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Canada

Pierrefonds—Dollard



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
LPC leaning
Pierrefonds—Dollard 38% ± 7%▼ LPC 33% ± 7%▲ CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 10% ± 4% BQ LPC 2021 56.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pierrefonds—Dollard 83%▼ LPC 17%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC 38% ± 7% CPC 33% ± 7% NDP 15% ± 5% BQ 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Pierrefonds—Dollard 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 46% CPC 28% NDP 13% BQ 9% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 46% CPC 28% NDP 14% BQ 10% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 47% CPC 27% NDP 14% BQ 10% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 47% CPC 28% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 45% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 46% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 40% CPC 33% NDP 15% BQ 9% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 39% CPC 33% NDP 15% BQ 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 40% CPC 33% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 40% CPC 33% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 40% CPC 32% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 40% CPC 32% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 42% CPC 31% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 42% CPC 31% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 41% CPC 32% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 42% CPC 32% NDP 14% BQ 8% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 43% CPC 31% NDP 14% BQ 8% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 42% CPC 31% NDP 15% BQ 8% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 42% CPC 31% NDP 15% BQ 9% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 39% CPC 33% NDP 15% BQ 9% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 38% CPC 33% NDP 16% BQ 9% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 37% CPC 33% NDP 17% BQ 9% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 38% CPC 32% NDP 17% BQ 9% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 39% CPC 31% NDP 16% BQ 9% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 40% CPC 31% NDP 16% BQ 9% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 39% CPC 31% NDP 16% BQ 10% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 39% CPC 32% NDP 15% BQ 10% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 38% CPC 33% NDP 15% BQ 10% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Pierrefonds—Dollard



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 56.4% 56.0% 38% ± 7% CPC 17.7% 20.8% 33% ± 7% NDP 10.3% 11.5% 15% ± 5% BQ 8.1% 7.9% 10% ± 4% PPC 1.3% 3.7% 2% ± 2% GPC 5.2% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.