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Canada

Terrebonne


MP elect: Tatiana Auguste (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
Toss up LPC/BQ

Candidates | Terrebonne


Liberal Tatiana Auguste
Conservative Adrienne Charles
NDP Maxime Beaudoin
Green Benjamin Rankin
Bloc Quebecois Nathalie Sinclair Desgagne*
PPC Maria Cantore

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Terrebonne 39% ± 6% LPC 39% ± 6% BQ 18% ± 4% CPC 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 38.7% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Terrebonne 51%▲ LPC 49%▼ BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Terrebonne

LPC 39% ± 6% CPC 18% ± 4% BQ 39% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Terrebonne 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 50% LPC 17% CPC 16% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 49% LPC 17% CPC 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 48% LPC 17% CPC 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 48% LPC 18% CPC 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 46% LPC 21% CPC 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 45% LPC 23% CPC 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 43% LPC 24% CPC 16% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 41% LPC 27% CPC 15% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 41% LPC 27% CPC 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 40% LPC 29% CPC 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 39% LPC 31% CPC 15% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 38% LPC 31% CPC 15% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 38% LPC 31% CPC 15% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 38% LPC 31% CPC 15% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 39% LPC 31% CPC 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 39% LPC 31% CPC 14% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 38% LPC 34% CPC 14% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 37% LPC 34% CPC 14% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 37% LPC 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 36% LPC 35% CPC 14% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 36% BQ 36% CPC 15% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 36% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 36% LPC 36% CPC 14% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 37% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 38% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 39% BQ 35% CPC 14% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 38% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 38% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 38% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 39% BQ 36% CPC 14% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 39% BQ 36% CPC 13% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 38% BQ 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 13% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 14% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 14% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 40% LPC 38% CPC 14% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 40% LPC 38% CPC 14% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 40% LPC 38% CPC 14% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 40% LPC 38% CPC 14% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 41% LPC 37% CPC 14% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 40% LPC 37% CPC 14% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 40% LPC 37% CPC 15% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 15% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 40% LPC 36% CPC 15% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 15% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 40% LPC 37% CPC 15% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 18% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Terrebonne

LPC 51% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 49% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 54% BQ 46% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 50% BQ 50% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 66% BQ 34% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 67% BQ 33% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 66% BQ 34% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 58% BQ 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 58% BQ 42% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% BQ 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 50% BQ 50% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 51% BQ 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Terrebonne



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 39% ± 6% 28.8% 29.4% 38.7% BQ 39% ± 6% 51.0% 41.4% 38.7% CPC 18% ± 4% 7.5% 10.5% 18.2% NDP 3% ± 2% 7.6% 6.6% 2.6% GPC 1% ± 1% 3.7% 1.4% 1.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.7% 2.7% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.