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Canada

Burlington



Latest projection: March 16, 2025
LPC leaning
Burlington 44% ± 8%▲ LPC 41% ± 8%▼ CPC 7% ± 4%▼ NDP 5% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 45.7% 338Canada vote projection | March 16, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burlington 70%▲ LPC 30%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 16, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burlington

LPC 44% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 4% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Burlington 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC March 16, 2025 2024-10-13 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 6% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 6% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 7% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 46% LPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 7% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 46% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 6% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 45% LPC 33% NDP 12% GPC 6% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 6% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 6% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 48% LPC 30% NDP 13% GPC 6% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 48% LPC 30% NDP 13% GPC 6% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 14% GPC 6% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 14% GPC 6% 2024-12-29 2025-01-05 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 14% GPC 6% 2025-01-05 2025-01-12 CPC 50% LPC 29% NDP 13% GPC 6% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 49% LPC 30% NDP 13% GPC 6% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 13% GPC 6% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 46% LPC 34% NDP 12% GPC 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 44% LPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 9% GPC 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 42% LPC 42% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 43% CPC 41% NDP 8% GPC 5% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 42% CPC 42% NDP 8% GPC 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 44% CPC 41% NDP 7% GPC 5% 2025-03-16 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Burlington

LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 16, 2025 2024-10-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-29 2025-01-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-05 2025-01-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Burlington



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.6% 45.7% 44% ± 8% CPC 33.2% 37.3% 41% ± 8% NDP 10.2% 10.9% 7% ± 4% GPC 6.6% 2.0% 5% ± 4% PPC 1.3% 4.0% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.