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Canada

Pierrefonds—Dollard


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
LPC likely
Pierrefonds—Dollard 40% ± 7% LPC 32% ± 7%▼ CPC 14% ± 5% NDP 9% ± 4% BQ LPC 2021 56.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pierrefonds—Dollard 93%▲ LPC 7%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC 40% ± 7% CPC 32% ± 7% NDP 14% ± 5% BQ 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Pierrefonds—Dollard 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 46% CPC 28% NDP 13% BQ 9% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 46% CPC 28% NDP 14% BQ 10% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 47% CPC 27% NDP 14% BQ 10% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 47% CPC 28% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 45% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 46% CPC 30% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 40% CPC 33% NDP 15% BQ 9% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 39% CPC 33% NDP 15% BQ 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 40% CPC 33% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 40% CPC 33% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 40% CPC 32% NDP 14% BQ 9% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | Pierrefonds—Dollard

LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | Pierrefonds—Dollard



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 56.4% 56.0% 40% ± 7% CPC 17.7% 20.8% 32% ± 7% NDP 10.3% 11.5% 14% ± 5% BQ 8.1% 7.9% 9% ± 4% PPC 1.3% 3.7% 2% ± 2% GPC 5.2% 0.0% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.