario, 121 federal districts



Ontario, 121 federal districts




Last update: January 23, 2022

Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Projection average Last election (2021)
24 16 12 11 63 62.0 78
28 5 3 7 43 45.3 37
4 1 1 8 14 12.6 5
1 0 0 0 1 1.0 1



Federal Projection | Ontario, 121 federal districts

Last update: January 23, 2022








List of federal districts - Ontario

Last update: January 23, 2022
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
35001 Ajax LPC safe
35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NDP safe
35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Toss up LPC/CPC
35004 Barrie–Innisfil CPC safe
35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte CPC safe
35006 Bay of Quinte CPC likely
35007 Beaches–East York LPC safe
35008 Brampton Centre LPC likely
35009 Brampton East LPC safe
35010 Brampton North LPC safe
35011 Brampton South LPC safe
35012 Brampton West LPC safe
35013 Brantford–Brant CPC safe
35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound CPC safe
35015 Burlington LPC leaning
35016 Cambridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington CPC safe
35018 Davenport Toss up LPC/NDP
35019 Don Valley East LPC safe
35020 Don Valley North LPC safe
35021 Don Valley West LPC likely
35022 Dufferin–Caledon CPC safe
35023 Durham CPC safe
35024 Eglinton–Lawrence LPC leaning
35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London CPC safe
35026 Essex Toss up CPC/NDP
35027 Etobicoke Centre LPC likely
35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore LPC likely
35029 Etobicoke North LPC safe
35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook CPC likely
35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell LPC leaning
35032 Guelph LPC likely
35033 Haldimand–Norfolk CPC safe
35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock CPC safe
35035 Hamilton Centre NDP safe
35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Toss up LPC/NDP
35037 Hamilton Mountain Toss up LPC/NDP
35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas LPC likely
35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington CPC likely
35040 Huron–Bruce CPC safe
35041 Kanata–Carleton Toss up LPC/CPC
35042 Kenora CPC leaning
35043 King–Vaughan CPC leaning
35044 Kingston and the Islands LPC leaning
35045 Kitchener Centre GPC safe
35046 Kitchener–Conestoga Toss up LPC/CPC
35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler Toss up LPC/CPC
35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex CPC safe
35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston CPC safe
35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes CPC safe
35051 London–Fanshawe NDP safe
35052 London North Centre LPC leaning
35053 London West Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35054 Markham–Stouffville LPC likely
35055 Markham–Thornhill LPC safe
35056 Markham–Unionville Toss up LPC/CPC
35057 Milton LPC likely
35058 Mississauga Centre LPC safe
35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville LPC likely
35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills LPC likely
35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore Toss up LPC/CPC
35062 Mississauga–Malton LPC safe
35063 Mississauga–Streetsville LPC likely
35064 Nepean LPC leaning
35065 Newmarket–Aurora Toss up LPC/CPC
35066 Niagara Centre Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35067 Niagara Falls CPC likely
35068 Niagara West CPC safe
35069 Nickel Belt Toss up LPC/NDP
35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming Toss up LPC/CPC
35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South CPC safe
35072 Oakville Toss up LPC/CPC
35073 Oakville North–Burlington LPC leaning
35074 Oshawa CPC leaning
35075 Ottawa Centre Toss up LPC/NDP
35076 Orléans LPC safe
35077 Ottawa South LPC safe
35078 Ottawa–Vanier LPC safe
35079 Ottawa West–Nepean LPC likely
35080 Oxford CPC safe
35081 Parkdale–High Park NDP leaning
35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka CPC safe
35083 Perth–Wellington CPC safe
35084 Peterborough–Kawartha CPC likely
35085 Pickering–Uxbridge LPC leaning
35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke CPC safe
35087 Richmond Hill LPC leaning
35088 Carleton CPC safe
35089 St. Catharines Toss up LPC/CPC
35090 Toronto–St. Paul’s LPC safe
35091 Sarnia–Lambton CPC safe
35092 Sault Ste. Marie Toss up LPC/CPC
35093 Scarborough–Agincourt LPC safe
35094 Scarborough Centre LPC safe
35095 Scarborough–Guildwood LPC safe
35096 Scarborough North LPC safe
35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park LPC safe
35098 Scarborough Southwest LPC safe
35099 Simcoe–Grey CPC safe
35100 Simcoe North CPC safe
35101 Spadina–Fort York Toss up LPC/NDP
35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry CPC safe
35103 Sudbury Toss up LPC/NDP
35104 Thornhill CPC safe
35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North LPC leaning
35107 Timmins–James Bay NDP likely
35108 Toronto Centre LPC likely
35109 Toronto–Danforth Toss up LPC/NDP
35110 University–Rosedale LPC likely
35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge Toss up LPC/CPC
35112 Waterloo LPC likely
35113 Wellington–Halton Hills CPC safe
35114 Whitby LPC leaning
35115 Willowdale LPC likely
35116 Windsor–Tecumseh Toss up LPC/NDP
35117 Windsor West NDP safe
35118 York Centre LPC leaning
35119 York–Simcoe CPC safe
35120 York South–Weston LPC safe
35121 Humber River–Black Creek LPC safe
Electoral district
35001 Ajax
35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing
35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill
35004 Barrie–Innisfil
35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte
35006 Bay of Quinte
35007 Beaches–East York
35008 Brampton Centre
35009 Brampton East
35010 Brampton North
35011 Brampton South
35012 Brampton West
35013 Brantford–Brant
35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound
35015 Burlington
35016 Cambridge
35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington
35018 Davenport
35019 Don Valley East
35020 Don Valley North
35021 Don Valley West
35022 Dufferin–Caledon
35023 Durham
35024 Eglinton–Lawrence
35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London
35026 Essex
35027 Etobicoke Centre
35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore
35029 Etobicoke North
35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook
35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell
35032 Guelph
35033 Haldimand–Norfolk
35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock
35035 Hamilton Centre
35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek
35037 Hamilton Mountain
35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas
35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington
35040 Huron–Bruce
35041 Kanata–Carleton
35042 Kenora
35043 King–Vaughan
35044 Kingston and the Islands
35045 Kitchener Centre
35046 Kitchener–Conestoga
35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler
35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex
35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston
35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes
35051 London–Fanshawe
35052 London North Centre
35053 London West
35054 Markham–Stouffville
35055 Markham–Thornhill
35056 Markham–Unionville
35057 Milton
35058 Mississauga Centre
35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville
35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills
35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore
35062 Mississauga–Malton
35063 Mississauga–Streetsville
35064 Nepean
35065 Newmarket–Aurora
35066 Niagara Centre
35067 Niagara Falls
35068 Niagara West
35069 Nickel Belt
35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming
35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South
35072 Oakville
35073 Oakville North–Burlington
35074 Oshawa
35075 Ottawa Centre
35076 Orléans
35077 Ottawa South
35078 Ottawa–Vanier
35079 Ottawa West–Nepean
35080 Oxford
35081 Parkdale–High Park
35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka
35083 Perth–Wellington
35084 Peterborough–Kawartha
35085 Pickering–Uxbridge
35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke
35087 Richmond Hill
35088 Carleton
35089 St. Catharines
35090 Toronto–St. Paul’s
35091 Sarnia–Lambton
35092 Sault Ste. Marie
35093 Scarborough–Agincourt
35094 Scarborough Centre
35095 Scarborough–Guildwood
35096 Scarborough North
35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park
35098 Scarborough Southwest
35099 Simcoe–Grey
35100 Simcoe North
35101 Spadina–Fort York
35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry
35103 Sudbury
35104 Thornhill
35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River
35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North
35107 Timmins–James Bay
35108 Toronto Centre
35109 Toronto–Danforth
35110 University–Rosedale
35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge
35112 Waterloo
35113 Wellington–Halton Hills
35114 Whitby
35115 Willowdale
35116 Windsor–Tecumseh
35117 Windsor West
35118 York Centre
35119 York–Simcoe
35120 York South–Weston
35121 Humber River–Black Creek






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