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Canada

Edmonton Centre


MP: Eleanor Olszewski (LPC)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
LPC likely

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Centre


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 48% ± 8% 30.6% 31.2% 44.3% CPC 34% ± 8% 42.6% 32.6% 37.9% NDP 16% ± 5% 21.4% 30.4% 15.5% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.8% 4.9% 0.9% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Edmonton-Centre


Edmonton Centre 48% ± 8%▲ LPC 34% ± 8% CPC 16% ± 5% NDP LPC 2025 44.3% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Centre 99%▲ LPC 1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Centre

LPC 48% ± 8% CPC 34% ± 8% NDP 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 43% NDP 28% LPC 25% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 44% NDP 26% LPC 25% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 44% NDP 26% LPC 26% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 43% LPC 27% NDP 26% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 42% LPC 29% NDP 25% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 42% LPC 29% NDP 24% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 42% LPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 39% LPC 35% NDP 21% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 38% LPC 35% NDP 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 39% CPC 36% NDP 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 46% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 15% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 15% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 13% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 49% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 11% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 16% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 16% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 44% CPC 37% NDP 16% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 16% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 48% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Centre

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader