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Canada

Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC leaning

Candidates | Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna


Liberal Juliette Sicotte
Conservative Dan Albas*
NDP Harpreet Badohal
Green Louise Lecouffe
PPC Debra Robinson
Canadian Future Gary Suddard

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna 47% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% LPC 7% ± 4% NDP CPC 2021 48.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna 83% CPC 17% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna

LPC 41% ± 8% CPC 47% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 53% LPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 54% LPC 27% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 53% LPC 32% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 53% LPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 53% LPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 53% LPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 53% LPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 53% LPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 50% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 51% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 50% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 50% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 50% LPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 50% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 48% LPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna

LPC 17% CPC 83% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 48.6% 48.4% 47% ± 8% LPC 28.2% 23.2% 41% ± 8% NDP 13.8% 18.9% 7% ± 4% GPC 7.6% 2.7% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.7% 6.8% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.