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Canada

Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
CPC leaning
Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore 38% ± 7% CPC 33% ± 7%▲ NDP 20% ± 5% LPC 5% ± 6% PPC 3% ± 2% GPC LPC 2021 30.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore 82%▼ CPC 18%▲ NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore

LPC 20% ± 5% CPC 38% ± 7% NDP 33% ± 7% PPC 5% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP PPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 24% PPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 24% PPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 24% PPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 24% PPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 36% NDP 31% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 36% NDP 31% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 35% NDP 33% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 35% NDP 32% LPC 23% PPC 6% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 35% NDP 32% LPC 23% PPC 6% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 34% NDP 32% LPC 24% PPC 6% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 36% NDP 30% LPC 24% PPC 6% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 36% NDP 30% LPC 24% PPC 6% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 38% NDP 29% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 38% NDP 29% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 39% NDP 29% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 39% NDP 30% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 38% NDP 30% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 38% NDP 30% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 37% NDP 31% LPC 22% PPC 6% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 37% NDP 31% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 37% NDP 30% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 36% NDP 31% LPC 23% PPC 5% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 38% NDP 31% LPC 22% PPC 5% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 38% NDP 31% LPC 21% PPC 5% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 38% NDP 32% LPC 20% PPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 38% NDP 33% LPC 20% PPC 5% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore

LPC <1% CPC 82% NDP 18% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 76% NDP 24% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 74% NDP 26% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 78% NDP 22% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 78% NDP 22% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 81% NDP 19% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 83% NDP 17% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 82% NDP 18% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 69% NDP 31% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 87% NDP 13% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 86% NDP 14% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 97% NDP 3% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 96% NDP 4% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 96% NDP 4% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 94% NDP 6% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 92% NDP 8% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 88% NDP 12% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 87% NDP 13% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 91% NDP 9% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 92% NDP 8% LPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 84% NDP 16% LPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 82% NDP 18% LPC <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 32.8% 30.9% 20% ± 5% NDP 32.1% 30.3% 33% ± 7% CPC 28.9% 27.0% 38% ± 7% PPC 2.2% 10.3% 5% ± 6% GPC 3.8% 1.2% 3% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.