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Edmonton Centre


MP elect: Eleanor Olszewski (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC leaning

Candidates | Edmonton Centre


Liberal Eleanor Olszewski
Conservative Sayid Ahmed
NDP Trisha Estabrooks
PPC John Ross
Marxist-Leninist Merryn Edwards
Christian Heritage David John Bohonos
Communist Naomi Rankin
Independent Gregory Bell
Independent Ronald Billingsley Jr.
Independent Mike Dutcher

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Centre 44% ± 6% LPC 38% ± 6% CPC 16% ± 4% NDP LPC 2025 44.3% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Centre 90% LPC 10% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Centre

LPC 44% ± 6% CPC 38% ± 6% NDP 16% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 43% NDP 28% LPC 25% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 44% NDP 26% LPC 25% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 44% NDP 26% LPC 26% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 43% LPC 27% NDP 26% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 42% LPC 29% NDP 25% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 42% LPC 29% NDP 24% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 42% LPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 39% LPC 35% NDP 21% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 38% LPC 35% NDP 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 39% CPC 36% NDP 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 46% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 15% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 15% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 13% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 49% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 11% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 47% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 46% CPC 38% NDP 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 16% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 42% CPC 39% NDP 16% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Centre

LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Centre



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 44% ± 6% 30.6% 31.2% 44.3% CPC 38% ± 6% 42.6% 32.6% 37.9% NDP 16% ± 4% 21.4% 30.4% 15.5% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.8% 4.9% 0.9% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.