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Canada

338Canada federal projection | Quebec, 78 districts


Latest update: July 21, 2024
Quebec 33% ± 5% BQ 25% ± 4% LPC 24% ± 4% CPC 10% ± 3%▼ NDP 3% ± 2% GPC 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Quebec, 78 federal districts 38 [33-44] BQ 25 [19-30] LPC 14 [10-17] CPC 1 [1-3] NDP 338Canada seat projection | July 21, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Quebec

LPC 25% ± 4% CPC 24% ± 4% NDP 10% ± 3% BQ 33% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Quebec 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ July 21, 2024 2021-12-12 LPC 38% BQ 30% CPC 17% NDP 11% 2021-12-12 2021-12-19 LPC 38% BQ 30% CPC 17% NDP 11% 2021-12-19 2022-01-02 LPC 38% BQ 29% CPC 17% NDP 11% 2022-01-02 2022-01-09 LPC 37% BQ 29% CPC 17% NDP 12% 2022-01-09 2022-01-16 LPC 37% BQ 30% CPC 16% NDP 11% 2022-01-16 2022-01-23 LPC 36% BQ 30% CPC 16% NDP 12% 2022-01-23 2022-01-30 LPC 35% BQ 30% CPC 17% NDP 12% 2022-01-30 2022-02-06 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 18% NDP 12% 2022-02-06 2022-02-13 LPC 33% BQ 33% CPC 17% NDP 11% 2022-02-13 2022-02-20 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 11% 2022-02-20 2022-02-27 LPC 33% BQ 32% CPC 18% NDP 10% 2022-02-27 2022-03-06 LPC 34% BQ 32% CPC 18% NDP 10% 2022-03-06 2022-03-13 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 11% 2022-03-13 2022-03-20 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 11% 2022-03-20 2022-03-27 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 11% 2022-03-27 2022-04-03 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 11% 2022-04-03 2022-04-10 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-04-10 2022-04-17 LPC 34% BQ 29% CPC 19% NDP 11% 2022-04-17 2022-04-24 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 19% NDP 11% 2022-04-24 2022-05-01 LPC 35% BQ 28% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-05-01 2022-05-08 LPC 36% BQ 28% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-05-08 2022-05-15 LPC 36% BQ 27% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-05-15 2022-05-22 LPC 35% BQ 27% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2022-05-22 2022-05-29 LPC 35% BQ 28% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2022-05-29 2022-06-05 LPC 35% BQ 27% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2022-06-05 2022-06-12 LPC 35% BQ 28% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2022-06-12 2022-06-19 LPC 35% BQ 28% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2022-06-19 2022-06-26 LPC 35% BQ 28% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2022-06-26 2022-07-03 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 18% NDP 12% 2022-07-03 2022-07-10 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-07-10 2022-07-17 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 17% NDP 13% 2022-07-17 2022-07-24 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2022-07-24 2022-07-31 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-07-31 2022-08-07 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-08-07 2022-08-14 BQ 31% LPC 31% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-08-14 2022-08-21 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-08-21 2022-08-28 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2022-08-28 2022-09-04 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2022-09-04 2022-09-11 LPC 34% BQ 29% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2022-09-11 2022-09-18 LPC 34% BQ 29% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2022-09-18 2022-09-25 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 20% NDP 12% 2022-09-25 2022-10-02 LPC 32% BQ 29% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2022-10-02 2022-10-09 LPC 32% BQ 29% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2022-10-09 2022-10-16 LPC 31% BQ 29% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2022-10-16 2022-10-23 LPC 31% BQ 29% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2022-10-23 2022-10-30 LPC 30% BQ 30% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2022-10-30 2022-11-06 LPC 31% BQ 30% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2022-11-06 2022-11-13 LPC 31% BQ 29% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2022-11-13 2022-11-20 LPC 32% BQ 30% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2022-11-20 2022-11-27 LPC 33% BQ 29% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2022-11-27 2022-12-04 LPC 33% BQ 29% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2022-12-04 2022-12-11 LPC 33% BQ 28% CPC 20% NDP 13% 2022-12-11 2022-12-18 LPC 34% BQ 27% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2022-12-18 2022-12-25 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2022-12-25 2023-01-01 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2023-01-01 2023-01-08 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 21% NDP 14% 2023-01-08 2023-01-15 LPC 32% BQ 27% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2023-01-15 2023-01-22 LPC 33% BQ 28% CPC 20% NDP 14% 2023-01-22 2023-01-29 LPC 34% BQ 28% CPC 19% NDP 13% 2023-01-29 2023-02-05 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2023-02-05 2023-02-12 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2023-02-12 2023-02-19 LPC 34% BQ 29% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2023-02-19 2023-02-26 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2023-02-26 2023-03-05 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2023-03-05 2023-03-12 LPC 33% BQ 32% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2023-03-12 2023-03-19 BQ 34% LPC 31% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2023-03-19 2023-03-26 BQ 33% LPC 32% CPC 19% NDP 11% 2023-03-26 2023-04-02 BQ 33% LPC 32% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2023-04-02 2023-04-09 BQ 33% LPC 31% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2023-04-09 2023-04-16 BQ 32% LPC 32% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2023-04-16 2023-04-23 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 20% NDP 12% 2023-04-23 2023-04-30 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 20% NDP 12% 2023-04-30 2023-05-07 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2023-05-07 2023-05-14 LPC 35% BQ 30% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2023-05-14 2023-05-21 LPC 35% BQ 30% CPC 19% NDP 11% 2023-05-21 2023-05-28 LPC 34% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 12% 2023-05-28 2023-06-04 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 17% NDP 12% 2023-06-04 2023-06-11 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 17% NDP 13% 2023-06-11 2023-06-18 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2023-06-18 2023-06-25 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2023-06-25 2023-07-02 LPC 33% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 13% 2023-07-02 2023-07-09 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 17% NDP 12% 2023-07-09 2023-07-16 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 17% NDP 12% 2023-07-16 2023-07-23 LPC 34% BQ 31% CPC 17% NDP 12% 2023-07-23 2023-07-30 LPC 32% BQ 32% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2023-07-30 2023-08-06 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 12% 2023-08-06 2023-08-13 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 18% NDP 12% 2023-08-13 2023-08-20 LPC 33% BQ 31% CPC 19% NDP 12% 2023-08-20 2023-08-27 LPC 31% BQ 30% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2023-08-27 2023-09-03 LPC 31% BQ 30% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2023-09-03 2023-09-10 BQ 32% LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2023-09-10 2023-09-17 BQ 32% LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2023-09-17 2023-09-24 BQ 33% LPC 30% CPC 20% NDP 12% 2023-09-24 2023-10-01 BQ 32% LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2023-10-01 2023-10-08 BQ 31% LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2023-10-08 2023-10-15 LPC 31% BQ 30% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2023-10-15 2023-10-22 LPC 31% BQ 29% CPC 23% NDP 12% 2023-10-22 2023-10-29 LPC 31% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2023-10-29 2023-11-05 LPC 31% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2023-11-05 2023-11-12 BQ 29% LPC 29% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2023-11-12 2023-11-19 BQ 29% LPC 29% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2023-11-19 2023-11-26 LPC 29% BQ 28% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2023-11-26 2023-12-03 BQ 30% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2023-12-03 2023-12-10 BQ 30% LPC 29% CPC 23% NDP 13% 2023-12-10 2023-12-17 BQ 31% LPC 29% CPC 23% NDP 12% 2023-12-17 2023-12-24 BQ 30% LPC 29% CPC 23% NDP 12% 2023-12-24 2023-12-31 BQ 30% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2023-12-31 2024-01-07 LPC 30% BQ 30% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2024-01-07 2024-01-14 BQ 30% LPC 30% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2024-01-14 2024-01-21 LPC 30% BQ 30% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2024-01-21 2024-01-28 BQ 32% LPC 29% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2024-01-28 2024-02-04 BQ 32% LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2024-02-04 2024-02-11 BQ 32% LPC 29% CPC 22% NDP 12% 2024-02-11 2024-02-18 BQ 31% LPC 27% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2024-02-18 2024-02-25 BQ 32% LPC 27% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2024-02-25 2024-03-03 BQ 31% LPC 26% CPC 25% NDP 12% 2024-03-03 2024-03-10 BQ 31% CPC 26% LPC 25% NDP 13% 2024-03-10 2024-03-17 BQ 31% CPC 26% LPC 25% NDP 13% 2024-03-17 2024-03-24 BQ 31% LPC 26% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2024-03-24 2024-03-31 BQ 32% LPC 25% CPC 24% NDP 13% 2024-03-31 2024-04-07 BQ 33% LPC 26% CPC 23% NDP 12% 2024-04-07 2024-04-14 BQ 32% LPC 27% CPC 24% NDP 12% 2024-04-14 2024-04-21 BQ 34% LPC 27% CPC 22% NDP 11% 2024-04-21 2024-04-28 BQ 34% LPC 26% CPC 23% NDP 10% 2024-04-28 2024-05-05 BQ 34% LPC 26% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2024-05-05 2024-05-12 BQ 34% LPC 26% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ 35% LPC 26% CPC 23% NDP 10% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ 35% LPC 27% CPC 23% NDP 10% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 BQ 33% LPC 27% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 BQ 32% LPC 27% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 BQ 31% LPC 27% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 BQ 33% CPC 25% LPC 25% NDP 11% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 BQ 33% CPC 25% LPC 24% NDP 11% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 BQ 33% CPC 25% LPC 24% NDP 11% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 BQ 33% LPC 25% CPC 24% NDP 11% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 BQ 33% LPC 25% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2024-07-21

Seat projection | Quebec

LPC 25 [19-30] CPC 14 [10-17] NDP 1 [1-3] BQ 38 [33-44] Seat projection | Quebec 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ July 21, 2024 2021-12-12 LPC 40 BQ 27 CPC 10 NDP 1 2021-12-12 2021-12-19 LPC 40 BQ 27 CPC 10 NDP 1 2021-12-19 2022-01-02 LPC 39 BQ 28 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-01-02 2022-01-09 LPC 37 BQ 30 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-01-09 2022-01-16 LPC 36 BQ 31 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-01-16 2022-01-23 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-01-23 2022-01-30 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-01-30 2022-02-06 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-02-06 2022-02-13 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-02-13 2022-02-20 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-02-20 2022-02-27 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2022-02-27 2022-03-06 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-03-06 2022-03-13 LPC 34 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 2 2022-03-13 2022-03-20 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-03-20 2022-03-27 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-03-27 2022-04-03 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-04-03 2022-04-10 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-04-10 2022-04-17 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-04-17 2022-04-24 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-04-24 2022-05-01 LPC 36 BQ 28 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-05-01 2022-05-08 LPC 38 BQ 26 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-05-08 2022-05-15 LPC 38 BQ 26 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-05-15 2022-05-22 LPC 38 BQ 25 CPC 13 NDP 2 2022-05-22 2022-05-29 LPC 35 BQ 27 CPC 13 NDP 3 2022-05-29 2022-06-05 LPC 35 BQ 27 CPC 13 NDP 3 2022-06-05 2022-06-12 LPC 36 BQ 29 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-06-12 2022-06-19 LPC 36 BQ 29 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-06-19 2022-06-26 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 12 NDP 2 2022-06-26 2022-07-03 LPC 36 BQ 29 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-07-03 2022-07-10 LPC 36 BQ 29 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-07-10 2022-07-17 LPC 35 BQ 31 CPC 11 NDP 1 2022-07-17 2022-07-24 LPC 35 BQ 31 CPC 11 NDP 1 2022-07-24 2022-07-31 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-07-31 2022-08-07 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-08-07 2022-08-14 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-08-14 2022-08-21 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-08-21 2022-08-28 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-08-28 2022-09-04 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-09-04 2022-09-11 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-09-11 2022-09-18 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2022-09-18 2022-09-25 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-09-25 2022-10-02 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-10-02 2022-10-09 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-10-09 2022-10-16 LPC 34 BQ 30 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-10-16 2022-10-23 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-10-23 2022-10-30 LPC 33 BQ 31 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-10-30 2022-11-06 LPC 33 BQ 31 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-11-06 2022-11-13 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-11-13 2022-11-20 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-11-20 2022-11-27 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-11-27 2022-12-04 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-12-04 2022-12-11 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2022-12-11 2022-12-18 LPC 36 BQ 27 CPC 13 NDP 2 2022-12-18 2022-12-25 LPC 36 BQ 26 CPC 14 NDP 2 2022-12-25 2023-01-01 LPC 35 BQ 28 CPC 13 NDP 2 2023-01-01 2023-01-08 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2023-01-08 2023-01-15 LPC 35 BQ 29 CPC 13 NDP 1 2023-01-15 2023-01-22 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-01-22 2023-01-29 LPC 35 BQ 31 CPC 11 NDP 1 2023-01-29 2023-02-05 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-02-05 2023-02-12 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-02-12 2023-02-19 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-02-19 2023-02-26 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-02-26 2023-03-05 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-03-05 2023-03-12 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-03-12 2023-03-19 BQ 37 LPC 30 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-03-19 2023-03-26 BQ 35 LPC 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-03-26 2023-04-02 BQ 35 LPC 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-04-02 2023-04-09 BQ 35 LPC 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-04-09 2023-04-16 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-04-16 2023-04-23 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-04-23 2023-04-30 LPC 35 BQ 31 CPC 11 NDP 1 2023-04-30 2023-05-07 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-05-07 2023-05-14 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-05-14 2023-05-21 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-05-21 2023-05-28 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-05-28 2023-06-04 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-06-04 2023-06-11 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-06-11 2023-06-18 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-06-18 2023-06-25 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-06-25 2023-07-02 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-07-02 2023-07-09 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-07-09 2023-07-16 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-07-16 2023-07-23 LPC 35 BQ 32 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-07-23 2023-07-30 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-07-30 2023-08-06 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-08-06 2023-08-13 BQ 34 LPC 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-08-13 2023-08-20 LPC 34 BQ 33 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-08-20 2023-08-27 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-08-27 2023-09-03 LPC 33 BQ 33 CPC 11 NDP 1 2023-09-03 2023-09-10 BQ 34 LPC 31 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-09-10 2023-09-17 BQ 37 LPC 30 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-09-17 2023-09-24 BQ 37 LPC 30 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-09-24 2023-10-01 BQ 36 LPC 31 CPC 10 NDP 1 2023-10-01 2023-10-08 BQ 33 LPC 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-10-08 2023-10-15 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-10-15 2023-10-22 LPC 35 BQ 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-10-22 2023-10-29 LPC 35 BQ 28 CPC 14 NDP 1 2023-10-29 2023-11-05 LPC 35 BQ 28 CPC 14 NDP 1 2023-11-05 2023-11-12 BQ 32 LPC 30 CPC 15 NDP 1 2023-11-12 2023-11-19 BQ 32 LPC 30 CPC 15 NDP 1 2023-11-19 2023-11-26 LPC 32 BQ 30 CPC 15 NDP 1 2023-11-26 2023-12-03 BQ 33 LPC 30 CPC 14 NDP 1 2023-12-03 2023-12-10 BQ 34 LPC 30 CPC 13 NDP 1 2023-12-10 2023-12-17 BQ 35 LPC 30 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-12-17 2023-12-24 BQ 34 LPC 31 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-12-24 2023-12-31 BQ 34 LPC 31 CPC 12 NDP 1 2023-12-31 2024-01-07 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2024-01-07 2024-01-14 BQ 34 LPC 31 CPC 12 NDP 1 2024-01-14 2024-01-21 LPC 33 BQ 32 CPC 12 NDP 1 2024-01-21 2024-01-28 BQ 38 LPC 29 CPC 10 NDP 1 2024-01-28 2024-02-04 BQ 37 LPC 30 CPC 10 NDP 1 2024-02-04 2024-02-11 BQ 36 LPC 29 CPC 12 NDP 1 2024-02-11 2024-02-18 BQ 38 LPC 26 CPC 13 NDP 1 2024-02-18 2024-02-25 BQ 38 LPC 26 CPC 13 NDP 1 2024-02-25 2024-03-03 BQ 38 LPC 26 CPC 13 NDP 1 2024-03-03 2024-03-10 BQ 37 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 2 2024-03-10 2024-03-17 BQ 36 LPC 25 CPC 15 NDP 2 2024-03-17 2024-03-24 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 13 NDP 2 2024-03-24 2024-03-31 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 13 NDP 2 2024-03-31 2024-04-07 BQ 38 LPC 26 CPC 13 NDP 1 2024-04-07 2024-04-14 BQ 38 LPC 26 CPC 13 NDP 1 2024-04-14 2024-04-21 BQ 40 LPC 25 CPC 12 NDP 1 2024-04-21 2024-04-28 BQ 39 LPC 25 CPC 13 NDP 1 2024-04-28 2024-05-05 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-05-05 2024-05-12 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ 40 LPC 25 CPC 12 NDP 1 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ 40 LPC 25 CPC 12 NDP 1 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 BQ 37 LPC 26 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 BQ 36 LPC 27 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 BQ 34 LPC 29 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 BQ 38 LPC 25 CPC 14 NDP 1 2024-07-21

Seat projection | Quebec


Latest update: July 21, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2021)
27 7 3 1 38 34
13 6 5 1 25 33
9 1 2 2 14 10
1 0 0 0 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Quebec


Latest update: July 21, 2024
Electoral district Transposed
2021 winner		 Latest projection
24001 Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou BQ safe
24002 Abitibi—Témiscamingue BQ safe
24003 Ahuntsic-Cartierville LPC safe
24004 Alfred-Pellan LPC likely
24005 Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation BQ likely
24006 Beauce CPC safe
24007 Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon BQ safe
24008 Beauport—Limoilou Toss up CPC/BQ
24009 Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel—Alnôbak BQ safe
24010 Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis CPC safe
24011 Beloeil—Chambly BQ safe
24012 Berthier—Maskinongé BQ likely
24013 Bourassa LPC safe
24014 Brome—Missisquoi BQ likely
24015 Brossard—Saint-Lambert LPC safe
24016 Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles CPC safe
24017 Châteauguay—Les Jardins-de-Napierville BQ likely
24018 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord CPC likely
24019 Compton—Stanstead BQ likely
24020 Côte-du-Sud—Rivière-du-Loup—Kataskomiq—Témiscouata CPC safe
24021 Côte-Nord—Kawawachikamach—Nitassinan BQ safe
24022 Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle LPC safe
24023 Drummond BQ safe
24024 Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine—Listuguj BQ likely
24025 Gatineau LPC likely
24026 Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est Toss up LPC/BQ
24027 Honoré-Mercier LPC safe
24028 Hull—Aylmer LPC safe
24029 Joliette—Manawan BQ safe
24030 Jonquière BQ likely
24031 La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ safe
24032 La Prairie—Atateken BQ safe
24033 Lac-Saint-Jean BQ safe
24034 Lac-Saint-Louis LPC likely
24035 LaSalle—Émard—Verdun LPC leaning
24036 Laurentides—Labelle BQ safe
24037 Laurier—Sainte-Marie LPC leaning
24038 Laval—Les-Îles LPC leaning
24039 Les Pays-d’en-Haut BQ safe
24040 Lévis—Lotbinière CPC safe
24041 Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne BQ leaning
24042 Longueuil—Saint-Hubert BQ safe
24043 Louis-Hébert CPC leaning
24044 Louis-Saint-Laurent—Akiawenhrahk CPC safe
24045 Marc-Aurèle-Fortin Toss up LPC/BQ
24046 Mégantic—L’Érable—Lotbinière CPC safe
24047 Mirabel BQ safe
24048 Mount Royal LPC likely
24049 Mont-Saint-Bruno—L’Acadie BQ safe
24050 Montcalm BQ safe
24051 Montmorency—Charlevoix Toss up CPC/BQ
24052 Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount LPC safe
24053 Outremont LPC likely
24054 Papineau LPC safe
24055 Pierre-Boucher—Les Patriotes—Verchères BQ safe
24056 Pierrefonds—Dollard LPC likely
24057 Pontiac—Kitigan Zibi LPC leaning
24058 Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier CPC safe
24059 Québec Centre BQ leaning
24060 Repentigny BQ safe
24061 Richmond—Arthabaska CPC safe
24062 Rimouski—La Matapédia BQ safe
24063 Rivière-des-Milles-Îles BQ safe
24064 Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
24065 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie NDP safe
24066 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton BQ safe
24067 Saint-Jean BQ safe
24068 Saint-Laurent LPC safe
24069 Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel LPC safe
24070 Saint-Maurice—Champlain LPC leaning
24071 Shefford BQ safe
24072 Sherbrooke BQ leaning
24073 Terrebonne BQ safe
24074 Thérèse-De Blainville BQ safe
24075 Trois-Rivières CPC leaning
24076 Vaudreuil LPC safe
24077 Ville-Marie—Le Sud-Ouest—Île-des-Soeurs LPC safe
24078 Vimy LPC safe