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Canada

West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country


Liberal Patrick Weiler*
Conservative Keith Roy
NDP Jager Rosenberg
Green Lauren Greenlaw
PPC Peyman Askari
Rhinoceros Gordon Jeffrey

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country 52% ± 8%▼ LPC 33% ± 7%▲ CPC 8% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 33.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country

LPC 52% ± 8% CPC 33% ± 7% NDP 8% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 37% CPC 36% NDP 17% GPC 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 39% CPC 37% NDP 15% GPC 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 44% CPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 45% CPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 45% CPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 45% CPC 37% NDP 11% GPC 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 11% GPC 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 46% CPC 36% NDP 10% GPC 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 49% CPC 35% NDP 9% GPC 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 50% CPC 35% NDP 8% GPC 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 50% CPC 35% NDP 8% GPC 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% CPC 35% NDP 8% GPC 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% CPC 35% NDP 8% GPC 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 8% GPC 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 8% GPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% CPC 32% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 54% CPC 32% NDP 8% GPC 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 8% GPC 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 8% GPC 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 8% GPC 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% CPC 33% NDP 8% GPC 3% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 91% CPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 34.0% 33.0% 52% ± 8% CPC 25.5% 29.1% 33% ± 7% NDP 14.5% 26.9% 8% ± 4% GPC 24.0% 6.8% 3% ± 3% PPC 1.6% 3.8% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.