logo
logo
Canada

Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore



Latest projection: March 9, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore 36% ± 7%▲ CPC 33% ± 8%▼ LPC 23% ± 6%▲ NDP 5% ± 6%▼ PPC LPC 2021 30.9% 338Canada vote projection | March 9, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore 68%▲ CPC 32%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 9, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore

LPC 33% ± 8% CPC 36% ± 7% NDP 23% ± 6% PPC 5% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP PPC March 9, 2025 2024-10-13 CPC 38% NDP 30% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 38% NDP 30% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 37% NDP 31% LPC 22% PPC 6% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 37% NDP 31% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 37% NDP 30% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 36% NDP 31% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 38% NDP 31% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 38% NDP 31% LPC 21% PPC 5% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 38% NDP 32% LPC 20% PPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 20% PPC 5% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 38% NDP 34% LPC 19% PPC 5% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 38% NDP 34% LPC 19% PPC 5% 2024-12-29 2025-01-05 CPC 38% NDP 35% LPC 18% PPC 5% 2025-01-05 2025-01-12 CPC 39% NDP 33% LPC 19% PPC 5% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 39% NDP 32% LPC 21% PPC 5% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 39% NDP 32% LPC 21% PPC 5% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 37% NDP 30% LPC 24% PPC 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 36% NDP 28% LPC 27% PPC 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 35% LPC 31% NDP 25% PPC 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 35% LPC 34% NDP 23% PPC 5% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 35% LPC 34% NDP 22% PPC 6% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 36% LPC 33% NDP 23% PPC 5% 2025-03-09 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ New LPC leader

Odds of winning | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore

LPC 32% CPC 68% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 9, 2025 2024-10-13 CPC 94% NDP 6% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 92% NDP 8% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 88% NDP 12% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 87% NDP 13% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 92% NDP 8% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 84% NDP 16% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 82% NDP 18% LPC <1% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 76% NDP 24% LPC <1% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC <1% 2024-12-29 2025-01-05 CPC 76% NDP 24% LPC <1% 2025-01-05 2025-01-12 CPC 88% NDP 12% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 90% NDP 10% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 89% NDP 11% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 89% NDP 10% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 89% NDP 7% LPC 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 78% LPC 21% NDP 1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ New LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 28.9% 27.0% 36% ± 7% LPC 32.8% 30.9% 33% ± 8% NDP 32.1% 30.3% 23% ± 6% PPC 2.2% 10.3% 5% ± 6% GPC 3.8% 1.2% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.