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Recent electoral history | Edmonton Centre


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 45% ± 7% 30.6% 31.2% 44.3% CPC 36% ± 7% 42.6% 32.6% 37.9% NDP 16% ± 6% 21.4% 30.4% 15.5% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.8% 4.9% 0.9%

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338Canada Edmonton Centre projection

Latest update: February 15, 2026

Edmonton Centre 38% 53% 45% ± 7% LPC 29% 43% 36% ± 7% CPC 10% 21% 16% ± 6% NDP LPC 2025 44.3% 338Canada vote projection | February 15, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Centre 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 15, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Centre

LPC 45% ± 7% CPC 36% ± 7% NDP 16% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND February 15, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 43% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 15% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 44% CPC 38% NDP 16% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 44% CPC 37% NDP 16% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 16% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 48% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 48% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 48% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 48% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 18% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 46% CPC 33% NDP 18% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 46% CPC 33% NDP 19% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 19% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 44% CPC 34% NDP 20% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 43% CPC 34% NDP 20% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 20% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 43% CPC 34% NDP 21% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 44% CPC 32% NDP 21% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 44% CPC 32% NDP 21% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 44% CPC 32% NDP 21% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 44% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 43% CPC 33% NDP 21% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 42% CPC 34% NDP 22% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 22% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 22% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 42% CPC 33% NDP 22% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC 41% CPC 33% NDP 22% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 43% CPC 32% NDP 22% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 45% CPC 35% NDP 17% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 16% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 45% CPC 36% NDP 16% 2026-02-15

Odds of winning | Edmonton Centre

LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 15, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2026-02-15


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Demographic data | Edmonton Centre

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 85.0% English 2.1% Tagalog 1.0% Spanish 0.9% Mandarin 0.8% Arabic 0.8% Cantonese 0.7% SomaliEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 11.9% No diploma 24.1% High school 7.2% Trade 17.5% College / Cégep 3.5% Some university 23.4% Bachelor's 12.3% PostgraduateEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 67.6% Not visible minority 32.4% Visible minority 10.1% Black 6.2% Filipino 4.1% South Asian 4.0% Chinese 1.9% Southeast Asian 1.8% Latin AmericanEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 43.9% No Religion 20.3% Catholic 8.9% Christian (n.o.s.) 5.6% Muslim 3.4% Orthodox 2.6% Other Christian 2.3% United Church 2.0% AnglicanEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 60.5% Renter 39.5% OwnerEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 58.5% Employed 31.9% Not in labour force 9.5% UnemployedEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 91.4% Non-Indigenous 8.6% Indigenous identity 4.4% First Nations 3.7% Metis 0.2% Multiple 0.1% Inuk 0.1% OthersEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 74.1% Car / truck / van 12.7% Public transit 8.9% Walking 2.5% Other 1.8% BicycleEdmonton CentreSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.