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• Toronto
  Beaches–East York Davenport Don Valley East Don Valley North Don Valley West Eglinton–Lawrence Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke–Lakeshore Etobicoke North Parkdale–High Park Toronto–St. Paul's Scarborough–Agincourt Scarborough Centre Scarborough–Guildwood Scarborough North Scarborough–Rouge Park Scarborough Southwest Spadina–Fort York Toronto Centre Toronto–Danforth University–Rosedale Willowdale York Centre York South–Weston Humber River–Black Creek
• GTA-905
  Ajax Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Brampton Centre Brampton East Brampton North Brampton South Brampton West Burlington Durham King–Vaughan Markham–Stouffville Markham–Thornhill Markham–Unionville Milton Mississauga Centre Mississauga East–Cooksville Mississauga–Erin Mills Mississauga–Lakeshore Mississauga–Malton Mississauga–Streetsville Newmarket–Aurora Oakville Oakville North–Burlington Oshawa Pickering–Uxbridge Richmond Hill Thornhill Vaughan–Woodbridge Whitby York–Simcoe
• Ottawa
  Kanata–Carleton Nepean Ottawa Centre Orléans Ottawa South Ottawa–Vanier Ottawa West–Nepean Carleton
• Eastern Ontario
  Bay of Quinte Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Hastings–Lennox and Addington Kingston and the Islands Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry
• Hamilton-Niagara
  Flamborough–Glanbrook Hamilton Centre Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Hamilton Mountain Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Niagara Centre Niagara Falls Niagara West St. Catharines
• Southwestern Ontario
  Brantford–Brant Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound Cambridge Chatham-Kent–Leamington Elgin–Middlesex–London Essex Guelph Haldimand–Norfolk Huron–Bruce Kitchener Centre Kitchener–Conestoga Kitchener South–Hespeler Lambton–Kent–Middlesex London–Fanshawe London North Centre London West Oxford Perth–Wellington Sarnia–Lambton Waterloo Wellington–Halton Hills Windsor–Tecumseh Windsor West
• Centre of Ontario
  Barrie–Innisfil Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Dufferin–Caledon Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock Northumberland–Peterborough South Peterborough–Kawartha Simcoe–Grey Simcoe North
• Northern Ontario
  Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Kenora Nickel Belt Nipissing–Timiskaming Parry Sound–Muskoka Sault Ste. Marie Sudbury Thunder Bay–Rainy River Thunder Bay–Superior North Timmins–James Bay

Ontario, 121 federal districts

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Projected ahead	Projection average	Last election (2019)
	33	23	13	10	79	73.9	79
	19	8	4	5	36	38.7	36
	4	0	2	0	6	8.2	6
	0	0	0	0	0	0.2	0

• Federal Vote Projection
• Federal Seat Projection
• Breakdown of electoral districts
• List of electoral districts

Federal Vote Projection | Ontario, 121 federal districts

• Federal Vote Projection
• Federal Seat Projection
• Breakdown of electoral districts
• List of electoral districts

Federal Seat Projection | Ontario, 121 federal districts

• Federal Vote Projection
• Federal Seat Projection
• Breakdown of electoral districts
• List of electoral districts

List of federal districts - Ontario

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
35001 Ajax		LPC safe
35002 Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing		NDP safe
35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill		Toss up LPC/CPC
35004 Barrie–Innisfil		CPC safe
35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte		CPC leaning
35006 Bay of Quinte		Toss up LPC/CPC
35007 Beaches–East York		LPC safe
35008 Brampton Centre		LPC safe
35009 Brampton East		LPC likely
35010 Brampton North		LPC safe
35011 Brampton South		LPC safe
35012 Brampton West		LPC safe
35013 Brantford–Brant		CPC likely
35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound		CPC safe
35015 Burlington		LPC likely
35016 Cambridge		LPC likely
35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington		CPC safe
35018 Davenport		LPC leaning
35019 Don Valley East		LPC safe
35020 Don Valley North		LPC likely
35021 Don Valley West		LPC safe
35022 Dufferin–Caledon		CPC likely
35023 Durham		CPC safe
35024 Eglinton–Lawrence		LPC safe
35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London		CPC likely
35026 Essex		Toss up CPC/NDP
35027 Etobicoke Centre		LPC likely
35028 Etobicoke–Lakeshore		LPC safe
35029 Etobicoke North		LPC safe
35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook		Toss up LPC/CPC
35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell		LPC leaning
35032 Guelph		LPC safe
35033 Haldimand–Norfolk		CPC safe
35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock		CPC safe
35035 Hamilton Centre		NDP safe
35036 Hamilton East–Stoney Creek		LPC leaning
35037 Hamilton Mountain		NDP leaning
35038 Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas		LPC safe
35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington		Toss up LPC/CPC
35040 Huron–Bruce		CPC safe
35041 Kanata–Carleton		LPC leaning
35042 Kenora		Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
35043 King–Vaughan		Toss up LPC/CPC
35044 Kingston and the Islands		LPC safe
35045 Kitchener Centre		Toss up LPC/CPC/GPC
35046 Kitchener–Conestoga		Toss up LPC/CPC
35047 Kitchener South–Hespeler		LPC leaning
35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex		CPC safe
35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston		CPC safe
35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes		CPC safe
35051 London–Fanshawe		NDP safe
35052 London North Centre		LPC likely
35053 London West		LPC likely
35054 Markham–Stouffville		LPC leaning
35055 Markham–Thornhill		LPC likely
35056 Markham–Unionville		CPC likely
35057 Milton		LPC likely
35058 Mississauga Centre		LPC safe
35059 Mississauga East–Cooksville		LPC likely
35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills		LPC safe
35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore		LPC likely
35062 Mississauga–Malton		LPC safe
35063 Mississauga–Streetsville		LPC likely
35064 Nepean		LPC likely
35065 Newmarket–Aurora		Toss up LPC/CPC
35066 Niagara Centre		LPC leaning
35067 Niagara Falls		CPC leaning
35068 Niagara West		CPC safe
35069 Nickel Belt		Toss up LPC/NDP
35070 Nipissing–Timiskaming		LPC likely
35071 Northumberland–Peterborough South		CPC leaning
35072 Oakville		LPC leaning
35073 Oakville North–Burlington		LPC leaning
35074 Oshawa		CPC leaning
35075 Ottawa Centre		LPC likely
35076 Orléans		LPC safe
35077 Ottawa South		LPC safe
35078 Ottawa–Vanier		LPC safe
35079 Ottawa West–Nepean		LPC safe
35080 Oxford		CPC safe
35081 Parkdale–High Park		LPC likely
35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka		CPC likely
35083 Perth–Wellington		CPC safe
35084 Peterborough–Kawartha		Toss up LPC/CPC
35085 Pickering–Uxbridge		LPC safe
35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke		CPC safe
35087 Richmond Hill		Toss up LPC/CPC
35088 Carleton		CPC likely
35089 St. Catharines		LPC leaning
35090 Toronto–St. Paul’s		LPC safe
35091 Sarnia–Lambton		CPC safe
35092 Sault Ste. Marie		LPC leaning
35093 Scarborough–Agincourt		LPC likely
35094 Scarborough Centre		LPC safe
35095 Scarborough–Guildwood		LPC safe
35096 Scarborough North		LPC safe
35097 Scarborough–Rouge Park		LPC safe
35098 Scarborough Southwest		LPC safe
35099 Simcoe–Grey		CPC likely
35100 Simcoe North		CPC likely
35101 Spadina–Fort York		LPC likely
35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry		CPC safe
35103 Sudbury		LPC likely
35104 Thornhill		CPC safe
35105 Thunder Bay–Rainy River		LPC leaning
35106 Thunder Bay–Superior North		LPC likely
35107 Timmins–James Bay		NDP safe
35108 Toronto Centre		LPC safe
35109 Toronto–Danforth		LPC likely
35110 University–Rosedale		LPC safe
35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge		LPC likely
35112 Waterloo		LPC safe
35113 Wellington–Halton Hills		CPC safe
35114 Whitby		Toss up LPC/CPC
35115 Willowdale		LPC likely
35116 Windsor–Tecumseh		Toss up LPC/NDP
35117 Windsor West		NDP leaning
35118 York Centre		LPC leaning
35119 York–Simcoe		CPC safe
35120 York South–Weston		LPC safe
35121 Humber River–Black Creek		LPC safe

• Federal Vote Projection
• Federal Seat Projection
• Breakdown of electoral districts
• List of electoral districts

• Toronto
  Beaches–East York Davenport Don Valley East Don Valley North Don Valley West Eglinton–Lawrence Etobicoke Centre Etobicoke–Lakeshore Etobicoke North Parkdale–High Park Toronto–St. Paul's Scarborough–Agincourt Scarborough Centre Scarborough–Guildwood Scarborough North Scarborough–Rouge Park Scarborough Southwest Spadina–Fort York Toronto Centre Toronto–Danforth University–Rosedale Willowdale York Centre York South–Weston Humber River–Black Creek
• GTA-905
  Ajax Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Brampton Centre Brampton East Brampton North Brampton South Brampton West Burlington Durham King–Vaughan Markham–Stouffville Markham–Thornhill Markham–Unionville Milton Mississauga Centre Mississauga East–Cooksville Mississauga–Erin Mills Mississauga–Lakeshore Mississauga–Malton Mississauga–Streetsville Newmarket–Aurora Oakville Oakville North–Burlington Oshawa Pickering–Uxbridge Richmond Hill Thornhill Vaughan–Woodbridge Whitby York–Simcoe
• Ottawa
  Kanata–Carleton Nepean Ottawa Centre Orléans Ottawa South Ottawa–Vanier Ottawa West–Nepean Carleton
• Eastern Ontario
  Bay of Quinte Glengarry–Prescott–Russell Hastings–Lennox and Addington Kingston and the Islands Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry
• Hamilton-Niagara
  Flamborough–Glanbrook Hamilton Centre Hamilton East–Stoney Creek Hamilton Mountain Hamilton West–Ancaster–Dundas Niagara Centre Niagara Falls Niagara West St. Catharines
• Southwestern Ontario
  Brantford–Brant Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound Cambridge Chatham-Kent–Leamington Elgin–Middlesex–London Essex Guelph Haldimand–Norfolk Huron–Bruce Kitchener Centre Kitchener–Conestoga Kitchener South–Hespeler Lambton–Kent–Middlesex London–Fanshawe London North Centre London West Oxford Perth–Wellington Sarnia–Lambton Waterloo Wellington–Halton Hills Windsor–Tecumseh Windsor West
• Centre of Ontario
  Barrie–Innisfil Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte Dufferin–Caledon Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock Northumberland–Peterborough South Peterborough–Kawartha Simcoe–Grey Simcoe North
• Northern Ontario
  Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing Kenora Nickel Belt Nipissing–Timiskaming Parry Sound–Muskoka Sault Ste. Marie Sudbury Thunder Bay–Rainy River Thunder Bay–Superior North Timmins–James Bay

• 338 Home▼
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• Canada Map
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