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Quebec

78 federal districts
Latest update: October 18, 2026

Quebec 41% 51% 46% ± 5% LPC 23% 30% 27% ± 4% ▲ BQ 14% 21% 17% ± 4% ▼ CPC 3% 9% 6% ± 3% NDP 338Canada federal vote projection | October 18, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Quebec, 78 federal districts 50 ▲ [42-63] LPC 20 ▲ [9-26] BQ 8 ▼ [4-11] CPC 0 ▼ [0-1] NDP 338Canada seat projection | October 18, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Federal Projection | Quebec

Federal Seat Projection | Quebec


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List of districts | Quebec
Latest update: October 18, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
L LPC likely
Sebastien Lemire
B BQ likely
Melanie Joly
L LPC safe
Angelo Iacono
L LPC safe
L LPC safe
Jason Groleau
C CPC safe
B BQ leaning
Steeve Lavoie
L LPC likely
B BQ likely
C CPC likely
Yves-Francois Blanchet
B BQ leaning
B BQ leaning
Abdelhaq Sari
L LPC safe
Louis Villeneuve
L LPC safe
Alexandra Mendes
L LPC safe
C Toss up LPC/CPC
L LPC safe
Daniel Gobeil
L LPC safe
Marianne Dandurand
L LPC safe
C CPC leaning
B BQ likely
L LPC safe
Martin Champoux
B BQ likely
B Toss up LPC/BQ
Steven MacKinnon
L LPC safe
Marie-Gabrielle Menard
L LPC safe
Eric St-Pierre
L LPC safe
Greg Fergus
L LPC safe
Gabriel Ste-Marie
B BQ likely
Mario Simard
B BQ likely
Mario Beaulieu
B Toss up LPC/BQ
Jacques Ramsay
L LPC likely
Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe
B BQ likely
Francis Scarpaleggia
L LPC safe
L LPC safe
Marie-Helene Gaudreau
B BQ leaning
LPC safe
Faycal El-Khoury
L LPC safe
Timothy Watchorn
L LPC likely
Jacques Gourde
C CPC leaning
Sherry Romanado
L LPC safe
Natilien Joseph
L LPC likely
Joel Lightbound
L LPC safe
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Carlos Leitao
L LPC safe
C CPC safe
Jean-Denis Garon
B Toss up LPC/BQ
Anthony Housefather
L LPC safe
Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba
L LPC safe
Luc Theriault
B BQ likely
Gabriel Hardy
C Toss up LPC/CPC/BQ
L LPC safe
Rachel Bendayan
L LPC safe
Marjorie Michel
L LPC safe
B Toss up LPC/BQ
Sameer Zuberi
L LPC safe
Sophie Chatel
L LPC safe
C CPC likely
Jean-Yves Duclos
L LPC safe
Patrick Bonin
B Toss up LPC/BQ
Éric Lefebvre
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Maxime Blanchette-Joncas
B Toss up LPC/BQ
Linda Lapointe
L LPC safe
Rheal Fortin
B BQ leaning
Toss up LPC/NDP
BQ leaning
Christine Normandin
B BQ leaning
Emmanuella Lambropoulos
L LPC safe
Patricia Lattanzio
L LPC safe
Francois-Philippe Champagne
L LPC safe
Andreanne Larouche
B LPC leaning
Elisabeth Briere
L LPC safe
Tatiana Auguste
L LPC leaning
Madeleine Chenette
L LPC safe
Caroline Desrochers
L LPC safe
Peter Schiefke
L LPC safe
L LPC safe
Annie Koutrakis
L LPC safe