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Canada


Don Valley East (federal)


MP: Michael Coteau (LPC)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

LPC likely hold
Don Valley East 47% ± 7% 33% ± 7% 15% ± 5% 4% ± 3% LPC 2021 59.46% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Don Valley East 99% 1% <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Don Valley East

LPC 47% ± 7% CPC 33% ± 7% NDP 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Don Valley East 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Don Valley East

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Don Valley East



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 57.8% 59.8% 59.46% 47% ± 7% CPC 29.2% 23.9% 22.27% 33% ± 7% NDP 10.4% 11.0% 12.89% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.3% 5.37% 4% ± 3% GPC 2.6% 4.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%