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Canada


Sherbrooke (federal)


MP: Élisabeth Brière (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

Toss up LPC/BQ
Sherbrooke 28% ± 7% 28% ± 6% 18% ± 5% 18% ± 5% 6% ± 4% LPC 2021 37.52% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Sherbrooke 55%▲ 45%▼ <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sherbrooke

LPC 28% ± 6% CPC 18% ± 5% NDP 18% ± 5% GPC 6% ± 4% BQ 28% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Sherbrooke 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Sherbrooke

LPC 45% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 55% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Sherbrooke



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 29.8% 29.3% 37.52% 28% ± 6% BQ 20.4% 25.9% 28.96% 28% ± 7% NDP 37.4% 28.3% 13.92% 18% ± 5% CPC 9.4% 10.7% 12.87% 18% ± 5% GPC 2.0% 4.5% 2.87% 6% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 2% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0% ± 0%