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Canada

Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk


Liberal Rhode-Malaure Pierre
Conservative Gérard Deltell*
NDP Colette Ducharme
Bloc Quebecois Martin Trudel
PPC Anthony Leclerc

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 55% ± 8%▼ CPC 25% ± 6%▲ LPC 13% ± 4% BQ 5% ± 3% NDP CPC 2021 52.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk

LPC 25% ± 6% CPC 55% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 13% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 55% BQ 19% LPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% BQ 18% LPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 53% BQ 18% LPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 53% LPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 53% LPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 53% LPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 53% BQ 18% LPC 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 53% BQ 18% LPC 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% LPC 20% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% LPC 21% BQ 18% NDP 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 51% LPC 21% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 52% LPC 21% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 53% LPC 21% BQ 16% NDP 3% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 53% LPC 21% BQ 16% NDP 3% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 53% LPC 22% BQ 16% NDP 3% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 54% LPC 22% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 54% LPC 24% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 57% LPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 59% LPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 59% LPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 60% LPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 60% LPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 61% LPC 22% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 57% LPC 25% BQ 14% NDP 2% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 57% LPC 24% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 55% LPC 25% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 44.9% 52.0% 55% ± 8% LPC 20.6% 17.3% 25% ± 6% BQ 22.1% 20.1% 13% ± 4% NDP 6.7% 5.3% 5% ± 3% PPC 2.4% 2.1% 2% ± 3% GPC 3.3% 1.4% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.