logo
Canada

Burlington



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Burlington


Liberal Karina Gould*
Conservative Emily Brown
NDP Michael Beauchemin
Green Kyle Hutton
PPC Michael Bator
Rhinoceros Paul Harper

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Burlington 53% ± 8%▲ LPC 37% ± 8%▼ CPC 4% ± 3% NDP LPC 2021 45.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burlington 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burlington

LPC 53% ± 8% CPC 37% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Burlington 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 42% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 44% CPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 47% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 47% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 48% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 48% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 48% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 48% CPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 51% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 51% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Burlington

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Burlington



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.6% 45.7% 53% ± 8% CPC 33.2% 37.3% 37% ± 8% NDP 10.2% 10.9% 4% ± 3% GPC 6.6% 2.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.3% 4.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.