338Canada | Miramichi–Grand Lake (New Brunswick federal district)




13006 - Miramichi–Grand Lake

Province: New Brunswick
Population (2016): 57,405 residents
Population density: 3.4 pop./km² (rank: 301 of 338)
Median household income: $52 611 (rank: 312 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Pat Finnigan (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Miramichi–Grand Lake


Lisa Harris
Jake Stewart
Bruce Potter
Patty Deitch
Ron Nowlan





Federal vote projection | Miramichi–Grand Lake

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Miramichi–Grand Lake

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Miramichi–Grand Lake



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Miramichi–Grand Lake



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Miramichi–Grand Lake


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
33.3% ± 8.7% 36.8% Within confidence interval
34.3% ± 8.8% 35.7% Within confidence interval
11.2% ± 5.1% 11.3% Within confidence interval
11.9% ± 5.2% 8.3% Within confidence interval
8.5% ± 5.0% 3.4% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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