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Recent electoral history | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 38% ± 7% 44.9% 52.0% 44.9% LPC 30% ± 6% 20.6% 17.3% 33.0% BQ 24% ± 6% 22.1% 20.1% 18.9% NDP 5% ± 3% 6.7% 5.3% 2.4%

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338Canada Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk projection

Latest update: January 18, 2026

Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 32% 45% 38% ± 7% CPC 24% 36% 30% ± 6% LPC 19% 30% 24% ± 6% BQ 2% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 44.9% 338Canada vote projection | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | January 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk

LPC 30% ± 6% CPC 38% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 24% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 57% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 57% LPC 22% BQ 14% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 57% LPC 23% BQ 13% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 45% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 44% LPC 33% BQ 19% NDP 2% GPC 0% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 44% LPC 33% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 44% LPC 34% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 42% LPC 35% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 41% LPC 37% BQ 18% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 41% LPC 37% BQ 18% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 41% LPC 37% BQ 18% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 40% LPC 38% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 40% LPC 38% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 40% LPC 37% BQ 19% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 41% LPC 36% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 41% LPC 35% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 41% LPC 35% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 41% LPC 34% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 42% LPC 34% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 42% LPC 34% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 43% LPC 33% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 44% LPC 33% BQ 20% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 44% LPC 32% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 43% LPC 32% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 44% LPC 32% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 44% LPC 32% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 44% LPC 32% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 45% LPC 31% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 44% LPC 31% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 44% LPC 31% BQ 21% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 42% LPC 32% BQ 23% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 42% LPC 31% BQ 24% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 41% LPC 31% BQ 24% NDP 3% GPC 0% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 39% LPC 30% BQ 24% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 39% LPC 30% BQ 24% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 39% LPC 30% BQ 24% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 38% LPC 30% BQ 24% NDP 5% GPC 1% 2026-01-18

Odds of winning | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk

LPC 4% CPC 96% NDP <1% BQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ January 18, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% BQ <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 97% LPC 3% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 95% LPC 5% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 88% LPC 12% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 79% LPC 21% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 73% LPC 27% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 71% LPC 29% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 68% LPC 32% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 63% LPC 37% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 71% LPC 29% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 79% LPC 21% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 84% LPC 16% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 87% LPC 13% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 90% LPC 10% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 92% LPC 8% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 94% LPC 6% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 97% LPC 3% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 98% LPC 2% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 95% LPC 5% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 95% LPC 5% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 96% LPC 4% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 96% LPC 4% BQ <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-18


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Demographic data | Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 97.0% French 1.1% English 0.7% Spanish 0.3% Portuguese 0.3% Arabic 0.1% Algonquian 0.1% InnuLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.1% No diploma 15.8% High school 20.2% Trade 23.3% College / Cégep 4.2% Some university 20.2% Bachelor's 10.2% PostgraduateLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 94.2% Not visible minority 5.8% Visible minority 2.8% Black 1.0% Latin American 1.0% Arab 0.4% Chinese 0.3% Southeast Asian 0.1% South AsianLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 62.4% Catholic 27.7% No Religion 5.7% Christian (n.o.s.) 1.8% Muslim 0.6% Other Christian 0.4% Pentecostal 0.3% Orthodox 0.3% BaptistLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 64.5% Owner 35.4% Renter 0.2% Community housingLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 64.1% Employed 32.1% Not in labour force 3.8% UnemployedLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 96.5% Non-Indigenous 3.5% Indigenous identity 2.6% First Nations 0.7% Metis 0.1% OthersLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 88.7% Car / truck / van 6.1% Public transit 3.5% Walking 1.2% Other 0.5% BicycleLouis-Saint-Laurent—AkiawenhrahkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.