338Canada | Miramichi–Grand Lake (New Brunswick federal district)





13006 - Miramichi–Grand Lake

Province: New Brunswick
Population (2016): 57,405 residents
Population density: 3.4 pop./km² (rank: 301 of 338)
Median household income: $52 611 (rank: 312 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Jake Stewart (CPC)



Latest projection (January 23, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Miramichi–Grand Lake

Last update: January 23, 2022






Odds of winning | Miramichi–Grand Lake

Last update: January 23, 2022









Electoral history of Miramichi–Grand Lake



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Miramichi–Grand Lake



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Miramichi–Grand Lake


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner
35.5% ± 7.4% 43.8% Outside confidence interval
38.7% ± 7.6% 39.3% Within confidence interval
11.8% ± 4.5% 7.1% Outside confidence interval
10.7% ± 5.2% 5.7% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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