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Canada

Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk


MP: Gérard Deltell (CPC)

Latest projection: June 1, 2025
CPC likely

Recent electoral history | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk


2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 45% ± 8% 44.9% 52.0% 44.9% LPC 33% ± 7% 20.6% 17.3% 33.0% BQ 19% ± 5% 22.1% 20.1% 18.9% NDP 2% ± 2% 6.7% 5.3% 2.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.4% 2.1% 0.8% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.



Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 45% ± 8% CPC 33% ± 7% LPC 19% ± 5% BQ CPC 2025 44.9% 338Canada vote projection | June 1, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 98%▼ CPC 2%▲ LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | June 1, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk

LPC 33% ± 7% CPC 45% ± 8% BQ 19% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 58% BQ 23% LPC 9% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 58% BQ 23% LPC 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 58% BQ 22% LPC 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 57% BQ 23% LPC 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 56% BQ 22% LPC 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 56% BQ 21% LPC 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 56% BQ 20% LPC 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 54% BQ 19% LPC 15% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 55% BQ 19% LPC 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% BQ 18% LPC 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 53% BQ 18% LPC 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 53% LPC 18% BQ 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 53% LPC 18% BQ 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 53% LPC 18% BQ 18% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 53% BQ 18% LPC 18% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 53% BQ 18% LPC 18% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% LPC 20% BQ 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% LPC 21% BQ 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 51% LPC 21% BQ 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 52% LPC 21% BQ 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 53% LPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 53% LPC 21% BQ 16% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 53% LPC 22% BQ 16% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 54% LPC 22% BQ 15% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 55% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 54% LPC 24% BQ 14% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 13% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 13% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 57% LPC 22% BQ 13% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 59% LPC 23% BQ 13% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 59% LPC 23% BQ 13% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 60% LPC 22% BQ 13% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 60% LPC 22% BQ 13% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 61% LPC 22% BQ 13% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 57% LPC 25% BQ 14% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 57% LPC 24% BQ 13% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 55% LPC 25% BQ 13% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 55% LPC 25% BQ 13% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 55% LPC 25% BQ 13% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 56% LPC 24% BQ 13% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 56% LPC 24% BQ 14% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 55% LPC 24% BQ 14% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 56% LPC 24% BQ 14% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 57% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 57% LPC 23% BQ 14% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 57% LPC 22% BQ 14% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 57% LPC 23% BQ 13% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk

LPC 2% CPC 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader