338Canada | York Centre (Ontario federal district)




35118 - York Centre

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 104,320 residents
Population density: 2964 pop./km² (rank: 52 of 338)
Median household income: $61 069 (rank: 247 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Ya’ara Saks (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | York Centre


Ya'ara Saks
Joel Yakov Etienne
Kemal Ahmed
Nixon Nguyen





Federal vote projection | York Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | York Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of York Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | York Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


York Centre


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
46.1% ± 9.2% 50.2% Within confidence interval
38.2% ± 8.9% 36.7% Within confidence interval
10.0% ± 4.2% 9.8% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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