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Edmonton Riverbend


MP elect: Matt Jeneroux (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Edmonton Riverbend


Liberal Mark Minenko
Conservative Matt Jeneroux*
NDP Susan Cake
PPC Dwayne Dudiak

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Riverbend 50% ± 0%▲ CPC 45% ± 0% LPC 4% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 50.3% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Riverbend 90%▲ CPC 10%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Riverbend

LPC 45% ± 0% CPC 50% ± 0% NDP 4% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Riverbend 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 27% NDP 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 47% LPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 45% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 46% CPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 8% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 9% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Riverbend

LPC 10% CPC 90% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Riverbend



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 50% ± 0% 58.7% 45.4% 50.3% LPC 45% ± 0% 22.7% 24.9% 44.8% NDP 4% ± 0% 14.6% 24.4% 4.2% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.3% 4.0% 0.7% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.