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Canada

Pierrefonds—Dollard


MP elect: Sameer Zuberi (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Pierrefonds—Dollard


Liberal Sameer Zuberi*
Conservative Tanya Toledano
NDP Kakou Richard Kouassi
Bloc Quebecois Katrina Archambault
PPC Gordon Nash
No Affiliation Eyad Mobayed
Independent Shahid Khan

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Pierrefonds—Dollard 60% ± 6% LPC 31% ± 6% CPC 5% ± 3% BQ 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 60.1% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pierrefonds—Dollard >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC 60% ± 6% CPC 31% ± 6% BQ 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Pierrefonds—Dollard 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 35% CPC 35% BQ 10% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 35% LPC 35% BQ 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 36% CPC 35% BQ 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 37% CPC 34% BQ 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 41% CPC 32% BQ 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 44% CPC 31% BQ 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 46% CPC 31% BQ 8% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 49% CPC 29% BQ 7% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 50% CPC 29% BQ 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 52% CPC 28% BQ 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 54% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 27% BQ 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 60% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 61% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 62% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 62% CPC 25% BQ 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 25% BQ 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 62% CPC 24% BQ 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 61% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 60% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 60% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 60% CPC 25% BQ 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 58% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 59% CPC 26% BQ 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 58% CPC 27% BQ 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 28% BQ 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 56% CPC 28% BQ 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 56% CPC 29% BQ 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 56% CPC 29% BQ 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 57% CPC 28% BQ 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 60% CPC 31% BQ 5% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Pierrefonds—Dollard



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 60% ± 6% 56.4% 56.0% 60.1% CPC 31% ± 6% 17.7% 20.8% 30.5% BQ 5% ± 3% 8.1% 7.9% 5.4% NDP 3% ± 2% 10.3% 11.5% 2.8% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.3% 3.7% 0.6% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.