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Canada


York Centre (federal)


MP: Ya’ara Saks (LPC)


Latest projection: March 19, 2023

LPC leaning hold
York Centre 43% ± 8% LPC 40% ± 8% CPC 13% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 3% PPC LPC 2021 47.31% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50% 100% York Centre 71% LPC 29% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 19, 2023


Popular vote projection | York Centre

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 40% ± 8% NDP 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | York Centre 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | York Centre

LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | York Centre



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.9% 50.2% 47.31% 43% ± 8% CPC 44.0% 36.7% 37.74% 40% ± 8% NDP 7.3% 9.8% 10.19% 13% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 4.76% 3% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 1.8% 3.2% 0.0% 1% ± 1%