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Edmonton Centre



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Edmonton Centre


Liberal Eleanor Olszewski
Conservative Sayid Ahmed
NDP Trisha Estabrooks
PPC John Ross
Marxist-Leninist Merryn Edwards
Christian Heritage David John Bohonos
Communist Naomi Rankin
Independent Gregory Bell
Independent Ronald Billingsley Jr.
Independent Mike Dutcher

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Centre 47% ± 8% LPC 37% ± 8% CPC 12% ± 5% NDP CPC 2021 32.6% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Centre 94%▲ LPC 6%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Centre

LPC 47% ± 8% CPC 37% ± 8% NDP 12% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 38% LPC 35% NDP 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 39% CPC 36% NDP 20% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 46% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 47% CPC 34% NDP 15% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 15% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 14% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 47% CPC 36% NDP 13% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 13% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 49% CPC 37% NDP 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 49% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 11% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 48% CPC 36% NDP 11% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 47% CPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Centre

LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 69% CPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Centre



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 30.6% 31.2% 47% ± 8% CPC 42.6% 32.6% 37% ± 8% NDP 21.4% 30.4% 12% ± 5% PPC 1.8% 4.9% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.7% 0.1% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.